School Director Dist. 2 - Oakland (AlamedaCounty; 2022-11-08)

🔗 2022-11-08_AlamedaCounty-School_Director_Dist._2_-_Oakland (tags: { AlamedaCounty_CA , from-bolson , actual , 2022 , AlamedaCounty-2022 , 2022-11 , CA })

Below is the ABIF from the "2022-11-08_AlamedaCounty-School_Director_Dist._2_-_Oakland" election (School Director Dist. 2 - Oakland (AlamedaCounty; 2022-11-08))

ABIF submission area (show)

#------- metadata -------
{version: "0.1"}
{ballotcount: 15202}
#------ candlines ------
=[JENNIFER BROUHARD]:[JENNIFER BROUHARD]
=[DAVID KAKISHIBA]:[DAVID KAKISHIBA]
=[MAX OROZCO]:[MAX OROZCO]
=Write-in:[Write-in]
#------- votelines ------
2232:[JENNIFER BROUHARD]
2119:[JENNIFER BROUHARD]>[DAVID KAKISHIBA]>[MAX OROZCO]
1783:[DAVID KAKISHIBA]
1717:[DAVID KAKISHIBA]>[JENNIFER BROUHARD]>[MAX OROZCO]
1218:[JENNIFER BROUHARD]>[MAX OROZCO]>[DAVID KAKISHIBA]
987:[DAVID KAKISHIBA]>[JENNIFER BROUHARD]
942:[MAX OROZCO]>[JENNIFER BROUHARD]>[DAVID KAKISHIBA]
860:[MAX OROZCO]>[JENNIFER BROUHARD]
848:[JENNIFER BROUHARD]>[MAX OROZCO]
839:[JENNIFER BROUHARD]>[DAVID KAKISHIBA]
351:[MAX OROZCO]
340:[DAVID KAKISHIBA]>[MAX OROZCO]>[JENNIFER BROUHARD]
187:[MAX OROZCO]>[DAVID KAKISHIBA]>[JENNIFER BROUHARD]
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56:Write-in
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1:Write-in

Method options

FPTP results?

IRV/RCV results?

IRV extra analysis?

Approval results?

STAR results?

pairwise (Condorcet/Copeland) results?

pairwise tournament diagram?

Ballot options Transform ballots (using ballot-type metadata)?

Voting methods: IRV • FPTP • approval • STAR • Pairwise • All methods

Results

🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_AlamedaCounty-School_Director_Dist._2_-_Oakland

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "ranked". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method	Winner
IRV/RCV	JENNIFER BROUHARD
FPTP	JENNIFER BROUHARD
Approval	JENNIFER BROUHARD
STAR	JENNIFER BROUHARD
Condorcet/Copeland	JENNIFER BROUHARD

OFF ON tabbed view

IRV/RCV results

2022-11-08_AlamedaCounty-School_Director_Dist._2_-_Oakland IRV/RCV result permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_AlamedaCounty-School_Director_Dist._2_-_Oakland/IRV#IRV

IRV/RCV Winner: JENNIFER BROUHARD with 9,372 votes (61.6%) in final round
Runner-up: DAVID KAKISHIBA with 5,302 votes (34.9%) in final round
Exhausted ballots in final round: 528 (3.5%)
Number of rounds: 3
Ballots counted in final round: 14,674 (96.5%)
Majority of ballots: 7,602 (50.0%)
Total ballots: 15,202

Round 1	Round 2	Round 3
Overview: Active ballots: 15,202 (100.0%) Exhausted ballots: 0 (0.0%) Overvotes: 97 (0.6%) Counted ballots: 15,105 (99.4%) Winning threshold: 7,553 (49.68%)	Overview: Active ballots: 15,105 (99.4%) Exhausted ballots: 57 (0.4%) Counted ballots: 15,048 (99.0%) Winning threshold: 7,525 (49.50%)	Overview: Active ballots: 15,105 (99.4%) Exhausted ballots: 416 (2.7%) Overvotes: 15 (0.1%) Counted ballots: 14,674 (96.5%) Winning threshold: 7,338 (48.27%)
JENNIFER BROUHARD: 7,497 (49.3%) →	JENNIFER BROUHARD: 7,509 (49.4%) →	IRV/RCV winner: JENNIFER BROUHARD: 9,372 (61.6%)✅ →
DAVID KAKISHIBA: 5,013 (33.0%) →	DAVID KAKISHIBA: 5,040 (33.2%) →	DAVID KAKISHIBA: 5,302 (34.9%) (🛑eliminated) →
MAX OROZCO: 2,492 (16.4%) →	MAX OROZCO: 2,499 (16.4%) (🛑eliminated) →	~~MAX OROZCO~~
Write-in: 103 (0.7%) (🛑eliminated) →	~~Write-in~~	~~Write-in~~

Overvotes are ballots where multiple candidates are ranked at the same, highest-ranking position.

