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U.S._Representative (Alaska; 2022-11-08)

πŸ”— 2022-11-08_Alaska-U.S._Representative     (tags: { from-bolson , actual , 2022 , 2022-11 , AK , local , Alaska-2022 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2022-11-08_Alaska-U.S._Representative" election (U.S._Representative (Alaska; 2022-11-08))

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Voting methods: FPTP β€’ approval β€’ IRV β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

Results

πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-U.S._Representative

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "choose_one". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
FPTP Peltola, Mary S.
Approval Peltola, Mary S.
IRV/RCV Peltola, Mary S.
STAR Peltola, Mary S.
Condorcet/Copeland Peltola, Mary S.
Election results summary showing voting method winners
click/tap to expand
tabbed view

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2022-11-08_Alaska-U.S._Representative FPTP results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-U.S._Representative/FPTP#FPTP

  • FPTP Winner: Peltola, Mary S. with 128,397 first-place votes (48.1%)
  • Runner-up: Palin, Sarah with 67,825 first-place votes (25.4%)
  • Margin of victory: 60,572 votes (22.7 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Peltola, Mary S.: 128,397 votes (48.1 %)
    • Palin, Sarah: 67,825 votes (25.4 %)
    • Begich, Nick: 61,463 votes (23.0 %)
    • Bye, Chris: 4,566 votes (1.7 %)
    • Write-in: 1,107 votes (0.4 %)
  • Blanks: 3,439 (1.3 %)
  • Total ballots: 266,797

Approval voting results

2022-11-08_Alaska-U.S._Representative approval voting results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-U.S._Representative/approval#approval
πŸ“
Note β€” Approvals inferred from choose_one ballots
Details

Approval results are derived by treating each voter's single top choice as their only approval. Lower preferences are not available on choose_one ballots.

  • Approval Winner: Peltola, Mary S.
  • Approval Results:
    • Peltola, Mary S. — 128,397 approvals (48.13% of ballots) (βœ… winner)
    • Palin, Sarah — 67,825 approvals (25.42% of ballots)
    • Begich, Nick — 61,463 approvals (23.04% of ballots)
    • Bye, Chris — 4,566 approvals (1.71% of ballots)
    • Write-in — 1,107 approvals (0.41% of ballots)
  • Total: 266,797 ballots (263,358 total approvals)

IRV/RCV results

2022-11-08_Alaska-U.S._Representative IRV/RCV result permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-U.S._Representative/IRV#IRV
πŸ“
Note β€” IRV/RCV applied to choose_one ballots (no transfers)
Details

These ballots indicate only a single top choice per voter. IRV/RCV on choose_one ballots cannot transfer votes or use lower preferences, so the result is equivalent to plurality on first choices.

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Peltola, Mary S. with 128,397 votes (48.1%) in final round
  • Runner-up: Palin, Sarah with 67,825 votes (25.4%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 70,575 (26.5%)
  • Number of rounds: 4
  • Ballots counted in final round: 196,222 (73.5%)
  • Majority of ballots: 133,399 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 266,797
Round 1 Round 2 Round 3 Round 4
Overview:
Active ballots: 266,797 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 3,439 (1.3%)
Counted ballots: 263,358 (98.7%)
Winning threshold: 131,680 (49.36%)
Overview:
Active ballots: 266,797 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 4,546 (1.7%)
Counted ballots: 262,251 (98.3%)
Winning threshold: 131,126 (49.15%)
Overview:
Active ballots: 266,797 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 9,112 (3.4%)
Counted ballots: 257,685 (96.6%)
Winning threshold: 128,843 (48.29%)
Overview:
Active ballots: 266,797 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 70,575 (26.5%)
Counted ballots: 196,222 (73.5%)
Winning threshold: 98,112 (36.77%)
Peltola, Mary S.: 128,397 (48.1%)
β†’
Peltola, Mary S.: 128,397 (48.1%)
β†’
Peltola, Mary S.: 128,397 (48.1%)
β†’
IRV/RCV winner:
Peltola, Mary S.: 128,397 (48.1%)βœ…
β†’
Palin, Sarah: 67,825 (25.4%)
β†’
Palin, Sarah: 67,825 (25.4%)
β†’
Palin, Sarah: 67,825 (25.4%)
β†’
Palin, Sarah: 67,825 (25.4%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Begich, Nick: 61,463 (23.0%)
β†’
Begich, Nick: 61,463 (23.0%)
β†’
Begich, Nick: 61,463 (23.0%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Begich, Nick
Bye, Chris: 4,566 (1.7%)
β†’
Bye, Chris: 4,566 (1.7%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Bye, Chris Bye, Chris
Write-in: 1,107 (0.4%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Write-in Write-in Write-in

STAR results

2022-11-08_Alaska-U.S._Representative STAR results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-U.S._Representative/STAR#STAR
πŸ“
Note β€” STAR interpretation from choose_one ballots
Details

Choose_one ballots provide only each voter's top choice and no ratings. STAR results shown here are computed without true ratings and should be interpreted cautiously.

