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Senate_District_J (Alaska; 2022-11-08)

🔗 2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_J     (tags: { from-bolson , actual , 2022 , 2022-11 , AK , local , Alaska-2022 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_J" election (Senate_District_J (Alaska; 2022-11-08))

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Voting methods: FPTP • approval • IRV • STAR • Pairwise • All methods

Results

🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_J

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "choose_one". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
FPTP Dunbar, Forrest
Approval Dunbar, Forrest
IRV/RCV Dunbar, Forrest
STAR Dunbar, Forrest
Condorcet/Copeland Dunbar, Forrest
Election results summary showing voting method winners
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FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_J FPTP results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_J/FPTP#FPTP

  • FPTP Winner: Dunbar, Forrest with 4,306 first-place votes (46.8%)
  • Runner-up: Satterfield, Andrew E. with 2,813 first-place votes (30.6%)
  • Margin of victory: 1,493 votes (16.2 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Dunbar, Forrest: 4,306 votes (46.8 %)
    • Satterfield, Andrew E.: 2,813 votes (30.6 %)
    • Tarr, Geran: 1,443 votes (15.7 %)
    • Write-in: 45 votes (0.5 %)
  • Blanks: 590 (6.4 %)
  • Total ballots: 9,197

Approval voting results

2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_J approval voting results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_J/approval#approval
📝
Note — Approvals inferred from choose_one ballots
Details

Approval results are derived by treating each voter's single top choice as their only approval. Lower preferences are not available on choose_one ballots.

  • Approval Winner: Dunbar, Forrest
  • Approval Results:
    • Dunbar, Forrest — 4,306 approvals (46.82% of ballots) (✅ winner)
    • Satterfield, Andrew E. — 2,813 approvals (30.59% of ballots)
    • Tarr, Geran — 1,443 approvals (15.69% of ballots)
    • Write-in — 45 approvals (0.49% of ballots)
  • Total: 9,197 ballots (8,607 total approvals)

IRV/RCV results

2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_J IRV/RCV result permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_J/IRV#IRV
📝
Note — IRV/RCV applied to choose_one ballots (no transfers)
Details

These ballots indicate only a single top choice per voter. IRV/RCV on choose_one ballots cannot transfer votes or use lower preferences, so the result is equivalent to plurality on first choices.

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Dunbar, Forrest with 4,306 votes (46.8%) in final round
  • Runner-up: Satterfield, Andrew E. with 2,813 votes (30.6%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 590 (6.4%)
  • Number of rounds: 1
  • Ballots counted in final round: 8,607 (93.6%)
  • Majority of ballots: 4,599 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 9,197
Round 1
Overview:
Active ballots: 9,197 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 590 (6.4%)
Counted ballots: 8,607 (93.6%)
Winning threshold: 4,304 (46.80%)
IRV/RCV winner:
Dunbar, Forrest: 4,306 (46.8%)✅
→
Satterfield, Andrew E.: 2,813 (30.6%) (🛑eliminated)
→
Tarr, Geran: 1,443 (15.7%) (🛑eliminated)
→
Write-in: 45 (0.5%) (🛑eliminated)
→

STAR results

2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_J STAR results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_J/STAR#STAR
📝
Note — STAR interpretation from choose_one ballots
Details

Choose_one ballots provide only each voter's top choice and no ratings. STAR results shown here are computed without true ratings and should be interpreted cautiously.

  • STAR winner: Dunbar, Forrest
  • Finalists: Dunbar, Forrest vs Satterfield, Andrew E.
  • Runoff result:
    • Dunbar, Forrest: 4,306 votes (46.8%)
    • Satterfield, Andrew E.: 2,813 votes (30.6%)
    • No preference: 2078 voters (22.6%)
  • Total stars allocated: 25,821
  • Total ballots: 9,197
★★★★★★

★★★★★

★★★★★★
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★★★★★★
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★★★★★★
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★★★★★★
(one star above is approximately 516 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • ★#0: Dunbar, Forrest received 12,918 stars (50.0%) from 4,306 voters (46.8%)
    • ★#1: Satterfield, Andrew E. received 8,439 stars (32.7%) from 2,813 voters (30.6%)
    • ★#2: Tarr, Geran received 4,329 stars (16.8%) from 1,443 voters (15.7%)
    • ★#3: Write-in received 135 stars (0.5%) from 45 voters (0.5%)
  • Finalists:
    • ★Dunbar, Forrest (✅ winner) preferred by 4,306 of 9,197 voters
    • ★Satterfield, Andrew E. preferred by 2,813 of 9,197 voters
    • ★No preference between the finalists: 2078

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_J Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_J/pairwise#pairwise
📝
Note — Pairwise comparisons derived from top-choice-only ballots
Details

Pairwise/Condorcet comparisons use only each voter's top choice from choose_one ballots. No lower preferences are available, so many matchups will show a large 'No preference' count.

  • Winner: Dunbar, Forrest
  • Runner-up: Satterfield, Andrew E. (beats all other candidates except Dunbar, Forrest)
  • Smallest margin: Tarr, Geran over Write-in (1,443-45; margin: 1,398)
  • Largest margin: Dunbar, Forrest over Write-in (4,306-45; margin: 4,261)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 9,197

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_J w-l-t table permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_J/pairwise#wlt
Senate_District_J (Alaska; 2022-11-08) pairwise matchups
Dunbar, Forrest
(3-0-0)
Dunbar, Forrest
3 victories ⇣
Satterfield, Andrew E.
(2-1-0)
Dunbar, Forrest: 4,306(46.8%)
Satterfield, Andrew E.: 2,813(30.6%)
(No preference: 2,078; 22.6%)
Satterfield, Andrew E.
⇽ 1 loss / 2 victories† ⇣
Tarr, Geran
(1-2-0)
Dunbar, Forrest: 4,306(46.8%)
Tarr, Geran: 1,443(15.7%)
(No preference: 3,448; 37.5%)
Satterfield, Andrew E.: 2,813(30.6%)
Tarr, Geran: 1,443(15.7%)
(No preference: 4,941; 53.7%)
Tarr, Geran
⇽ 2 losses / 1 victory† ⇣
Write-in
(0-3-0)
Dunbar, Forrest: 4,306(46.8%)
Write-in: 45(0.5%)
(No preference: 4,846; 52.7%)
Satterfield, Andrew E.: 2,813(30.6%)
Write-in: 45(0.5%)
(No preference: 6,339; 68.9%)
Tarr, Geran: 1,443(15.7%)
Write-in: 45(0.5%)
(No preference: 7,709; 83.8%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_J pairwise diagram permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_J/pairwise#dot

%3 Dunbar, Forrest Dunbar, Forrest 3-0-0 (3 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) Satterfield, Andrew E. Satterfield, Andrew E. 2-1-0 Dunbar, Forrest->Satterfield, Andrew E. ← Dunbar, Forrest: 4306 Satterfield, Andrew E.: 2813 Tarr, Geran Tarr, Geran 1-2-0 Dunbar, Forrest->Tarr, Geran ← Dunbar, Forrest: 4306 Tarr, Geran: 1443 Write-in Write-in 0-3-0 Dunbar, Forrest->Write-in ← Dunbar, Forrest: 4306 Write-in: 45 Satterfield, Andrew E.->Tarr, Geran ← Satterfield, Andrew E.: 2813 Tarr, Geran: 1443 Satterfield, Andrew E.->Write-in ← Satterfield, Andrew E.: 2813 Write-in: 45 Tarr, Geran->Write-in ← Tarr, Geran: 1443 Write-in: 45

Voting methods: FPTP • approval • IRV • STAR • Pairwise • All methods

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