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Senate_District_S (Alaska; 2022-11-08)

πŸ”— 2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_S     (tags: { from-bolson , actual , 2022 , 2022-11 , AK , local , Alaska-2022 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_S" election (Senate_District_S (Alaska; 2022-11-08))

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Voting methods: FPTP β€’ approval β€’ IRV β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

Results

πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_S

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "choose_one". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
FPTP Hoffman, Lyman F.
Approval Hoffman, Lyman F.
IRV/RCV Hoffman, Lyman F.
STAR Hoffman, Lyman F.
Condorcet/Copeland Hoffman, Lyman F.
Election results summary showing voting method winners
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tabbed view

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_S FPTP results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_S/FPTP#FPTP

  • FPTP Winner: Hoffman, Lyman F. with 4,420 first-place votes (59.5%)
  • Runner-up: Keppel, Willy with 2,378 first-place votes (32.0%)
  • Margin of victory: 2,042 votes (27.5 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Hoffman, Lyman F.: 4,420 votes (59.5 %)
    • Keppel, Willy: 2,378 votes (32.0 %)
    • Write-in: 39 votes (0.5 %)
  • Blanks: 591 (8.0 %)
  • Total ballots: 7,428

Approval voting results

2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_S approval voting results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_S/approval#approval
πŸ“
Note β€” Approvals inferred from choose_one ballots
Details

Approval results are derived by treating each voter's single top choice as their only approval. Lower preferences are not available on choose_one ballots.

  • Approval Winner: Hoffman, Lyman F.
  • Approval Results:
    • Hoffman, Lyman F. — 4,420 approvals (59.5% of ballots) (βœ… winner)
    • Keppel, Willy — 2,378 approvals (32.01% of ballots)
    • Write-in — 39 approvals (0.53% of ballots)
  • Total: 7,428 ballots (6,837 total approvals)

IRV/RCV results

2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_S IRV/RCV result permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_S/IRV#IRV
πŸ“
Note β€” IRV/RCV applied to choose_one ballots (no transfers)
Details

These ballots indicate only a single top choice per voter. IRV/RCV on choose_one ballots cannot transfer votes or use lower preferences, so the result is equivalent to plurality on first choices.

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Hoffman, Lyman F. with 4,420 votes (59.5%) in final round
  • Runner-up: Keppel, Willy with 2,378 votes (32.0%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 591 (8.0%)
  • Number of rounds: 1
  • Ballots counted in final round: 6,837 (92.0%)
  • Majority of ballots: 3,715 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 7,428
Round 1
Overview:
Active ballots: 7,428 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 591 (8.0%)
Counted ballots: 6,837 (92.0%)
Winning threshold: 3,419 (46.03%)
IRV/RCV winner:
Hoffman, Lyman F.: 4,420 (59.5%)βœ…
β†’
Keppel, Willy: 2,378 (32.0%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Write-in: 39 (0.5%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’

STAR results

2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_S STAR results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_S/STAR#STAR
πŸ“
Note β€” STAR interpretation from choose_one ballots
Details

Choose_one ballots provide only each voter's top choice and no ratings. STAR results shown here are computed without true ratings and should be interpreted cautiously.

  • STAR winner: Hoffman, Lyman F.
  • Finalists: Hoffman, Lyman F. vs Keppel, Willy
  • Runoff result:
    • Hoffman, Lyman F.: 4,420 votes (59.5%)
    • Keppel, Willy: 2,378 votes (32.0%)
    • No preference: 630 voters (8.5%)
  • Total stars allocated: 13,674
  • Total ballots: 7,428
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
(one star above is approximately 273 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • β˜…#0: Hoffman, Lyman F. received 8,840 stars (64.6%) from 4,420 voters (59.5%)
    • β˜…#1: Keppel, Willy received 4,756 stars (34.8%) from 2,378 voters (32.0%)
    • β˜…#2: Write-in received 78 stars (0.6%) from 39 voters (0.5%)
  • Finalists:
    • β˜…Hoffman, Lyman F. (βœ… winner) preferred by 4,420 of 7,428 voters
    • β˜…Keppel, Willy preferred by 2,378 of 7,428 voters
    • β˜…No preference between the finalists: 630

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_S Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_S/pairwise#pairwise
πŸ“
Note β€” Pairwise comparisons derived from top-choice-only ballots
Details

Pairwise/Condorcet comparisons use only each voter's top choice from choose_one ballots. No lower preferences are available, so many matchups will show a large 'No preference' count.

  • Winner: Hoffman, Lyman F.
  • Runner-up: Keppel, Willy (beats all other candidates except Hoffman, Lyman F.)
  • Smallest margin: Keppel, Willy over Write-in (2,378-39; margin: 2,339)
  • Largest margin: Hoffman, Lyman F. over Write-in (4,420-39; margin: 4,381)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 7,428

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_S w-l-t table permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_S/pairwise#wlt
Senate_District_S (Alaska; 2022-11-08) pairwise matchups
Hoffman, Lyman F.
(2-0-0)
Hoffman, Lyman F.
2 victories ⇣
Keppel, Willy
(1-1-0)
Hoffman, Lyman F.: 4,420(59.5%)
Keppel, Willy: 2,378(32.0%)
(No preference: 630; 8.5%)
Keppel, Willy
⇽ 1 loss / 1 victory† ⇣
Write-in
(0-2-0)
Hoffman, Lyman F.: 4,420(59.5%)
Write-in: 39(0.5%)
(No preference: 2,969; 40.0%)
Keppel, Willy: 2,378(32.0%)
Write-in: 39(0.5%)
(No preference: 5,011; 67.5%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_S pairwise diagram permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-Senate_District_S/pairwise#dot

%3 Hoffman, Lyman F. Hoffman, Lyman F. 2-0-0 (2 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) Keppel, Willy Keppel, Willy 1-1-0 Hoffman, Lyman F.->Keppel, Willy ← Hoffman, Lyman F.: 4420 Keppel, Willy: 2378 Write-in Write-in 0-2-0 Hoffman, Lyman F.->Write-in ← Hoffman, Lyman F.: 4420 Write-in: 39 Keppel, Willy->Write-in ← Keppel, Willy: 2378 Write-in: 39

Voting methods: FPTP β€’ approval β€’ IRV β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

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