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House_District_39 (Alaska; 2022-11-08)

πŸ”— 2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_39     (tags: { from-bolson , actual , 2022 , 2022-11 , AK , local , Alaska-2022 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_39" election (House_District_39 (Alaska; 2022-11-08))

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Voting methods: FPTP β€’ approval β€’ IRV β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

Results

πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_39

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "choose_one". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
FPTP Foster, Neal W.
Approval Foster, Neal W.
IRV/RCV Foster, Neal W.
STAR Foster, Neal W.
Condorcet/Copeland Foster, Neal W.
Election results summary showing voting method winners
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FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_39 FPTP results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_39/FPTP#FPTP

  • FPTP Winner: Foster, Neal W. with 1,858 first-place votes (48.7%)
  • Runner-up: Ivanoff, Tyler L. with 1,765 first-place votes (46.2%)
  • Margin of victory: 93 votes (2.4 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Foster, Neal W.: 1,858 votes (48.7 %)
    • Ivanoff, Tyler L.: 1,765 votes (46.2 %)
    • Write-in: 23 votes (0.6 %)
  • Blanks: 171 (4.5 %)
  • Total ballots: 3,817

Approval voting results

2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_39 approval voting results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_39/approval#approval
πŸ“
Note β€” Approvals inferred from choose_one ballots
Details

Approval results are derived by treating each voter's single top choice as their only approval. Lower preferences are not available on choose_one ballots.

  • Approval Winner: Foster, Neal W.
  • Approval Results:
    • Foster, Neal W. — 1,858 approvals (48.68% of ballots) (βœ… winner)
    • Ivanoff, Tyler L. — 1,765 approvals (46.24% of ballots)
    • Write-in — 23 approvals (0.6% of ballots)
  • Total: 3,817 ballots (3,646 total approvals)

IRV/RCV results

2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_39 IRV/RCV result permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_39/IRV#IRV
πŸ“
Note β€” IRV/RCV applied to choose_one ballots (no transfers)
Details

These ballots indicate only a single top choice per voter. IRV/RCV on choose_one ballots cannot transfer votes or use lower preferences, so the result is equivalent to plurality on first choices.

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Foster, Neal W. with 1,858 votes (48.7%) in final round
  • Runner-up: Ivanoff, Tyler L. with 1,765 votes (46.2%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 171 (4.5%)
  • Number of rounds: 1
  • Ballots counted in final round: 3,646 (95.5%)
  • Majority of ballots: 1,909 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 3,817
Round 1
Overview:
Active ballots: 3,817 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 171 (4.5%)
Counted ballots: 3,646 (95.5%)
Winning threshold: 1,824 (47.79%)
IRV/RCV winner:
Foster, Neal W.: 1,858 (48.7%)βœ…
β†’
Ivanoff, Tyler L.: 1,765 (46.2%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Write-in: 23 (0.6%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’

STAR results

2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_39 STAR results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_39/STAR#STAR
πŸ“
Note β€” STAR interpretation from choose_one ballots
Details

Choose_one ballots provide only each voter's top choice and no ratings. STAR results shown here are computed without true ratings and should be interpreted cautiously.

  • STAR winner: Foster, Neal W.
  • Finalists: Foster, Neal W. vs Ivanoff, Tyler L.
  • Runoff result:
    • Foster, Neal W.: 1,858 votes (48.7%)
    • Ivanoff, Tyler L.: 1,765 votes (46.2%)
    • No preference: 194 voters (5.1%)
  • Total stars allocated: 7,292
  • Total ballots: 3,817
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
(one star above is approximately 146 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • β˜…#0: Foster, Neal W. received 3,716 stars (51.0%) from 1,858 voters (48.7%)
    • β˜…#1: Ivanoff, Tyler L. received 3,530 stars (48.4%) from 1,765 voters (46.2%)
    • β˜…#2: Write-in received 46 stars (0.6%) from 23 voters (0.6%)
  • Finalists:
    • β˜…Foster, Neal W. (βœ… winner) preferred by 1,858 of 3,817 voters
    • β˜…Ivanoff, Tyler L. preferred by 1,765 of 3,817 voters
    • β˜…No preference between the finalists: 194

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_39 Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_39/pairwise#pairwise
πŸ“
Note β€” Pairwise comparisons derived from top-choice-only ballots
Details

Pairwise/Condorcet comparisons use only each voter's top choice from choose_one ballots. No lower preferences are available, so many matchups will show a large 'No preference' count.

  • Winner: Foster, Neal W.
  • Runner-up: Ivanoff, Tyler L. (beats all other candidates except Foster, Neal W.)
  • Smallest margin: Ivanoff, Tyler L. over Write-in (1,765-23; margin: 1,742)
  • Largest margin: Foster, Neal W. over Write-in (1,858-23; margin: 1,835)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 3,817

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_39 w-l-t table permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_39/pairwise#wlt
House_District_39 (Alaska; 2022-11-08) pairwise matchups
Foster, Neal W.
(2-0-0)
Foster, Neal W.
2 victories ⇣
Ivanoff, Tyler L.
(1-1-0)
Foster, Neal W.: 1,858(48.7%)
Ivanoff, Tyler L.: 1,765(46.2%)
(No preference: 194; 5.1%)
Ivanoff, Tyler L.
⇽ 1 loss / 1 victory† ⇣
Write-in
(0-2-0)
Foster, Neal W.: 1,858(48.7%)
Write-in: 23(0.6%)
(No preference: 1,936; 50.7%)
Ivanoff, Tyler L.: 1,765(46.2%)
Write-in: 23(0.6%)
(No preference: 2,029; 53.2%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_39 pairwise diagram permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_39/pairwise#dot

%3 Foster, Neal W. Foster, Neal W. 2-0-0 (2 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) Ivanoff, Tyler L. Ivanoff, Tyler L. 1-1-0 Foster, Neal W.->Ivanoff, Tyler L. ← Foster, Neal W.: 1858 Ivanoff, Tyler L.: 1765 Write-in Write-in 0-2-0 Foster, Neal W.->Write-in ← Foster, Neal W.: 1858 Write-in: 23 Ivanoff, Tyler L.->Write-in ← Ivanoff, Tyler L.: 1765 Write-in: 23

Voting methods: FPTP β€’ approval β€’ IRV β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

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