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House_District_30 (Alaska; 2022-11-08)

πŸ”— 2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_30     (tags: { from-bolson , actual , 2022 , 2022-11 , AK , local , Alaska-2022 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_30" election (House_District_30 (Alaska; 2022-11-08))

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Voting methods: FPTP β€’ approval β€’ IRV β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

Results

πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_30

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "choose_one". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
FPTP McCabe, Kevin J.
Approval McCabe, Kevin J.
IRV/RCV McCabe, Kevin J.
STAR McCabe, Kevin J.
Condorcet/Copeland McCabe, Kevin J.
Election results summary showing voting method winners
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tabbed view

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_30 FPTP results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_30/FPTP#FPTP

  • FPTP Winner: McCabe, Kevin J. with 3,391 first-place votes (41.7%)
  • Runner-up: Holmes, Doyle E. with 2,595 first-place votes (31.9%)
  • Margin of victory: 796 votes (9.8 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • McCabe, Kevin J.: 3,391 votes (41.7 %)
    • Holmes, Doyle E.: 2,595 votes (31.9 %)
    • Mindiola, L. Joy: 1,506 votes (18.5 %)
    • Write-in: 46 votes (0.6 %)
  • Blanks: 597 (7.3 %)
  • Total ballots: 8,135

Approval voting results

2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_30 approval voting results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_30/approval#approval
πŸ“
Note β€” Approvals inferred from choose_one ballots
Details

Approval results are derived by treating each voter's single top choice as their only approval. Lower preferences are not available on choose_one ballots.

  • Approval Winner: McCabe, Kevin J.
  • Approval Results:
    • McCabe, Kevin J. — 3,391 approvals (41.68% of ballots) (βœ… winner)
    • Holmes, Doyle E. — 2,595 approvals (31.9% of ballots)
    • Mindiola, L. Joy — 1,506 approvals (18.51% of ballots)
    • Write-in — 46 approvals (0.57% of ballots)
  • Total: 8,135 ballots (7,538 total approvals)

IRV/RCV results

2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_30 IRV/RCV result permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_30/IRV#IRV
πŸ“
Note β€” IRV/RCV applied to choose_one ballots (no transfers)
Details

These ballots indicate only a single top choice per voter. IRV/RCV on choose_one ballots cannot transfer votes or use lower preferences, so the result is equivalent to plurality on first choices.

  • IRV/RCV Winner: McCabe, Kevin J. with 3,391 votes (41.7%) in final round
  • Runner-up: Holmes, Doyle E. with 2,595 votes (31.9%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 2,149 (26.4%)
  • Number of rounds: 3
  • Ballots counted in final round: 5,986 (73.6%)
  • Majority of ballots: 4,068 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 8,135
Round 1 Round 2 Round 3
Overview:
Active ballots: 8,135 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 597 (7.3%)
Counted ballots: 7,538 (92.7%)
Winning threshold: 3,770 (46.34%)
Overview:
Active ballots: 8,135 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 643 (7.9%)
Counted ballots: 7,492 (92.1%)
Winning threshold: 3,747 (46.06%)
Overview:
Active ballots: 8,135 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 2,149 (26.4%)
Counted ballots: 5,986 (73.6%)
Winning threshold: 2,994 (36.80%)
McCabe, Kevin J.: 3,391 (41.7%)
β†’
McCabe, Kevin J.: 3,391 (41.7%)
β†’
IRV/RCV winner:
McCabe, Kevin J.: 3,391 (41.7%)βœ…
β†’
Holmes, Doyle E.: 2,595 (31.9%)
β†’
Holmes, Doyle E.: 2,595 (31.9%)
β†’
Holmes, Doyle E.: 2,595 (31.9%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Mindiola, L. Joy: 1,506 (18.5%)
β†’
Mindiola, L. Joy: 1,506 (18.5%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Mindiola, L. Joy
Write-in: 46 (0.6%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Write-in Write-in

STAR results

2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_30 STAR results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_30/STAR#STAR
πŸ“
Note β€” STAR interpretation from choose_one ballots
Details

Choose_one ballots provide only each voter's top choice and no ratings. STAR results shown here are computed without true ratings and should be interpreted cautiously.

