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House_District_20 (Alaska; 2022-11-08)

πŸ”— 2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_20     (tags: { from-bolson , actual , 2022 , 2022-11 , AK , local , Alaska-2022 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_20" election (House_District_20 (Alaska; 2022-11-08))

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Voting methods: FPTP β€’ approval β€’ IRV β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

Results

πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_20

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "choose_one". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
FPTP Gray, Andrew T.
Approval Gray, Andrew T.
IRV/RCV Gray, Andrew T.
STAR Gray, Andrew T.
Condorcet/Copeland Gray, Andrew T.
Election results summary showing voting method winners
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FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_20 FPTP results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_20/FPTP#FPTP

  • FPTP Winner: Gray, Andrew T. with 2,683 first-place votes (49.1%)
  • Runner-up: Bauer, Paul A. with 1,277 first-place votes (23.3%)
  • Margin of victory: 1,406 votes (25.7 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Gray, Andrew T.: 2,683 votes (49.1 %)
    • Bauer, Paul A.: 1,277 votes (23.3 %)
    • Harary, Jordan I.: 742 votes (13.6 %)
    • Kohlhaas, Scott A.: 212 votes (3.9 %)
    • Write-in: 30 votes (0.5 %)
  • Blanks: 525 (9.6 %)
  • Total ballots: 5,469

Approval voting results

2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_20 approval voting results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_20/approval#approval
πŸ“
Note β€” Approvals inferred from choose_one ballots
Details

Approval results are derived by treating each voter's single top choice as their only approval. Lower preferences are not available on choose_one ballots.

  • Approval Winner: Gray, Andrew T.
  • Approval Results:
    • Gray, Andrew T. — 2,683 approvals (49.06% of ballots) (βœ… winner)
    • Bauer, Paul A. — 1,277 approvals (23.35% of ballots)
    • Harary, Jordan I. — 742 approvals (13.57% of ballots)
    • Kohlhaas, Scott A. — 212 approvals (3.88% of ballots)
    • Write-in — 30 approvals (0.55% of ballots)
  • Total: 5,469 ballots (4,944 total approvals)

IRV/RCV results

2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_20 IRV/RCV result permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_20/IRV#IRV
πŸ“
Note β€” IRV/RCV applied to choose_one ballots (no transfers)
Details

These ballots indicate only a single top choice per voter. IRV/RCV on choose_one ballots cannot transfer votes or use lower preferences, so the result is equivalent to plurality on first choices.

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Gray, Andrew T. with 2,683 votes (49.1%) in final round
  • Runner-up: Bauer, Paul A. with 1,277 votes (23.3%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 525 (9.6%)
  • Number of rounds: 1
  • Ballots counted in final round: 4,944 (90.4%)
  • Majority of ballots: 2,735 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 5,469
Round 1
Overview:
Active ballots: 5,469 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 525 (9.6%)
Counted ballots: 4,944 (90.4%)
Winning threshold: 2,473 (45.22%)
IRV/RCV winner:
Gray, Andrew T.: 2,683 (49.1%)βœ…
β†’
Bauer, Paul A.: 1,277 (23.3%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Harary, Jordan I.: 742 (13.6%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Kohlhaas, Scott A.: 212 (3.9%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Write-in: 30 (0.5%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’

STAR results

2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_20 STAR results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_20/STAR#STAR
πŸ“
Note β€” STAR interpretation from choose_one ballots
Details

Choose_one ballots provide only each voter's top choice and no ratings. STAR results shown here are computed without true ratings and should be interpreted cautiously.

  • STAR winner: Gray, Andrew T.
  • Finalists: Gray, Andrew T. vs Bauer, Paul A.
  • Runoff result:
    • Gray, Andrew T.: 2,683 votes (49.1%)
    • Bauer, Paul A.: 1,277 votes (23.3%)
    • No preference: 1509 voters (27.6%)
  • Total stars allocated: 19,776
  • Total ballots: 5,469
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
(one star above is approximately 396 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • β˜…#0: Gray, Andrew T. received 10,732 stars (54.3%) from 2,683 voters (49.1%)
    • β˜…#1: Bauer, Paul A. received 5,108 stars (25.8%) from 1,277 voters (23.3%)
    • β˜…#2: Harary, Jordan I. received 2,968 stars (15.0%) from 742 voters (13.6%)
    • β˜…#3: Kohlhaas, Scott A. received 848 stars (4.3%) from 212 voters (3.9%)
    • β˜…#4: Write-in received 120 stars (0.6%) from 30 voters (0.5%)
  • Finalists:
    • β˜…Gray, Andrew T. (βœ… winner) preferred by 2,683 of 5,469 voters
    • β˜…Bauer, Paul A. preferred by 1,277 of 5,469 voters
    • β˜…No preference between the finalists: 1509

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_20 Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_20/pairwise#pairwise
πŸ“
Note β€” Pairwise comparisons derived from top-choice-only ballots
Details

Pairwise/Condorcet comparisons use only each voter's top choice from choose_one ballots. No lower preferences are available, so many matchups will show a large 'No preference' count.

