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Senate_District_O (Alaska; 2022-11-08)

πŸ”— 2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_O     (tags: { from-bolson , actual , 2022 , 2022-11 , AK , local , Alaska-2022 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_O" election (Senate_District_O (Alaska; 2022-11-08))

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Ballot options

Voting methods: FPTP β€’ approval β€’ IRV β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

Results

πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_O

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "choose_one". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
FPTP Shower, Michael K.
Approval Shower, Michael K.
IRV/RCV Shower, Michael K.
STAR Shower, Michael K.
Condorcet/Copeland Shower, Michael K.
Election results summary showing voting method winners
click/tap to expand
tabbed view

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_O FPTP results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_O/FPTP#FPTP

  • FPTP Winner: Shower, Michael K. with 7,396 first-place votes (45.2%)
  • Runner-up: Massie, Doug A. with 6,712 first-place votes (41.0%)
  • Margin of victory: 684 votes (4.2 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Shower, Michael K.: 7,396 votes (45.2 %)
    • Massie, Doug A.: 6,712 votes (41.0 %)
    • Write-in: 169 votes (1.0 %)
  • Blanks: 2,078 (12.7 %)
  • Total ballots: 16,355

Approval voting results

2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_O approval voting results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_O/approval#approval
πŸ“
Note β€” Approvals inferred from choose_one ballots
Details

Approval results are derived by treating each voter's single top choice as their only approval. Lower preferences are not available on choose_one ballots.

  • Approval Winner: Shower, Michael K.
  • Approval Results:
    • Shower, Michael K. — 7,396 approvals (45.22% of ballots) (βœ… winner)
    • Massie, Doug A. — 6,712 approvals (41.04% of ballots)
    • Write-in — 169 approvals (1.03% of ballots)
  • Total: 16,355 ballots (14,277 total approvals)

IRV/RCV results

2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_O IRV/RCV result permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_O/IRV#IRV
πŸ“
Note β€” IRV/RCV applied to choose_one ballots (no transfers)
Details

These ballots indicate only a single top choice per voter. IRV/RCV on choose_one ballots cannot transfer votes or use lower preferences, so the result is equivalent to plurality on first choices.

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Shower, Michael K. with 7,396 votes (45.2%) in final round
  • Runner-up: Massie, Doug A. with 6,712 votes (41.0%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 2,078 (12.7%)
  • Number of rounds: 1
  • Ballots counted in final round: 14,277 (87.3%)
  • Majority of ballots: 8,178 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 16,355
Round 1
Overview:
Active ballots: 16,355 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 2,078 (12.7%)
Counted ballots: 14,277 (87.3%)
Winning threshold: 7,139 (43.65%)
IRV/RCV winner:
Shower, Michael K.: 7,396 (45.2%)βœ…
β†’
Massie, Doug A.: 6,712 (41.0%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Write-in: 169 (1.0%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’

STAR results

2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_O STAR results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_O/STAR#STAR
πŸ“
Note β€” STAR interpretation from choose_one ballots
Details

Choose_one ballots provide only each voter's top choice and no ratings. STAR results shown here are computed without true ratings and should be interpreted cautiously.

  • STAR winner: Shower, Michael K.
  • Finalists: Shower, Michael K. vs Massie, Doug A.
  • Runoff result:
    • Shower, Michael K.: 7,396 votes (45.2%)
    • Massie, Doug A.: 6,712 votes (41.0%)
    • No preference: 2247 voters (13.7%)
  • Total stars allocated: 28,554
  • Total ballots: 16,355
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
(one star above is approximately 571 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • β˜…#0: Shower, Michael K. received 14,792 stars (51.8%) from 7,396 voters (45.2%)
    • β˜…#1: Massie, Doug A. received 13,424 stars (47.0%) from 6,712 voters (41.0%)
    • β˜…#2: Write-in received 338 stars (1.2%) from 169 voters (1.0%)
  • Finalists:
    • β˜…Shower, Michael K. (βœ… winner) preferred by 7,396 of 16,355 voters
    • β˜…Massie, Doug A. preferred by 6,712 of 16,355 voters
    • β˜…No preference between the finalists: 2247

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_O Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_O/pairwise#pairwise
πŸ“
Note β€” Pairwise comparisons derived from top-choice-only ballots
Details

Pairwise/Condorcet comparisons use only each voter's top choice from choose_one ballots. No lower preferences are available, so many matchups will show a large 'No preference' count.

  • Winner: Shower, Michael K.
  • Runner-up: Massie, Doug A. (beats all other candidates except Shower, Michael K.)
  • Smallest margin: Massie, Doug A. over Write-in (6,712-169; margin: 6,543)
  • Largest margin: Shower, Michael K. over Write-in (7,396-169; margin: 7,227)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 16,355

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_O w-l-t table permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_O/pairwise#wlt
Senate_District_O (Alaska; 2022-11-08) pairwise matchups
Shower, Michael K.
(2-0-0)
Shower, Michael K.
2 victories ⇣
Massie, Doug A.
(1-1-0)
Shower, Michael K.: 7,396(45.2%)
Massie, Doug A.: 6,712(41.0%)
(No preference: 2,247; 13.7%)
Massie, Doug A.
⇽ 1 loss / 1 victory† ⇣
Write-in
(0-2-0)
Shower, Michael K.: 7,396(45.2%)
Write-in: 169(1.0%)
(No preference: 8,790; 53.7%)
Massie, Doug A.: 6,712(41.0%)
Write-in: 169(1.0%)
(No preference: 9,474; 57.9%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_O pairwise diagram permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_O/pairwise#dot

%3 Shower, Michael K. Shower, Michael K. 2-0-0 (2 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) Massie, Doug A. Massie, Doug A. 1-1-0 Shower, Michael K.->Massie, Doug A. ← Shower, Michael K.: 7396 Massie, Doug A.: 6712 Write-in Write-in 0-2-0 Shower, Michael K.->Write-in ← Shower, Michael K.: 7396 Write-in: 169 Massie, Doug A.->Write-in ← Massie, Doug A.: 6712 Write-in: 169

Voting methods: FPTP β€’ approval β€’ IRV β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

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