awt logo

House_District_1 (Alaska; 2022-11-08)

πŸ”— 2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_1     (tags: { from-bolson , actual , 2022 , 2022-11 , AK , local , Alaska-2022 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_1" election (House_District_1 (Alaska; 2022-11-08))

ABIF submission area (show)
Method options
Ballot options

Voting methods: FPTP β€’ approval β€’ IRV β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

Results

πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_1

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "choose_one". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
FPTP Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan"
Approval Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan"
IRV/RCV Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan"
STAR Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan"
Condorcet/Copeland Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan"
Election results summary showing voting method winners
click/tap to expand
tabbed view

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_1 FPTP results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_1/FPTP#FPTP

  • FPTP Winner: Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan" with 3,513 first-place votes (51.0%)
  • Runner-up: Bynum, Jeremy T. with 3,170 first-place votes (46.0%)
  • Margin of victory: 343 votes (5.0 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan": 3,513 votes (51.0 %)
    • Bynum, Jeremy T.: 3,170 votes (46.0 %)
    • Write-in: 16 votes (0.2 %)
  • Blanks: 189 (2.7 %)
  • Total ballots: 6,888

Approval voting results

2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_1 approval voting results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_1/approval#approval
πŸ“
Note β€” Approvals inferred from choose_one ballots
Details

Approval results are derived by treating each voter's single top choice as their only approval. Lower preferences are not available on choose_one ballots.

  • Approval Winner: Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan"
  • Approval Results:
    • Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan" — 3,513 approvals (51.0% of ballots) (βœ… winner)
    • Bynum, Jeremy T. — 3,170 approvals (46.02% of ballots)
    • Write-in — 16 approvals (0.23% of ballots)
  • Total: 6,888 ballots (6,699 total approvals)

IRV/RCV results

2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_1 IRV/RCV result permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_1/IRV#IRV
πŸ“
Note β€” IRV/RCV applied to choose_one ballots (no transfers)
Details

These ballots indicate only a single top choice per voter. IRV/RCV on choose_one ballots cannot transfer votes or use lower preferences, so the result is equivalent to plurality on first choices.

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan" with 3,513 votes (51.0%) in final round
  • Runner-up: Bynum, Jeremy T. with 3,170 votes (46.0%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 189 (2.7%)
  • Number of rounds: 1
  • Ballots counted in final round: 6,699 (97.3%)
  • Majority of ballots: 3,445 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 6,888
Round 1
Overview:
Active ballots: 6,888 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 189 (2.7%)
Counted ballots: 6,699 (97.3%)
Winning threshold: 3,350 (48.64%)
IRV/RCV winner:
Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan": 3,513 (51.0%)βœ…
β†’
Bynum, Jeremy T.: 3,170 (46.0%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Write-in: 16 (0.2%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’

STAR results

2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_1 STAR results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_1/STAR#STAR
πŸ“
Note β€” STAR interpretation from choose_one ballots
Details

Choose_one ballots provide only each voter's top choice and no ratings. STAR results shown here are computed without true ratings and should be interpreted cautiously.

  • STAR winner: Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan"
  • Finalists: Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan" vs Bynum, Jeremy T.
  • Runoff result:
    • Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan": 3,513 votes (51.0%)
    • Bynum, Jeremy T.: 3,170 votes (46.0%)
    • No preference: 205 voters (3.0%)
  • Total stars allocated: 13,398
  • Total ballots: 6,888
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
(one star above is approximately 268 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • β˜…#0: Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan" received 7,026 stars (52.4%) from 3,513 voters (51.0%)
    • β˜…#1: Bynum, Jeremy T. received 6,340 stars (47.3%) from 3,170 voters (46.0%)
    • β˜…#2: Write-in received 32 stars (0.2%) from 16 voters (0.2%)
  • Finalists:
    • β˜…Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan" (βœ… winner) preferred by 3,513 of 6,888 voters
    • β˜…Bynum, Jeremy T. preferred by 3,170 of 6,888 voters
    • β˜…No preference between the finalists: 205

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_1 Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_1/pairwise#pairwise
πŸ“
Note β€” Pairwise comparisons derived from top-choice-only ballots
Details

Pairwise/Condorcet comparisons use only each voter's top choice from choose_one ballots. No lower preferences are available, so many matchups will show a large 'No preference' count.

  • Winner: Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan"
  • Runner-up: Bynum, Jeremy T. (beats all other candidates except Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan")
  • Smallest margin: Bynum, Jeremy T. over Write-in (3,170-16; margin: 3,154)
  • Largest margin: Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan" over Write-in (3,513-16; margin: 3,497)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 6,888

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_1 w-l-t table permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_1/pairwise#wlt
House_District_1 (Alaska; 2022-11-08) pairwise matchups
Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan"
(2-0-0)
Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan"
2 victories ⇣
Bynum, Jeremy T.
(1-1-0)
Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan": 3,513(51.0%)
Bynum, Jeremy T.: 3,170(46.0%)
(No preference: 205; 3.0%)
Bynum, Jeremy T.
⇽ 1 loss / 1 victory† ⇣
Write-in
(0-2-0)
Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan": 3,513(51.0%)
Write-in: 16(0.2%)
(No preference: 3,359; 48.8%)
Bynum, Jeremy T.: 3,170(46.0%)
Write-in: 16(0.2%)
(No preference: 3,702; 53.7%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_1 pairwise diagram permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_1/pairwise#dot

%3 Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan" Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan" 2-0-0 (2 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) Bynum, Jeremy T. Bynum, Jeremy T. 1-1-0 Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan"->Bynum, Jeremy T. ← Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan": 3513 Bynum, Jeremy T.: 3170 Write-in Write-in 0-2-0 Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan"->Write-in ← Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan": 3513 Write-in: 16 Bynum, Jeremy T.->Write-in ← Bynum, Jeremy T.: 3170 Write-in: 16

Voting methods: FPTP β€’ approval β€’ IRV β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

(homepage)