  • STAR winner: McCabe, Kevin J.
  • Finalists: McCabe, Kevin J. vs Holmes, Doyle E.
  • Runoff result:
    • McCabe, Kevin J.: 3,391 votes (41.7%)
    • Holmes, Doyle E.: 2,595 votes (31.9%)
    • No preference: 2149 voters (26.4%)
  • Total stars allocated: 22,614
  • Total ballots: 8,135
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
(one star above is approximately 452 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • β˜…#0: McCabe, Kevin J. received 10,173 stars (45.0%) from 3,391 voters (41.7%)
    • β˜…#1: Holmes, Doyle E. received 7,785 stars (34.4%) from 2,595 voters (31.9%)
    • β˜…#2: Mindiola, L. Joy received 4,518 stars (20.0%) from 1,506 voters (18.5%)
    • β˜…#3: Write-in received 138 stars (0.6%) from 46 voters (0.6%)
  • Finalists:
    • β˜…McCabe, Kevin J. (βœ… winner) preferred by 3,391 of 8,135 voters
    • β˜…Holmes, Doyle E. preferred by 2,595 of 8,135 voters
    • β˜…No preference between the finalists: 2149

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_30 Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_30/pairwise#pairwise
πŸ“
Note β€” Pairwise comparisons derived from top-choice-only ballots
Details

Pairwise/Condorcet comparisons use only each voter's top choice from choose_one ballots. No lower preferences are available, so many matchups will show a large 'No preference' count.

  • Winner: McCabe, Kevin J.
  • Runner-up: Holmes, Doyle E. (beats all other candidates except McCabe, Kevin J.)
  • Smallest margin: Mindiola, L. Joy over Write-in (1,506-46; margin: 1,460)
  • Largest margin: McCabe, Kevin J. over Write-in (3,391-46; margin: 3,345)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 8,135

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_30 w-l-t table permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_30/pairwise#wlt
House_District_30 (Alaska; 2022-11-08) pairwise matchups
McCabe, Kevin J.
(3-0-0)
McCabe, Kevin J.
3 victories ⇣
Holmes, Doyle E.
(2-1-0)
McCabe, Kevin J.: 3,391(41.7%)
Holmes, Doyle E.: 2,595(31.9%)
(No preference: 2,149; 26.4%)
Holmes, Doyle E.
⇽ 1 loss / 2 victories† ⇣
Mindiola, L. Joy
(1-2-0)
McCabe, Kevin J.: 3,391(41.7%)
Mindiola, L. Joy: 1,506(18.5%)
(No preference: 3,238; 39.8%)
Holmes, Doyle E.: 2,595(31.9%)
Mindiola, L. Joy: 1,506(18.5%)
(No preference: 4,034; 49.6%)
Mindiola, L. Joy
⇽ 2 losses / 1 victory† ⇣
Write-in
(0-3-0)
McCabe, Kevin J.: 3,391(41.7%)
Write-in: 46(0.6%)
(No preference: 4,698; 57.8%)
Holmes, Doyle E.: 2,595(31.9%)
Write-in: 46(0.6%)
(No preference: 5,494; 67.5%)
Mindiola, L. Joy: 1,506(18.5%)
Write-in: 46(0.6%)
(No preference: 6,583; 80.9%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_30 pairwise diagram permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_30/pairwise#dot

%3 McCabe, Kevin J. McCabe, Kevin J. 3-0-0 (3 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) Holmes, Doyle E. Holmes, Doyle E. 2-1-0 McCabe, Kevin J.->Holmes, Doyle E. ← McCabe, Kevin J.: 3391 Holmes, Doyle E.: 2595 Mindiola, L. Joy Mindiola, L. Joy 1-2-0 McCabe, Kevin J.->Mindiola, L. Joy ← McCabe, Kevin J.: 3391 Mindiola, L. Joy: 1506 Write-in Write-in 0-3-0 McCabe, Kevin J.->Write-in ← McCabe, Kevin J.: 3391 Write-in: 46 Holmes, Doyle E.->Mindiola, L. Joy ← Holmes, Doyle E.: 2595 Mindiola, L. Joy: 1506 Holmes, Doyle E.->Write-in ← Holmes, Doyle E.: 2595 Write-in: 46 Mindiola, L. Joy->Write-in ← Mindiola, L. Joy: 1506 Write-in: 46

Voting methods: FPTP β€’ approval β€’ IRV β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

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