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House_District_15 (Alaska; 2022-11-08)

πŸ”— 2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_15     (tags: { from-bolson , actual , 2022 , 2022-11 , AK , local , Alaska-2022 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_15" election (House_District_15 (Alaska; 2022-11-08))

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Voting methods: FPTP β€’ approval β€’ IRV β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

Results

πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_15

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "choose_one". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
FPTP Wells, Denny
Approval Wells, Denny
IRV/RCV Wells, Denny
STAR Wells, Denny
Condorcet/Copeland Wells, Denny
Election results summary showing voting method winners
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tabbed view

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_15 FPTP results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_15/FPTP#FPTP

  • FPTP Winner: Wells, Denny with 3,379 first-place votes (43.8%)
  • Runner-up: McKay, Thomas W. "Tom" with 2,811 first-place votes (36.5%)
  • Margin of victory: 568 votes (7.4 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Wells, Denny: 3,379 votes (43.8 %)
    • McKay, Thomas W. "Tom": 2,811 votes (36.5 %)
    • Eibeck, David: 1,026 votes (13.3 %)
    • Write-in: 36 votes (0.5 %)
  • Blanks: 457 (5.9 %)
  • Total ballots: 7,709

Approval voting results

2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_15 approval voting results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_15/approval#approval
πŸ“
Note β€” Approvals inferred from choose_one ballots
Details

Approval results are derived by treating each voter's single top choice as their only approval. Lower preferences are not available on choose_one ballots.

  • Approval Winner: Wells, Denny
  • Approval Results:
    • Wells, Denny — 3,379 approvals (43.83% of ballots) (βœ… winner)
    • McKay, Thomas W. "Tom" — 2,811 approvals (36.46% of ballots)
    • Eibeck, David — 1,026 approvals (13.31% of ballots)
    • Write-in — 36 approvals (0.47% of ballots)
  • Total: 7,709 ballots (7,252 total approvals)

IRV/RCV results

2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_15 IRV/RCV result permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_15/IRV#IRV
πŸ“
Note β€” IRV/RCV applied to choose_one ballots (no transfers)
Details

These ballots indicate only a single top choice per voter. IRV/RCV on choose_one ballots cannot transfer votes or use lower preferences, so the result is equivalent to plurality on first choices.

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Wells, Denny with 3,379 votes (43.8%) in final round
  • Runner-up: McKay, Thomas W. "Tom" with 2,811 votes (36.5%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 1,519 (19.7%)
  • Number of rounds: 3
  • Ballots counted in final round: 6,190 (80.3%)
  • Majority of ballots: 3,855 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 7,709
Round 1 Round 2 Round 3
Overview:
Active ballots: 7,709 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 457 (5.9%)
Counted ballots: 7,252 (94.1%)
Winning threshold: 3,627 (47.05%)
Overview:
Active ballots: 7,709 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 493 (6.4%)
Counted ballots: 7,216 (93.6%)
Winning threshold: 3,609 (46.82%)
Overview:
Active ballots: 7,709 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 1,519 (19.7%)
Counted ballots: 6,190 (80.3%)
Winning threshold: 3,096 (40.16%)
Wells, Denny: 3,379 (43.8%)
β†’
Wells, Denny: 3,379 (43.8%)
β†’
IRV/RCV winner:
Wells, Denny: 3,379 (43.8%)βœ…
β†’
McKay, Thomas W. "Tom": 2,811 (36.5%)
β†’
McKay, Thomas W. "Tom": 2,811 (36.5%)
β†’
McKay, Thomas W. "Tom": 2,811 (36.5%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Eibeck, David: 1,026 (13.3%)
β†’
Eibeck, David: 1,026 (13.3%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Eibeck, David
Write-in: 36 (0.5%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Write-in Write-in

STAR results

2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_15 STAR results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_15/STAR#STAR
πŸ“
Note β€” STAR interpretation from choose_one ballots
Details

Choose_one ballots provide only each voter's top choice and no ratings. STAR results shown here are computed without true ratings and should be interpreted cautiously.