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2022-11-08_AlamedaCounty-School_Director_Dist._2_-_Oakland FPTP results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_AlamedaCounty-School_Director_Dist._2_-_Oakland/FPTP#FPTP

FPTP Winner: JENNIFER BROUHARD with 7,497 first-place votes (49.3%)
Runner-up: DAVID KAKISHIBA with 5,013 first-place votes (33.0%)
Margin of victory: 2,484 votes (16.3 percentage points)
First-place votes
- JENNIFER BROUHARD: 7,497 votes (49.3 %)
- DAVID KAKISHIBA: 5,013 votes (33.0 %)
- MAX OROZCO: 2,492 votes (16.4 %)
- Write-in: 103 votes (0.7 %)
Overvotes: 97 (0.6 %)
Total ballots: 15,202

Approval voting results

2022-11-08_AlamedaCounty-School_Director_Dist._2_-_Oakland approval voting results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_AlamedaCounty-School_Director_Dist._2_-_Oakland/approval#approval

📝

Note — Approval counts estimated from 15,202 ranked ballots using favorite_viable_half method

Details

The 'favorite_viable_half' conversion algorithm: find the candidate with the most first preferences, and then determine the minimum number of figurative seats that would need to be open in order for the candidate to exceed the Hare quota with the given first-prefs. We use this to estimate how many candidates are likely to be viable candidates.

Using first-choice vote totals as a rough guide, approximately 3 candidates appear viable: JENNIFER BROUHARD, DAVID KAKISHIBA, and MAX OROZCO. The approximation then assumes each voter approves up to 2 of their top-ranked viable candidates (half of 3, rounded up). All candidates ranked at or above the lowest-ranked of each ballot's top viable candidates receive approval (considering up to 2 viable candidates per ballot).

See transformed ballots

Note: For Approval, these choose_many ballots are inferred from ranked ballots.

Conversion method: favorite_viable_half

#------- metadata -------
{ballotcount: 15202}
{version: "0.1"}
{ballotcount_abif_metadata: "15202"}
{is_ranking_to_rating: true}
#------ candlines ------
=Write-in:[Write-in]
=[JENNIFER BROUHARD]:[JENNIFER BROUHARD]
=[DAVID KAKISHIBA]:[DAVID KAKISHIBA]
=[MAX OROZCO]:[MAX OROZCO]
#------- votelines ------
2232:[JENNIFER BROUHARD]/1
2119:[DAVID KAKISHIBA]/1=[JENNIFER BROUHARD]/1
1783:[DAVID KAKISHIBA]/1
1717:[DAVID KAKISHIBA]/1=[JENNIFER BROUHARD]/1
1218:[JENNIFER BROUHARD]/1=[MAX OROZCO]/1
987:[DAVID KAKISHIBA]/1=[JENNIFER BROUHARD]/1
942:[JENNIFER BROUHARD]/1=[MAX OROZCO]/1
860:[JENNIFER BROUHARD]/1=[MAX OROZCO]/1
848:[JENNIFER BROUHARD]/1=[MAX OROZCO]/1
839:[DAVID KAKISHIBA]/1=[JENNIFER BROUHARD]/1
351:[MAX OROZCO]/1
340:[DAVID KAKISHIBA]/1=[MAX OROZCO]/1
187:[DAVID KAKISHIBA]/1=[MAX OROZCO]/1
58:[DAVID KAKISHIBA]/1=[MAX OROZCO]/1
42:[DAVID KAKISHIBA]/1=[MAX OROZCO]/1
23:[JENNIFER BROUHARD]/1=[MAX OROZCO]/1
17:[JENNIFER BROUHARD]/1=[MAX OROZCO]/1
15:[DAVID KAKISHIBA]/1=[JENNIFER BROUHARD]/1
14:[DAVID KAKISHIBA]/1=[JENNIFER BROUHARD]/1
14:[JENNIFER BROUHARD]/1=[MAX OROZCO]/1
13:[JENNIFER BROUHARD]/1=[MAX OROZCO]/1
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Approval Winner: JENNIFER BROUHARD
Approval Results:
- JENNIFER BROUHARD — 12,180 approvals (80.12% of ballots) (✅ winner)
- DAVID KAKISHIBA — 8,354 approvals (54.95% of ballots)
- MAX OROZCO — 5,137 approvals (33.79% of ballots)
- Write-in — 76 approvals (0.5% of ballots)
Total: 15,202 ballots (25,747 total approvals)

