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Senate_District_L (Alaska; 2022-11-08)

πŸ”— 2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_L     (tags: { from-bolson , actual , 2022 , 2022-11 , AK , local , Alaska-2022 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_L" election (Senate_District_L (Alaska; 2022-11-08))

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Voting methods: FPTP β€’ approval β€’ IRV β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

Results

πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_L

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "choose_one". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
FPTP Merrick, Kelly R.
Approval Merrick, Kelly R.
IRV/RCV Merrick, Kelly R.
STAR Merrick, Kelly R.
Condorcet/Copeland Merrick, Kelly R.
Election results summary showing voting method winners
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FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_L FPTP results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_L/FPTP#FPTP

  • FPTP Winner: Merrick, Kelly R. with 8,497 first-place votes (52.0%)
  • Runner-up: McCarty, Ken with 6,025 first-place votes (36.9%)
  • Margin of victory: 2,472 votes (15.1 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Merrick, Kelly R.: 8,497 votes (52.0 %)
    • McCarty, Ken: 6,025 votes (36.9 %)
    • Write-in: 156 votes (1.0 %)
  • Blanks: 1,654 (10.1 %)
  • Total ballots: 16,332

Approval voting results

2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_L approval voting results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_L/approval#approval
πŸ“
Note β€” Approvals inferred from choose_one ballots
Details

Approval results are derived by treating each voter's single top choice as their only approval. Lower preferences are not available on choose_one ballots.

  • Approval Winner: Merrick, Kelly R.
  • Approval Results:
    • Merrick, Kelly R. — 8,497 approvals (52.03% of ballots) (βœ… winner)
    • McCarty, Ken — 6,025 approvals (36.89% of ballots)
    • Write-in — 156 approvals (0.96% of ballots)
  • Total: 16,332 ballots (14,678 total approvals)

IRV/RCV results

2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_L IRV/RCV result permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_L/IRV#IRV
πŸ“
Note β€” IRV/RCV applied to choose_one ballots (no transfers)
Details

These ballots indicate only a single top choice per voter. IRV/RCV on choose_one ballots cannot transfer votes or use lower preferences, so the result is equivalent to plurality on first choices.

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Merrick, Kelly R. with 8,497 votes (52.0%) in final round
  • Runner-up: McCarty, Ken with 6,025 votes (36.9%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 1,654 (10.1%)
  • Number of rounds: 1
  • Ballots counted in final round: 14,678 (89.9%)
  • Majority of ballots: 8,167 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 16,332
Round 1
Overview:
Active ballots: 16,332 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 1,654 (10.1%)
Counted ballots: 14,678 (89.9%)
Winning threshold: 7,340 (44.94%)
IRV/RCV winner:
Merrick, Kelly R.: 8,497 (52.0%)βœ…
β†’
McCarty, Ken: 6,025 (36.9%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Write-in: 156 (1.0%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’

STAR results

2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_L STAR results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_L/STAR#STAR
πŸ“
Note β€” STAR interpretation from choose_one ballots
Details

Choose_one ballots provide only each voter's top choice and no ratings. STAR results shown here are computed without true ratings and should be interpreted cautiously.

  • STAR winner: Merrick, Kelly R.
  • Finalists: Merrick, Kelly R. vs McCarty, Ken
  • Runoff result:
    • Merrick, Kelly R.: 8,497 votes (52.0%)
    • McCarty, Ken: 6,025 votes (36.9%)
    • No preference: 1810 voters (11.1%)
  • Total stars allocated: 29,356
  • Total ballots: 16,332
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

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β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
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β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
(one star above is approximately 587 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • β˜…#0: Merrick, Kelly R. received 16,994 stars (57.9%) from 8,497 voters (52.0%)
    • β˜…#1: McCarty, Ken received 12,050 stars (41.0%) from 6,025 voters (36.9%)
    • β˜…#2: Write-in received 312 stars (1.1%) from 156 voters (1.0%)
  • Finalists:
    • β˜…Merrick, Kelly R. (βœ… winner) preferred by 8,497 of 16,332 voters
    • β˜…McCarty, Ken preferred by 6,025 of 16,332 voters
    • β˜…No preference between the finalists: 1810

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_L Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_L/pairwise#pairwise
πŸ“
Note β€” Pairwise comparisons derived from top-choice-only ballots
Details

Pairwise/Condorcet comparisons use only each voter's top choice from choose_one ballots. No lower preferences are available, so many matchups will show a large 'No preference' count.

  • Winner: Merrick, Kelly R.
  • Runner-up: McCarty, Ken (beats all other candidates except Merrick, Kelly R.)
  • Smallest margin: McCarty, Ken over Write-in (6,025-156; margin: 5,869)
  • Largest margin: Merrick, Kelly R. over Write-in (8,497-156; margin: 8,341)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 16,332

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_L w-l-t table permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_L/pairwise#wlt
Senate_District_L (Alaska; 2022-11-08) pairwise matchups
Merrick, Kelly R.
(2-0-0)
Merrick, Kelly R.
2 victories ⇣
McCarty, Ken
(1-1-0)
Merrick, Kelly R.: 8,497(52.0%)
McCarty, Ken: 6,025(36.9%)
(No preference: 1,810; 11.1%)
McCarty, Ken
⇽ 1 loss / 1 victory† ⇣
Write-in
(0-2-0)
Merrick, Kelly R.: 8,497(52.0%)
Write-in: 156(1.0%)
(No preference: 7,679; 47.0%)
McCarty, Ken: 6,025(36.9%)
Write-in: 156(1.0%)
(No preference: 10,151; 62.2%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_L pairwise diagram permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_L/pairwise#dot

%3 Merrick, Kelly R. Merrick, Kelly R. 2-0-0 (2 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) McCarty, Ken McCarty, Ken 1-1-0 Merrick, Kelly R.->McCarty, Ken ← Merrick, Kelly R.: 8497 McCarty, Ken: 6025 Write-in Write-in 0-2-0 Merrick, Kelly R.->Write-in ← Merrick, Kelly R.: 8497 Write-in: 156 McCarty, Ken->Write-in ← McCarty, Ken: 6025 Write-in: 156

Voting methods: FPTP β€’ approval β€’ IRV β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

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