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U.S._Senator (Alaska; 2022-11-08)

🔗 2022-11-08_Alaska-U.S._Senator     (tags: { from-bolson , actual , 2022 , 2022-11 , AK , local , Alaska-2022 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2022-11-08_Alaska-U.S._Senator" election (U.S._Senator (Alaska; 2022-11-08))

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Voting methods: FPTP • approval • IRV • STAR • Pairwise • All methods

Results

🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-U.S._Senator

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "choose_one". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
FPTP Murkowski, Lisa
Approval Murkowski, Lisa
IRV/RCV Murkowski, Lisa
STAR Murkowski, Lisa
Condorcet/Copeland Murkowski, Lisa
Election results summary showing voting method winners
click/tap to expand
tabbed view

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2022-11-08_Alaska-U.S._Senator FPTP results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-U.S._Senator/FPTP#FPTP

  • FPTP Winner: Murkowski, Lisa with 113,320 first-place votes (42.5%)
  • Runner-up: Tshibaka, Kelly C. with 111,428 first-place votes (41.8%)
  • Margin of victory: 1,892 votes (0.7 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Murkowski, Lisa: 113,320 votes (42.5 %)
    • Tshibaka, Kelly C.: 111,428 votes (41.8 %)
    • Chesbro, Patricia R.: 27,132 votes (10.2 %)
    • Kelley, Buzz A.: 7,549 votes (2.8 %)
    • Write-in: 2,025 votes (0.8 %)
  • Blanks: 5,343 (2.0 %)
  • Total ballots: 266,797

Approval voting results

2022-11-08_Alaska-U.S._Senator approval voting results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-U.S._Senator/approval#approval
📝
Note — Approvals inferred from choose_one ballots
Details

Approval results are derived by treating each voter's single top choice as their only approval. Lower preferences are not available on choose_one ballots.

  • Approval Winner: Murkowski, Lisa
  • Approval Results:
    • Murkowski, Lisa — 113,320 approvals (42.47% of ballots) (✅ winner)
    • Tshibaka, Kelly C. — 111,428 approvals (41.77% of ballots)
    • Chesbro, Patricia R. — 27,132 approvals (10.17% of ballots)
    • Kelley, Buzz A. — 7,549 approvals (2.83% of ballots)
    • Write-in — 2,025 approvals (0.76% of ballots)
  • Total: 266,797 ballots (261,454 total approvals)

IRV/RCV results

2022-11-08_Alaska-U.S._Senator IRV/RCV result permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-U.S._Senator/IRV#IRV
📝
Note — IRV/RCV applied to choose_one ballots (no transfers)
Details

These ballots indicate only a single top choice per voter. IRV/RCV on choose_one ballots cannot transfer votes or use lower preferences, so the result is equivalent to plurality on first choices.

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Murkowski, Lisa with 113,320 votes (42.5%) in final round
  • Runner-up: Tshibaka, Kelly C. with 111,428 votes (41.8%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 42,049 (15.8%)
  • Number of rounds: 4
  • Ballots counted in final round: 224,748 (84.2%)
  • Majority of ballots: 133,399 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 266,797
Round 1 Round 2 Round 3 Round 4
Overview:
Active ballots: 266,797 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 5,343 (2.0%)
Counted ballots: 261,454 (98.0%)
Winning threshold: 130,728 (49.00%)
 		Overview:
Active ballots: 266,797 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 7,368 (2.8%)
Counted ballots: 259,429 (97.2%)
Winning threshold: 129,715 (48.62%)
 		Overview:
Active ballots: 266,797 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 14,917 (5.6%)
Counted ballots: 251,880 (94.4%)
Winning threshold: 125,941 (47.20%)
 		Overview:
Active ballots: 266,797 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 42,049 (15.8%)
Counted ballots: 224,748 (84.2%)
Winning threshold: 112,375 (42.12%)
Murkowski, Lisa: 113,320 (42.5%)
→
 Murkowski, Lisa: 113,320 (42.5%)
→
 Murkowski, Lisa: 113,320 (42.5%)
→
 IRV/RCV winner:
Murkowski, Lisa: 113,320 (42.5%)✅
→
Tshibaka, Kelly C.: 111,428 (41.8%)
→
 Tshibaka, Kelly C.: 111,428 (41.8%)
→
 Tshibaka, Kelly C.: 111,428 (41.8%)
→
 Tshibaka, Kelly C.: 111,428 (41.8%) (🛑eliminated)
→
Chesbro, Patricia R.: 27,132 (10.2%)
→
 Chesbro, Patricia R.: 27,132 (10.2%)
→
 Chesbro, Patricia R.: 27,132 (10.2%) (🛑eliminated)
→
 Chesbro, Patricia R.
Kelley, Buzz A.: 7,549 (2.8%)
→
 Kelley, Buzz A.: 7,549 (2.8%) (🛑eliminated)
→
 Kelley, Buzz A. Kelley, Buzz A.
Write-in: 2,025 (0.8%) (🛑eliminated)
→
 Write-in Write-in Write-in

STAR results

2022-11-08_Alaska-U.S._Senator STAR results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-U.S._Senator/STAR#STAR
📝
Note — STAR interpretation from choose_one ballots
Details

Choose_one ballots provide only each voter's top choice and no ratings. STAR results shown here are computed without true ratings and should be interpreted cautiously.

