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House_District_16 (Alaska; 2022-11-08)

πŸ”— 2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_16     (tags: { from-bolson , actual , 2022 , 2022-11 , AK , local , Alaska-2022 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_16" election (House_District_16 (Alaska; 2022-11-08))

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Voting methods: FPTP β€’ approval β€’ IRV β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

Results

πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_16

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "choose_one". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
FPTP Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie"
Approval Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie"
IRV/RCV Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie"
STAR Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie"
Condorcet/Copeland Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie"
Election results summary showing voting method winners
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FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_16 FPTP results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_16/FPTP#FPTP

  • FPTP Winner: Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie" with 4,237 first-place votes (52.5%)
  • Runner-up: Vazquez, Liz with 3,432 first-place votes (42.5%)
  • Margin of victory: 805 votes (10.0 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie": 4,237 votes (52.5 %)
    • Vazquez, Liz: 3,432 votes (42.5 %)
    • Write-in: 24 votes (0.3 %)
  • Blanks: 375 (4.6 %)
  • Total ballots: 8,068

Approval voting results

2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_16 approval voting results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_16/approval#approval
πŸ“
Note β€” Approvals inferred from choose_one ballots
Details

Approval results are derived by treating each voter's single top choice as their only approval. Lower preferences are not available on choose_one ballots.

  • Approval Winner: Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie"
  • Approval Results:
    • Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie" — 4,237 approvals (52.52% of ballots) (βœ… winner)
    • Vazquez, Liz — 3,432 approvals (42.54% of ballots)
    • Write-in — 24 approvals (0.3% of ballots)
  • Total: 8,068 ballots (7,693 total approvals)

IRV/RCV results

2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_16 IRV/RCV result permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_16/IRV#IRV
πŸ“
Note β€” IRV/RCV applied to choose_one ballots (no transfers)
Details

These ballots indicate only a single top choice per voter. IRV/RCV on choose_one ballots cannot transfer votes or use lower preferences, so the result is equivalent to plurality on first choices.

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie" with 4,237 votes (52.5%) in final round
  • Runner-up: Vazquez, Liz with 3,432 votes (42.5%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 375 (4.6%)
  • Number of rounds: 1
  • Ballots counted in final round: 7,693 (95.4%)
  • Majority of ballots: 4,035 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 8,068
Round 1
Overview:
Active ballots: 8,068 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 375 (4.6%)
Counted ballots: 7,693 (95.4%)
Winning threshold: 3,847 (47.68%)
IRV/RCV winner:
Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie": 4,237 (52.5%)βœ…
β†’
Vazquez, Liz: 3,432 (42.5%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Write-in: 24 (0.3%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’

STAR results

2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_16 STAR results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_16/STAR#STAR
πŸ“
Note β€” STAR interpretation from choose_one ballots
Details

Choose_one ballots provide only each voter's top choice and no ratings. STAR results shown here are computed without true ratings and should be interpreted cautiously.

  • STAR winner: Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie"
  • Finalists: Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie" vs Vazquez, Liz
  • Runoff result:
    • Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie": 4,237 votes (52.5%)
    • Vazquez, Liz: 3,432 votes (42.5%)
    • No preference: 399 voters (4.9%)
  • Total stars allocated: 15,386
  • Total ballots: 8,068
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
(one star above is approximately 308 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • β˜…#0: Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie" received 8,474 stars (55.1%) from 4,237 voters (52.5%)
    • β˜…#1: Vazquez, Liz received 6,864 stars (44.6%) from 3,432 voters (42.5%)
    • β˜…#2: Write-in received 48 stars (0.3%) from 24 voters (0.3%)
  • Finalists:
    • β˜…Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie" (βœ… winner) preferred by 4,237 of 8,068 voters
    • β˜…Vazquez, Liz preferred by 3,432 of 8,068 voters
    • β˜…No preference between the finalists: 399

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_16 Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_16/pairwise#pairwise
πŸ“
Note β€” Pairwise comparisons derived from top-choice-only ballots
Details

Pairwise/Condorcet comparisons use only each voter's top choice from choose_one ballots. No lower preferences are available, so many matchups will show a large 'No preference' count.

  • Winner: Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie"
  • Runner-up: Vazquez, Liz (beats all other candidates except Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie")
  • Smallest margin: Vazquez, Liz over Write-in (3,432-24; margin: 3,408)
  • Largest margin: Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie" over Write-in (4,237-24; margin: 4,213)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 8,068

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_16 w-l-t table permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_16/pairwise#wlt
House_District_16 (Alaska; 2022-11-08) pairwise matchups
Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie"
(2-0-0)
Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie"
2 victories ⇣
Vazquez, Liz
(1-1-0)
Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie": 4,237(52.5%)
Vazquez, Liz: 3,432(42.5%)
(No preference: 399; 4.9%)
Vazquez, Liz
⇽ 1 loss / 1 victory† ⇣
Write-in
(0-2-0)
Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie": 4,237(52.5%)
Write-in: 24(0.3%)
(No preference: 3,807; 47.2%)
Vazquez, Liz: 3,432(42.5%)
Write-in: 24(0.3%)
(No preference: 4,612; 57.2%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_16 pairwise diagram permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_16/pairwise#dot

%3 Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie" Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie" 2-0-0 (2 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) Vazquez, Liz Vazquez, Liz 1-1-0 Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie"->Vazquez, Liz ← Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie": 4237 Vazquez, Liz: 3432 Write-in Write-in 0-2-0 Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie"->Write-in ← Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie": 4237 Write-in: 24 Vazquez, Liz->Write-in ← Vazquez, Liz: 3432 Write-in: 24

Voting methods: FPTP β€’ approval β€’ IRV β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

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