  • STAR winner: Wells, Denny
  • Finalists: Wells, Denny vs McKay, Thomas W. "Tom"
  • Runoff result:
    • Wells, Denny: 3,379 votes (43.8%)
    • McKay, Thomas W. "Tom": 2,811 votes (36.5%)
    • No preference: 1519 voters (19.7%)
  • Total stars allocated: 21,756
  • Total ballots: 7,709
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
(one star above is approximately 435 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • β˜…#0: Wells, Denny received 10,137 stars (46.6%) from 3,379 voters (43.8%)
    • β˜…#1: McKay, Thomas W. "Tom" received 8,433 stars (38.8%) from 2,811 voters (36.5%)
    • β˜…#2: Eibeck, David received 3,078 stars (14.1%) from 1,026 voters (13.3%)
    • β˜…#3: Write-in received 108 stars (0.5%) from 36 voters (0.5%)
  • Finalists:
    • β˜…Wells, Denny (βœ… winner) preferred by 3,379 of 7,709 voters
    • β˜…McKay, Thomas W. "Tom" preferred by 2,811 of 7,709 voters
    • β˜…No preference between the finalists: 1519

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_15 Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_15/pairwise#pairwise
πŸ“
Note β€” Pairwise comparisons derived from top-choice-only ballots
Details

Pairwise/Condorcet comparisons use only each voter's top choice from choose_one ballots. No lower preferences are available, so many matchups will show a large 'No preference' count.

  • Winner: Wells, Denny
  • Runner-up: McKay, Thomas W. "Tom" (beats all other candidates except Wells, Denny)
  • Smallest margin: Eibeck, David over Write-in (1,026-36; margin: 990)
  • Largest margin: Wells, Denny over Write-in (3,379-36; margin: 3,343)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 7,709

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_15 w-l-t table permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_15/pairwise#wlt
House_District_15 (Alaska; 2022-11-08) pairwise matchups
Wells, Denny
(3-0-0)
Wells, Denny
3 victories ⇣
McKay, Thomas W. "Tom"
(2-1-0)
Wells, Denny: 3,379(43.8%)
McKay, Thomas W. "Tom": 2,811(36.5%)
(No preference: 1,519; 19.7%)
McKay, Thomas W. "Tom"
⇽ 1 loss / 2 victories† ⇣
Eibeck, David
(1-2-0)
Wells, Denny: 3,379(43.8%)
Eibeck, David: 1,026(13.3%)
(No preference: 3,304; 42.9%)
McKay, Thomas W. "Tom": 2,811(36.5%)
Eibeck, David: 1,026(13.3%)
(No preference: 3,872; 50.2%)
Eibeck, David
⇽ 2 losses / 1 victory† ⇣
Write-in
(0-3-0)
Wells, Denny: 3,379(43.8%)
Write-in: 36(0.5%)
(No preference: 4,294; 55.7%)
McKay, Thomas W. "Tom": 2,811(36.5%)
Write-in: 36(0.5%)
(No preference: 4,862; 63.1%)
Eibeck, David: 1,026(13.3%)
Write-in: 36(0.5%)
(No preference: 6,647; 86.2%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_15 pairwise diagram permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_15/pairwise#dot

%3 Wells, Denny Wells, Denny 3-0-0 (3 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) McKay, Thomas W. "Tom" McKay, Thomas W. "Tom" 2-1-0 Wells, Denny->McKay, Thomas W. "Tom" ← Wells, Denny: 3379 McKay, Thomas W. "Tom": 2811 Eibeck, David Eibeck, David 1-2-0 Wells, Denny->Eibeck, David ← Wells, Denny: 3379 Eibeck, David: 1026 Write-in Write-in 0-3-0 Wells, Denny->Write-in ← Wells, Denny: 3379 Write-in: 36 McKay, Thomas W. "Tom"->Eibeck, David ← McKay, Thomas W. "Tom": 2811 Eibeck, David: 1026 McKay, Thomas W. "Tom"->Write-in ← McKay, Thomas W. "Tom": 2811 Write-in: 36 Eibeck, David->Write-in ← Eibeck, David: 1026 Write-in: 36

Voting methods: FPTP β€’ approval β€’ IRV β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

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