  • STAR winner: Peltola, Mary S.
  • Finalists: Peltola, Mary S. vs Palin, Sarah
  • Runoff result:
    • Peltola, Mary S.: 128,397 votes (48.1%)
    • Palin, Sarah: 67,825 votes (25.4%)
    • No preference: 70575 voters (26.5%)
  • Total stars allocated: 1,053,432
  • Total ballots: 266,797
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
(one star above is approximately 21,069 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • β˜…#0: Peltola, Mary S. received 513,588 stars (48.8%) from 128,397 voters (48.1%)
    • β˜…#1: Palin, Sarah received 271,300 stars (25.8%) from 67,825 voters (25.4%)
    • β˜…#2: Begich, Nick received 245,852 stars (23.3%) from 61,463 voters (23.0%)
    • β˜…#3: Bye, Chris received 18,264 stars (1.7%) from 4,566 voters (1.7%)
    • β˜…#4: Write-in received 4,428 stars (0.4%) from 1,107 voters (0.4%)
  • Finalists:
    • β˜…Peltola, Mary S. (βœ… winner) preferred by 128,397 of 266,797 voters
    • β˜…Palin, Sarah preferred by 67,825 of 266,797 voters
    • β˜…No preference between the finalists: 70575

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2022-11-08_Alaska-U.S._Representative Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-U.S._Representative/pairwise#pairwise
πŸ“
Note β€” Pairwise comparisons derived from top-choice-only ballots
Details

Pairwise/Condorcet comparisons use only each voter's top choice from choose_one ballots. No lower preferences are available, so many matchups will show a large 'No preference' count.

  • Winner: Peltola, Mary S.
  • Runner-up: Palin, Sarah (beats all other candidates except Peltola, Mary S.)
  • Smallest margin: Bye, Chris over Write-in (4,566-1,107; margin: 3,459)
  • Largest margin: Peltola, Mary S. over Write-in (128,397-1,107; margin: 127,290)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 266,797

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2022-11-08_Alaska-U.S._Representative w-l-t table permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-U.S._Representative/pairwise#wlt
U.S._Representative (Alaska; 2022-11-08) pairwise matchups
Peltola, Mary S.
(4-0-0)
Peltola, Mary S.
4 victories ⇣
Palin, Sarah
(3-1-0)
Peltola, Mary S.: 128,397(48.1%)
Palin, Sarah: 67,825(25.4%)
(No preference: 70,575; 26.5%)
Palin, Sarah
⇽ 1 loss / 3 victories† ⇣
Begich, Nick
(2-2-0)
Peltola, Mary S.: 128,397(48.1%)
Begich, Nick: 61,463(23.0%)
(No preference: 76,937; 28.8%)
Palin, Sarah: 67,825(25.4%)
Begich, Nick: 61,463(23.0%)
(No preference: 137,509; 51.5%)
Begich, Nick
⇽ 2 losses / 2 victories† ⇣
Bye, Chris
(1-3-0)
Peltola, Mary S.: 128,397(48.1%)
Bye, Chris: 4,566(1.7%)
(No preference: 133,834; 50.2%)
Palin, Sarah: 67,825(25.4%)
Bye, Chris: 4,566(1.7%)
(No preference: 194,406; 72.9%)
Begich, Nick: 61,463(23.0%)
Bye, Chris: 4,566(1.7%)
(No preference: 200,768; 75.3%)
Bye, Chris
⇽ 3 losses / 1 victory† ⇣
Write-in
(0-4-0)
Peltola, Mary S.: 128,397(48.1%)
Write-in: 1,107(0.4%)
(No preference: 137,293; 51.5%)
Palin, Sarah: 67,825(25.4%)
Write-in: 1,107(0.4%)
(No preference: 197,865; 74.2%)
Begich, Nick: 61,463(23.0%)
Write-in: 1,107(0.4%)
(No preference: 204,227; 76.5%)
Bye, Chris: 4,566(1.7%)
Write-in: 1,107(0.4%)
(No preference: 261,124; 97.9%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2022-11-08_Alaska-U.S._Representative pairwise diagram permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-U.S._Representative/pairwise#dot

%3 Peltola, Mary S. Peltola, Mary S. 4-0-0 (4 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) Palin, Sarah Palin, Sarah 3-1-0 Peltola, Mary S.->Palin, Sarah ← Peltola, Mary S.: 128397 Palin, Sarah: 67825 Begich, Nick Begich, Nick 2-2-0 Peltola, Mary S.->Begich, Nick ← Peltola, Mary S.: 128397 Begich, Nick: 61463 Bye, Chris Bye, Chris 1-3-0 Peltola, Mary S.->Bye, Chris ← Peltola, Mary S.: 128397 Bye, Chris: 4566 Write-in Write-in 0-4-0 Peltola, Mary S.->Write-in ← Peltola, Mary S.: 128397 Write-in: 1107 Palin, Sarah->Begich, Nick ← Palin, Sarah: 67825 Begich, Nick: 61463 Palin, Sarah->Bye, Chris ← Palin, Sarah: 67825 Bye, Chris: 4566 Palin, Sarah->Write-in ← Palin, Sarah: 67825 Write-in: 1107 Begich, Nick->Bye, Chris ← Begich, Nick: 61463 Bye, Chris: 4566 Begich, Nick->Write-in ← Begich, Nick: 61463 Write-in: 1107 Bye, Chris->Write-in ← Bye, Chris: 4566 Write-in: 1107

Voting methods: FPTP β€’ approval β€’ IRV β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

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