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House_District_18 (Alaska; 2022-11-08)

πŸ”— 2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_18     (tags: { from-bolson , actual , 2022 , 2022-11 , AK , local , Alaska-2022 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_18" election (House_District_18 (Alaska; 2022-11-08))

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Voting methods: FPTP β€’ approval β€’ IRV β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

Results

πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_18

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "choose_one". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
FPTP Nelson, David
Approval Nelson, David
IRV/RCV Nelson, David
STAR Nelson, David
Condorcet/Copeland Nelson, David
Election results summary showing voting method winners
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FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_18 FPTP results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_18/FPTP#FPTP

  • FPTP Winner: Nelson, David with 927 first-place votes (40.4%)
  • Runner-up: Groh, Cliff with 743 first-place votes (32.3%)
  • Margin of victory: 184 votes (8.0 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Nelson, David: 927 votes (40.4 %)
    • Groh, Cliff: 743 votes (32.3 %)
    • Franks, Lyn D.: 426 votes (18.5 %)
    • Write-in: 9 votes (0.4 %)
  • Blanks: 192 (8.4 %)
  • Total ballots: 2,297

Approval voting results

2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_18 approval voting results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_18/approval#approval
πŸ“
Note β€” Approvals inferred from choose_one ballots
Details

Approval results are derived by treating each voter's single top choice as their only approval. Lower preferences are not available on choose_one ballots.

  • Approval Winner: Nelson, David
  • Approval Results:
    • Nelson, David — 927 approvals (40.36% of ballots) (βœ… winner)
    • Groh, Cliff — 743 approvals (32.35% of ballots)
    • Franks, Lyn D. — 426 approvals (18.55% of ballots)
    • Write-in — 9 approvals (0.39% of ballots)
  • Total: 2,297 ballots (2,105 total approvals)

IRV/RCV results

2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_18 IRV/RCV result permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_18/IRV#IRV
πŸ“
Note β€” IRV/RCV applied to choose_one ballots (no transfers)
Details

These ballots indicate only a single top choice per voter. IRV/RCV on choose_one ballots cannot transfer votes or use lower preferences, so the result is equivalent to plurality on first choices.

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Nelson, David with 927 votes (40.4%) in final round
  • Runner-up: Groh, Cliff with 743 votes (32.3%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 627 (27.3%)
  • Number of rounds: 3
  • Ballots counted in final round: 1,670 (72.7%)
  • Majority of ballots: 1,149 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 2,297
Round 1 Round 2 Round 3
Overview:
Active ballots: 2,297 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 192 (8.4%)
Counted ballots: 2,105 (91.6%)
Winning threshold: 1,053 (45.84%)
Overview:
Active ballots: 2,297 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 201 (8.8%)
Counted ballots: 2,096 (91.2%)
Winning threshold: 1,049 (45.67%)
Overview:
Active ballots: 2,297 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 627 (27.3%)
Counted ballots: 1,670 (72.7%)
Winning threshold: 836 (36.40%)
Nelson, David: 927 (40.4%)
β†’
Nelson, David: 927 (40.4%)
β†’
IRV/RCV winner:
Nelson, David: 927 (40.4%)βœ…
β†’
Groh, Cliff: 743 (32.3%)
β†’
Groh, Cliff: 743 (32.3%)
β†’
Groh, Cliff: 743 (32.3%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Franks, Lyn D.: 426 (18.5%)
β†’
Franks, Lyn D.: 426 (18.5%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Franks, Lyn D.
Write-in: 9 (0.4%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Write-in Write-in

STAR results

2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_18 STAR results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_18/STAR#STAR
πŸ“
Note β€” STAR interpretation from choose_one ballots
Details

Choose_one ballots provide only each voter's top choice and no ratings. STAR results shown here are computed without true ratings and should be interpreted cautiously.

  • STAR winner: Nelson, David
  • Finalists: Nelson, David vs Groh, Cliff
  • Runoff result:
    • Nelson, David: 927 votes (40.4%)
    • Groh, Cliff: 743 votes (32.3%)
    • No preference: 627 voters (27.3%)
  • Total stars allocated: 6,315
  • Total ballots: 2,297
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
(one star above is approximately 126 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • β˜…#0: Nelson, David received 2,781 stars (44.0%) from 927 voters (40.4%)
    • β˜…#1: Groh, Cliff received 2,229 stars (35.3%) from 743 voters (32.3%)
    • β˜…#2: Franks, Lyn D. received 1,278 stars (20.2%) from 426 voters (18.5%)
    • β˜…#3: Write-in received 27 stars (0.4%) from 9 voters (0.4%)
  • Finalists:
    • β˜…Nelson, David (βœ… winner) preferred by 927 of 2,297 voters
    • β˜…Groh, Cliff preferred by 743 of 2,297 voters
    • β˜…No preference between the finalists: 627

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_18 Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_18/pairwise#pairwise
πŸ“
Note β€” Pairwise comparisons derived from top-choice-only ballots
Details

Pairwise/Condorcet comparisons use only each voter's top choice from choose_one ballots. No lower preferences are available, so many matchups will show a large 'No preference' count.

  • Winner: Nelson, David
  • Runner-up: Groh, Cliff (beats all other candidates except Nelson, David)
  • Smallest margin: Franks, Lyn D. over Write-in (426-9; margin: 417)
  • Largest margin: Nelson, David over Write-in (927-9; margin: 918)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 2,297

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_18 w-l-t table permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_18/pairwise#wlt
House_District_18 (Alaska; 2022-11-08) pairwise matchups
Nelson, David
(3-0-0)
Nelson, David
3 victories ⇣
Groh, Cliff
(2-1-0)
Nelson, David: 927(40.4%)
Groh, Cliff: 743(32.3%)
(No preference: 627; 27.3%)
Groh, Cliff
⇽ 1 loss / 2 victories† ⇣
Franks, Lyn D.
(1-2-0)
Nelson, David: 927(40.4%)
Franks, Lyn D.: 426(18.5%)
(No preference: 944; 41.1%)
Groh, Cliff: 743(32.3%)
Franks, Lyn D.: 426(18.5%)
(No preference: 1,128; 49.1%)
Franks, Lyn D.
⇽ 2 losses / 1 victory† ⇣
Write-in
(0-3-0)
Nelson, David: 927(40.4%)
Write-in: 9(0.4%)
(No preference: 1,361; 59.3%)
Groh, Cliff: 743(32.3%)
Write-in: 9(0.4%)
(No preference: 1,545; 67.3%)
Franks, Lyn D.: 426(18.5%)
Write-in: 9(0.4%)
(No preference: 1,862; 81.1%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_18 pairwise diagram permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_18/pairwise#dot

%3 Nelson, David Nelson, David 3-0-0 (3 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) Groh, Cliff Groh, Cliff 2-1-0 Nelson, David->Groh, Cliff ← Nelson, David: 927 Groh, Cliff: 743 Franks, Lyn D. Franks, Lyn D. 1-2-0 Nelson, David->Franks, Lyn D. ← Nelson, David: 927 Franks, Lyn D.: 426 Write-in Write-in 0-3-0 Nelson, David->Write-in ← Nelson, David: 927 Write-in: 9 Groh, Cliff->Franks, Lyn D. ← Groh, Cliff: 743 Franks, Lyn D.: 426 Groh, Cliff->Write-in ← Groh, Cliff: 743 Write-in: 9 Franks, Lyn D.->Write-in ← Franks, Lyn D.: 426 Write-in: 9

Voting methods: FPTP β€’ approval β€’ IRV β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

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