STAR results

2022-11-08_AlamedaCounty-School_Director_Dist._2_-_Oakland STAR results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_AlamedaCounty-School_Director_Dist._2_-_Oakland/STAR#STAR

📝

Note — STAR ratings estimated from ranked ballots using Borda scoring method

Details

The ranked ballots have been converted to STAR ratings using Borda scoring: each candidate receives points equal to (number_of_candidates - their_rank). In this election, we have 4 candidates, so the 1st choice gets 3 points, the 2nd choice gets 2 points, etc. These Borda scores are then used as STAR ratings for tabulation by STAR.

STAR winner: JENNIFER BROUHARD
Finalists: JENNIFER BROUHARD vs DAVID KAKISHIBA
Runoff result:
- JENNIFER BROUHARD: 9,388 votes (61.8%)
- DAVID KAKISHIBA: 5,333 votes (35.1%)
- No preference: 481 voters (3.2%)
Total stars allocated: 74,473
Total ballots: 15,202

★★★★★★

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(one star above is approximately 1,489 stars allocated by voters)

First round:
- ★#0: JENNIFER BROUHARD received 32,666 stars (43.9%) from 12,844 voters (84.5%)
- ★#1: DAVID KAKISHIBA received 24,298 stars (32.6%) from 10,730 voters (70.6%)
- ★#2: MAX OROZCO received 16,879 stars (22.7%) from 9,153 voters (60.2%)
- ★#3: Write-in received 630 stars (0.8%) from 287 voters (1.9%)
Finalists:
- ★JENNIFER BROUHARD (✅ winner) preferred by 9,388 of 15,202 voters
- ★DAVID KAKISHIBA preferred by 5,333 of 15,202 voters
- ★No preference between the finalists: 481

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2022-11-08_AlamedaCounty-School_Director_Dist._2_-_Oakland Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_AlamedaCounty-School_Director_Dist._2_-_Oakland/pairwise#pairwise

Winner: JENNIFER BROUHARD
Runner-up: DAVID KAKISHIBA (beats all other candidates except JENNIFER BROUHARD)
Smallest margin: DAVID KAKISHIBA over MAX OROZCO (8,130-4,687; margin: 3,443)
Largest margin: JENNIFER BROUHARD over Write-in (12,765-160; margin: 12,605)
Pairwise ties: none
Total ballots: 15,202

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2022-11-08_AlamedaCounty-School_Director_Dist._2_-_Oakland w-l-t table permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_AlamedaCounty-School_Director_Dist._2_-_Oakland/pairwise#wlt

School Director Dist. 2 - Oakland (AlamedaCounty; 2022-11-08) pairwise matchups
JENNIFER BROUHARD (3-0-0)	JENNIFER BROUHARD 3 victories ⇣
DAVID KAKISHIBA (2-1-0)	JENNIFER BROUHARD: 9,388(61.8%) DAVID KAKISHIBA: 5,333(35.1%) (No preference: 481; 3.2%)	DAVID KAKISHIBA ⇽ 1 loss / 2 victories^† ⇣
MAX OROZCO (1-2-0)	JENNIFER BROUHARD: 10,336(68.0%) MAX OROZCO: 2,942(19.4%) (No preference: 1,924; 12.7%)	DAVID KAKISHIBA: 8,130(53.5%) MAX OROZCO: 4,687(30.8%) (No preference: 2,385; 15.7%)	MAX OROZCO ⇽ 2 losses / 1 victory^† ⇣
Write-in (0-3-0)	JENNIFER BROUHARD: 12,765(84.0%) Write-in: 160(1.1%) (No preference: 2,277; 15.0%)	DAVID KAKISHIBA: 10,647(70.0%) Write-in: 182(1.2%) (No preference: 4,373; 28.8%)	MAX OROZCO: 9,078(59.7%) Write-in: 200(1.3%) (No preference: 5,924; 39.0%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2022-11-08_AlamedaCounty-School_Director_Dist._2_-_Oakland pairwise diagram permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_AlamedaCounty-School_Director_Dist._2_-_Oakland/pairwise#dot

Voting methods: IRV • FPTP • approval • STAR • Pairwise • All methods

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