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House_District_21 (Alaska; 2022-11-08)

πŸ”— 2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_21     (tags: { from-bolson , actual , 2022 , 2022-11 , AK , local , Alaska-2022 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_21" election (House_District_21 (Alaska; 2022-11-08))

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Voting methods: FPTP β€’ approval β€’ IRV β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

Results

πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_21

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "choose_one". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
FPTP Mears, Donna C.
Approval Mears, Donna C.
IRV/RCV Mears, Donna C.
STAR Mears, Donna C.
Condorcet/Copeland Mears, Donna C.
Election results summary showing voting method winners
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FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_21 FPTP results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_21/FPTP#FPTP

  • FPTP Winner: Mears, Donna C. with 3,574 first-place votes (48.9%)
  • Runner-up: Wolfe, Forrest M. with 3,424 first-place votes (46.8%)
  • Margin of victory: 150 votes (2.1 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Mears, Donna C.: 3,574 votes (48.9 %)
    • Wolfe, Forrest M.: 3,424 votes (46.8 %)
    • Write-in: 15 votes (0.2 %)
  • Blanks: 300 (4.1 %)
  • Total ballots: 7,313

Approval voting results

2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_21 approval voting results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_21/approval#approval
πŸ“
Note β€” Approvals inferred from choose_one ballots
Details

Approval results are derived by treating each voter's single top choice as their only approval. Lower preferences are not available on choose_one ballots.

  • Approval Winner: Mears, Donna C.
  • Approval Results:
    • Mears, Donna C. — 3,574 approvals (48.87% of ballots) (βœ… winner)
    • Wolfe, Forrest M. — 3,424 approvals (46.82% of ballots)
    • Write-in — 15 approvals (0.21% of ballots)
  • Total: 7,313 ballots (7,013 total approvals)

IRV/RCV results

2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_21 IRV/RCV result permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_21/IRV#IRV
πŸ“
Note β€” IRV/RCV applied to choose_one ballots (no transfers)
Details

These ballots indicate only a single top choice per voter. IRV/RCV on choose_one ballots cannot transfer votes or use lower preferences, so the result is equivalent to plurality on first choices.

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Mears, Donna C. with 3,574 votes (48.9%) in final round
  • Runner-up: Wolfe, Forrest M. with 3,424 votes (46.8%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 300 (4.1%)
  • Number of rounds: 1
  • Ballots counted in final round: 7,013 (95.9%)
  • Majority of ballots: 3,657 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 7,313
Round 1
Overview:
Active ballots: 7,313 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 300 (4.1%)
Counted ballots: 7,013 (95.9%)
Winning threshold: 3,507 (47.96%)
IRV/RCV winner:
Mears, Donna C.: 3,574 (48.9%)βœ…
β†’
Wolfe, Forrest M.: 3,424 (46.8%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Write-in: 15 (0.2%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’

STAR results

2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_21 STAR results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_21/STAR#STAR
πŸ“
Note β€” STAR interpretation from choose_one ballots
Details

Choose_one ballots provide only each voter's top choice and no ratings. STAR results shown here are computed without true ratings and should be interpreted cautiously.

  • STAR winner: Mears, Donna C.
  • Finalists: Mears, Donna C. vs Wolfe, Forrest M.
  • Runoff result:
    • Mears, Donna C.: 3,574 votes (48.9%)
    • Wolfe, Forrest M.: 3,424 votes (46.8%)
    • No preference: 315 voters (4.3%)
  • Total stars allocated: 14,026
  • Total ballots: 7,313
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
(one star above is approximately 281 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • β˜…#0: Mears, Donna C. received 7,148 stars (51.0%) from 3,574 voters (48.9%)
    • β˜…#1: Wolfe, Forrest M. received 6,848 stars (48.8%) from 3,424 voters (46.8%)
    • β˜…#2: Write-in received 30 stars (0.2%) from 15 voters (0.2%)
  • Finalists:
    • β˜…Mears, Donna C. (βœ… winner) preferred by 3,574 of 7,313 voters
    • β˜…Wolfe, Forrest M. preferred by 3,424 of 7,313 voters
    • β˜…No preference between the finalists: 315

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_21 Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_21/pairwise#pairwise
πŸ“
Note β€” Pairwise comparisons derived from top-choice-only ballots
Details

Pairwise/Condorcet comparisons use only each voter's top choice from choose_one ballots. No lower preferences are available, so many matchups will show a large 'No preference' count.

  • Winner: Mears, Donna C.
  • Runner-up: Wolfe, Forrest M. (beats all other candidates except Mears, Donna C.)
  • Smallest margin: Wolfe, Forrest M. over Write-in (3,424-15; margin: 3,409)
  • Largest margin: Mears, Donna C. over Write-in (3,574-15; margin: 3,559)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 7,313

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_21 w-l-t table permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_21/pairwise#wlt
House_District_21 (Alaska; 2022-11-08) pairwise matchups
Mears, Donna C.
(2-0-0)
Mears, Donna C.
2 victories ⇣
Wolfe, Forrest M.
(1-1-0)
Mears, Donna C.: 3,574(48.9%)
Wolfe, Forrest M.: 3,424(46.8%)
(No preference: 315; 4.3%)
Wolfe, Forrest M.
⇽ 1 loss / 1 victory† ⇣
Write-in
(0-2-0)
Mears, Donna C.: 3,574(48.9%)
Write-in: 15(0.2%)
(No preference: 3,724; 50.9%)
Wolfe, Forrest M.: 3,424(46.8%)
Write-in: 15(0.2%)
(No preference: 3,874; 53.0%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_21 pairwise diagram permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_21/pairwise#dot

%3 Mears, Donna C. Mears, Donna C. 2-0-0 (2 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) Wolfe, Forrest M. Wolfe, Forrest M. 1-1-0 Mears, Donna C.->Wolfe, Forrest M. ← Mears, Donna C.: 3574 Wolfe, Forrest M.: 3424 Write-in Write-in 0-2-0 Mears, Donna C.->Write-in ← Mears, Donna C.: 3574 Write-in: 15 Wolfe, Forrest M.->Write-in ← Wolfe, Forrest M.: 3424 Write-in: 15

Voting methods: FPTP β€’ approval β€’ IRV β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

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