  • STAR winner: Murkowski, Lisa
  • Finalists: Murkowski, Lisa vs Tshibaka, Kelly C.
  • Runoff result:
    • Murkowski, Lisa: 113,320 votes (42.5%)
    • Tshibaka, Kelly C.: 111,428 votes (41.8%)
    • No preference: 42049 voters (15.8%)
  • Total stars allocated: 1,045,816
  • Total ballots: 266,797
★★★★★★

★★★★★

★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
(one star above is approximately 20,916 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • ★#0: Murkowski, Lisa received 453,280 stars (43.3%) from 113,320 voters (42.5%)
    • ★#1: Tshibaka, Kelly C. received 445,712 stars (42.6%) from 111,428 voters (41.8%)
    • ★#2: Chesbro, Patricia R. received 108,528 stars (10.4%) from 27,132 voters (10.2%)
    • ★#3: Kelley, Buzz A. received 30,196 stars (2.9%) from 7,549 voters (2.8%)
    • ★#4: Write-in received 8,100 stars (0.8%) from 2,025 voters (0.8%)
  • Finalists:
    • ★Murkowski, Lisa (✅ winner) preferred by 113,320 of 266,797 voters
    • ★Tshibaka, Kelly C. preferred by 111,428 of 266,797 voters
    • ★No preference between the finalists: 42049

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2022-11-08_Alaska-U.S._Senator Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-U.S._Senator/pairwise#pairwise
📝
Note — Pairwise comparisons derived from top-choice-only ballots
Details

Pairwise/Condorcet comparisons use only each voter's top choice from choose_one ballots. No lower preferences are available, so many matchups will show a large 'No preference' count.

  • Winner: Murkowski, Lisa
  • Runner-up: Tshibaka, Kelly C. (beats all other candidates except Murkowski, Lisa)
  • Smallest margin: Kelley, Buzz A. over Write-in (7,549-2,025; margin: 5,524)
  • Largest margin: Murkowski, Lisa over Write-in (113,320-2,025; margin: 111,295)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 266,797

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2022-11-08_Alaska-U.S._Senator w-l-t table permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-U.S._Senator/pairwise#wlt
U.S._Senator (Alaska; 2022-11-08) pairwise matchups
Murkowski, Lisa
(4-0-0)
Murkowski, Lisa
4 victories ⇣
Tshibaka, Kelly C.
(3-1-0)
Murkowski, Lisa: 113,320(42.5%)
Tshibaka, Kelly C.: 111,428(41.8%)
(No preference: 42,049; 15.8%)
Tshibaka, Kelly C.
⇽ 1 loss / 3 victories† ⇣
Chesbro, Patricia R.
(2-2-0)
Murkowski, Lisa: 113,320(42.5%)
Chesbro, Patricia R.: 27,132(10.2%)
(No preference: 126,345; 47.4%)
Tshibaka, Kelly C.: 111,428(41.8%)
Chesbro, Patricia R.: 27,132(10.2%)
(No preference: 128,237; 48.1%)
Chesbro, Patricia R.
⇽ 2 losses / 2 victories† ⇣
Kelley, Buzz A.
(1-3-0)
Murkowski, Lisa: 113,320(42.5%)
Kelley, Buzz A.: 7,549(2.8%)
(No preference: 145,928; 54.7%)
Tshibaka, Kelly C.: 111,428(41.8%)
Kelley, Buzz A.: 7,549(2.8%)
(No preference: 147,820; 55.4%)
Chesbro, Patricia R.: 27,132(10.2%)
Kelley, Buzz A.: 7,549(2.8%)
(No preference: 232,116; 87.0%)
Kelley, Buzz A.
⇽ 3 losses / 1 victory† ⇣
Write-in
(0-4-0)
Murkowski, Lisa: 113,320(42.5%)
Write-in: 2,025(0.8%)
(No preference: 151,452; 56.8%)
Tshibaka, Kelly C.: 111,428(41.8%)
Write-in: 2,025(0.8%)
(No preference: 153,344; 57.5%)
Chesbro, Patricia R.: 27,132(10.2%)
Write-in: 2,025(0.8%)
(No preference: 237,640; 89.1%)
Kelley, Buzz A.: 7,549(2.8%)
Write-in: 2,025(0.8%)
(No preference: 257,223; 96.4%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2022-11-08_Alaska-U.S._Senator pairwise diagram permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-U.S._Senator/pairwise#dot

%3 Murkowski, Lisa Murkowski, Lisa 4-0-0 (4 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) Tshibaka, Kelly C. Tshibaka, Kelly C. 3-1-0 Murkowski, Lisa->Tshibaka, Kelly C. ← Murkowski, Lisa: 113320 Tshibaka, Kelly C.: 111428 Chesbro, Patricia R. Chesbro, Patricia R. 2-2-0 Murkowski, Lisa->Chesbro, Patricia R. ← Murkowski, Lisa: 113320 Chesbro, Patricia R.: 27132 Kelley, Buzz A. Kelley, Buzz A. 1-3-0 Murkowski, Lisa->Kelley, Buzz A. ← Murkowski, Lisa: 113320 Kelley, Buzz A.: 7549 Write-in Write-in 0-4-0 Murkowski, Lisa->Write-in ← Murkowski, Lisa: 113320 Write-in: 2025 Tshibaka, Kelly C.->Chesbro, Patricia R. ← Tshibaka, Kelly C.: 111428 Chesbro, Patricia R.: 27132 Tshibaka, Kelly C.->Kelley, Buzz A. ← Tshibaka, Kelly C.: 111428 Kelley, Buzz A.: 7549 Tshibaka, Kelly C.->Write-in ← Tshibaka, Kelly C.: 111428 Write-in: 2025 Chesbro, Patricia R.->Kelley, Buzz A. ← Chesbro, Patricia R.: 27132 Kelley, Buzz A.: 7549 Chesbro, Patricia R.->Write-in ← Chesbro, Patricia R.: 27132 Write-in: 2025 Kelley, Buzz A.->Write-in ← Kelley, Buzz A.: 7549 Write-in: 2025

Voting methods: FPTP • approval • IRV • STAR • Pairwise • All methods

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