  • Winner: Gray, Andrew T.
  • Runner-up: Bauer, Paul A. (beats all other candidates except Gray, Andrew T.)
  • Smallest margin: Kohlhaas, Scott A. over Write-in (212-30; margin: 182)
  • Largest margin: Gray, Andrew T. over Write-in (2,683-30; margin: 2,653)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 5,469

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_20 w-l-t table permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_20/pairwise#wlt
House_District_20 (Alaska; 2022-11-08) pairwise matchups
Gray, Andrew T.
(4-0-0)
Gray, Andrew T.
4 victories ⇣
Bauer, Paul A.
(3-1-0)
Gray, Andrew T.: 2,683(49.1%)
Bauer, Paul A.: 1,277(23.3%)
(No preference: 1,509; 27.6%)
Bauer, Paul A.
⇽ 1 loss / 3 victories† ⇣
Harary, Jordan I.
(2-2-0)
Gray, Andrew T.: 2,683(49.1%)
Harary, Jordan I.: 742(13.6%)
(No preference: 2,044; 37.4%)
Bauer, Paul A.: 1,277(23.3%)
Harary, Jordan I.: 742(13.6%)
(No preference: 3,450; 63.1%)
Harary, Jordan I.
⇽ 2 losses / 2 victories† ⇣
Kohlhaas, Scott A.
(1-3-0)
Gray, Andrew T.: 2,683(49.1%)
Kohlhaas, Scott A.: 212(3.9%)
(No preference: 2,574; 47.1%)
Bauer, Paul A.: 1,277(23.3%)
Kohlhaas, Scott A.: 212(3.9%)
(No preference: 3,980; 72.8%)
Harary, Jordan I.: 742(13.6%)
Kohlhaas, Scott A.: 212(3.9%)
(No preference: 4,515; 82.6%)
Kohlhaas, Scott A.
⇽ 3 losses / 1 victory† ⇣
Write-in
(0-4-0)
Gray, Andrew T.: 2,683(49.1%)
Write-in: 30(0.5%)
(No preference: 2,756; 50.4%)
Bauer, Paul A.: 1,277(23.3%)
Write-in: 30(0.5%)
(No preference: 4,162; 76.1%)
Harary, Jordan I.: 742(13.6%)
Write-in: 30(0.5%)
(No preference: 4,697; 85.9%)
Kohlhaas, Scott A.: 212(3.9%)
Write-in: 30(0.5%)
(No preference: 5,227; 95.6%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_20 pairwise diagram permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_20/pairwise#dot

%3 Gray, Andrew T. Gray, Andrew T. 4-0-0 (4 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) Bauer, Paul A. Bauer, Paul A. 3-1-0 Gray, Andrew T.->Bauer, Paul A. ← Gray, Andrew T.: 2683 Bauer, Paul A.: 1277 Harary, Jordan I. Harary, Jordan I. 2-2-0 Gray, Andrew T.->Harary, Jordan I. ← Gray, Andrew T.: 2683 Harary, Jordan I.: 742 Kohlhaas, Scott A. Kohlhaas, Scott A. 1-3-0 Gray, Andrew T.->Kohlhaas, Scott A. ← Gray, Andrew T.: 2683 Kohlhaas, Scott A.: 212 Write-in Write-in 0-4-0 Gray, Andrew T.->Write-in ← Gray, Andrew T.: 2683 Write-in: 30 Bauer, Paul A.->Harary, Jordan I. ← Bauer, Paul A.: 1277 Harary, Jordan I.: 742 Bauer, Paul A.->Kohlhaas, Scott A. ← Bauer, Paul A.: 1277 Kohlhaas, Scott A.: 212 Bauer, Paul A.->Write-in ← Bauer, Paul A.: 1277 Write-in: 30 Harary, Jordan I.->Kohlhaas, Scott A. ← Harary, Jordan I.: 742 Kohlhaas, Scott A.: 212 Harary, Jordan I.->Write-in ← Harary, Jordan I.: 742 Write-in: 30 Kohlhaas, Scott A.->Write-in ← Kohlhaas, Scott A.: 212 Write-in: 30

Voting methods: FPTP β€’ approval β€’ IRV β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

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