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Senate_District_I (Alaska; 2022-11-08)

🔗 2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_I     (tags: { from-bolson , actual , 2022 , 2022-11 , AK , local , Alaska-2022 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_I" election (Senate_District_I (Alaska; 2022-11-08))

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Voting methods: FPTPapprovalIRVSTARPairwiseAll methods

Results

🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_I

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "choose_one". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
FPTP Tobin, Löki G.
Approval Tobin, Löki G.
IRV/RCV Tobin, Löki G.
STAR Tobin, Löki G.
Condorcet/Copeland Tobin, Löki G.
Election results summary showing voting method winners
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FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_I FPTP results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_I/FPTP#FPTP

  • FPTP Winner: Tobin, Löki G. with 5,011 first-place votes (57.2%)
  • Runner-up: Herndon, Heather with 2,428 first-place votes (27.7%)
  • Margin of victory: 2,583 votes (29.5 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Tobin, Löki G.: 5,011 votes (57.2 %)
    • Herndon, Heather: 2,428 votes (27.7 %)
    • Write-in: 105 votes (1.2 %)
  • Blanks: 1,218 (13.9 %)
  • Total ballots: 8,762

Approval voting results

2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_I approval voting results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_I/approval#approval
📝
Note — Approvals inferred from choose_one ballots
Details

Approval results are derived by treating each voter's single top choice as their only approval. Lower preferences are not available on choose_one ballots.

  • Approval Winner: Tobin, Löki G.
  • Approval Results:
    • Tobin, Löki G. — 5,011 approvals (57.19% of ballots) (✅ winner)
    • Herndon, Heather — 2,428 approvals (27.71% of ballots)
    • Write-in — 105 approvals (1.2% of ballots)
  • Total: 8,762 ballots (7,544 total approvals)

IRV/RCV results

2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_I IRV/RCV result permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_I/IRV#IRV
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Note — IRV/RCV applied to choose_one ballots (no transfers)
Details

These ballots indicate only a single top choice per voter. IRV/RCV on choose_one ballots cannot transfer votes or use lower preferences, so the result is equivalent to plurality on first choices.

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Tobin, Löki G. with 5,011 votes (57.2%) in final round
  • Runner-up: Herndon, Heather with 2,428 votes (27.7%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 1,218 (13.9%)
  • Number of rounds: 1
  • Ballots counted in final round: 7,544 (86.1%)
  • Majority of ballots: 4,382 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 8,762
Round 1
Overview:
Active ballots: 8,762 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 1,218 (13.9%)
Counted ballots: 7,544 (86.1%)
Winning threshold: 3,773 (43.06%)
IRV/RCV winner:
Tobin, Löki G.: 5,011 (57.2%)✅
Herndon, Heather: 2,428 (27.7%) (🛑eliminated)
Write-in: 105 (1.2%) (🛑eliminated)

STAR results

2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_I STAR results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_I/STAR#STAR
📝
Note — STAR interpretation from choose_one ballots
Details

Choose_one ballots provide only each voter's top choice and no ratings. STAR results shown here are computed without true ratings and should be interpreted cautiously.

  • STAR winner: Tobin, Löki G.
  • Finalists: Tobin, Löki G. vs Herndon, Heather
  • Runoff result:
    • Tobin, Löki G.: 5,011 votes (57.2%)
    • Herndon, Heather: 2,428 votes (27.7%)
    • No preference: 1323 voters (15.1%)
  • Total stars allocated: 15,088
  • Total ballots: 8,762


(one star above is approximately 302 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • #0: Tobin, Löki G. received 10,022 stars (66.4%) from 5,011 voters (57.2%)
    • #1: Herndon, Heather received 4,856 stars (32.2%) from 2,428 voters (27.7%)
    • #2: Write-in received 210 stars (1.4%) from 105 voters (1.2%)
  • Finalists:
    • Tobin, Löki G. (✅ winner) preferred by 5,011 of 8,762 voters
    • Herndon, Heather preferred by 2,428 of 8,762 voters
    • No preference between the finalists: 1323

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_I Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_I/pairwise#pairwise
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Note — Pairwise comparisons derived from top-choice-only ballots
Details

Pairwise/Condorcet comparisons use only each voter's top choice from choose_one ballots. No lower preferences are available, so many matchups will show a large 'No preference' count.

  • Winner: Tobin, Löki G.
  • Runner-up: Herndon, Heather (beats all other candidates except Tobin, Löki G.)
  • Smallest margin: Herndon, Heather over Write-in (2,428-105; margin: 2,323)
  • Largest margin: Tobin, Löki G. over Write-in (5,011-105; margin: 4,906)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 8,762

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_I w-l-t table permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_I/pairwise#wlt
Senate_District_I (Alaska; 2022-11-08) pairwise matchups
Tobin, Löki G.
(2-0-0)
Tobin, Löki G.
2 victories ⇣
Herndon, Heather
(1-1-0)
Tobin, Löki G.: 5,011(57.2%)
Herndon, Heather: 2,428(27.7%)
(No preference: 1,323; 15.1%)
Herndon, Heather
⇽ 1 loss / 1 victory
Write-in
(0-2-0)
Tobin, Löki G.: 5,011(57.2%)
Write-in: 105(1.2%)
(No preference: 3,646; 41.6%)
Herndon, Heather: 2,428(27.7%)
Write-in: 105(1.2%)
(No preference: 6,229; 71.1%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_I pairwise diagram permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_I/pairwise#dot

%3 Tobin, Löki G. Tobin, Löki G. 2-0-0 (2 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) Herndon, Heather Herndon, Heather 1-1-0 Tobin, Löki G.->Herndon, Heather ← Tobin, Löki G.: 5011 Herndon, Heather: 2428 Write-in Write-in 0-2-0 Tobin, Löki G.->Write-in ← Tobin, Löki G.: 5011 Write-in: 105 Herndon, Heather->Write-in ← Herndon, Heather: 2428 Write-in: 105

Voting methods: FPTPapprovalIRVSTARPairwiseAll methods

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