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CON Council Member_13th Council District (NYC; 2023-06-27)

πŸ”— 2023-06-27_NYC-CON_Council_Member_13th_Council_District     (tags: { from-bolson , actual , NYC-2023 , NY , NYC_NY , 2023 , 2023-06 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2023-06-27_NYC-CON_Council_Member_13th_Council_District" election (CON Council Member_13th Council District (NYC; 2023-06-27))

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Voting methods: IRV β€’ FPTP β€’ approval β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

Results

πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2023-06-27_NYC-CON_Council_Member_13th_Council_District

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "ranked". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
IRV/RCV Kristy Marmorato
FPTP Kristy Marmorato
Approval Kristy Marmorato
STAR Kristy Marmorato
Condorcet/Copeland Kristy Marmorato
Election results summary showing voting method winners
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tabbed view

IRV/RCV results

2023-06-27_NYC-CON_Council_Member_13th_Council_District IRV/RCV result permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2023-06-27_NYC-CON_Council_Member_13th_Council_District/IRV#IRV

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Kristy Marmorato with 59 votes (52.7%) in final round
  • Runner-up: George Havranek with 37 votes (33.0%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 0 (0.0%)
  • Number of rounds: 1
  • Ballots counted in final round: 112 (100.0%)
  • Majority of ballots: 57 (50.9%)
  • Total ballots: 112
Round 1
Overview:
Active ballots: 112 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 0 (0.0%)
Counted ballots: 112 (100.0%)
IRV/RCV winner:
Kristy Marmorato: 59 (52.7%)βœ…
β†’
George Havranek: 37 (33.0%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Hasime Samantha Zherka: 16 (14.3%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2023-06-27_NYC-CON_Council_Member_13th_Council_District FPTP results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2023-06-27_NYC-CON_Council_Member_13th_Council_District/FPTP#FPTP
πŸ“
Note β€” Only using first-choices on ranked ballots

  • FPTP Winner: Kristy Marmorato with 59 first-place votes (52.7%)
  • Runner-up: George Havranek with 37 first-place votes (33.0%)
  • Margin of victory: 22 votes (19.6 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Kristy Marmorato: 59 votes (52.7 %)
    • George Havranek: 37 votes (33.0 %)
    • Hasime Samantha Zherka: 16 votes (14.3 %)
  • Total ballots: 112

Approval voting results

2023-06-27_NYC-CON_Council_Member_13th_Council_District approval voting results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2023-06-27_NYC-CON_Council_Member_13th_Council_District/approval#approval
πŸ“
Note β€” Approval counts estimated from 112 ranked ballots using favorite_viable_half method
Details

The 'favorite_viable_half' conversion algorithm: find the candidate with the most first preferences, and then determine the minimum number of figurative seats that would need to be open in order for the candidate to exceed the Hare quota with the given first-prefs. We use this to estimate how many candidates are likely to be viable candidates.

Using first-choice vote totals as a rough guide, approximately 2 candidates appear viable: Kristy Marmorato and George Havranek. The approximation then assumes each voter approves up to 1 of their top-ranked viable candidates (half of 2). All candidates ranked at or above the lowest-ranked of each ballot's top viable candidates receive approval (considering up to 1 viable candidates per ballot).

See transformed ballots

Note: For Approval, these choose_many ballots are inferred from ranked ballots.

Conversion method: favorite_viable_half

#------- metadata -------
{ballotcount: 112}
{version: "0.1"}
{ballotcount_abif_metadata: "112"}
{is_ranking_to_rating: true}
#------ candlines ------
=[Kristy Marmorato]:[Kristy Marmorato]
=[George Havranek]:[George Havranek]
=[Hasime Samantha Zherka]:[Hasime Samantha Zherka]
#------- votelines ------
19:[Kristy Marmorato]/1
18:[Kristy Marmorato]/1
12:[Kristy Marmorato]/1
9:[George Havranek]/1
8:[George Havranek]/1
7:[George Havranek]/1
5:[Hasime Samantha Zherka]/1=[Kristy Marmorato]/1
5:[George Havranek]/1
4:[George Havranek]/1=[Hasime Samantha Zherka]/1
4:[George Havranek]/1
4:[George Havranek]/1=[Hasime Samantha Zherka]/1
3:[Kristy Marmorato]/1
2:[George Havranek]/1
2:[Kristy Marmorato]/1
2:[Hasime Samantha Zherka]/1=[Kristy Marmorato]/1
2:[Kristy Marmorato]/1
2:[Kristy Marmorato]/1
1:[George Havranek]/1
1:[Kristy Marmorato]/1
1:[George Havranek]/1
  • Approval Winner: Kristy Marmorato
  • Approval Results:
    • Kristy Marmorato — 66 approvals (58.93% of ballots) (βœ… winner)
    • George Havranek — 45 approvals (40.18% of ballots)
    • Hasime Samantha Zherka — 15 approvals (13.39% of ballots)
  • Total: 112 ballots (126 total approvals)

STAR results

2023-06-27_NYC-CON_Council_Member_13th_Council_District STAR results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2023-06-27_NYC-CON_Council_Member_13th_Council_District/STAR#STAR
πŸ“
Note β€” STAR ratings estimated from ranked ballots using Borda scoring method
Details

The ranked ballots have been converted to STAR ratings using Borda scoring: each candidate receives points equal to (number_of_candidates - their_rank). In this election, we have 3 candidates, so the 1st choice gets 2 points, the 2nd choice gets 1 points, etc. These Borda scores are then used as STAR ratings for tabulation by STAR.

  • STAR winner: Kristy Marmorato
  • Finalists: Kristy Marmorato vs George Havranek
  • Runoff result:
    • Kristy Marmorato: 66 votes (58.9%)
    • George Havranek: 45 votes (40.2%)
    • No preference: 1 voters (0.9%)
  • Total stars allocated: 305
  • Total ballots: 112
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
(one star above is approximately 6 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • β˜…#0: Kristy Marmorato received 140 stars (45.9%) from 81 voters (72.3%)
    • β˜…#1: George Havranek received 103 stars (33.8%) from 66 voters (58.9%)
    • β˜…#2: Hasime Samantha Zherka received 62 stars (20.3%) from 46 voters (41.1%)
  • Finalists:
    • β˜…Kristy Marmorato (βœ… winner) preferred by 66 of 112 voters
    • β˜…George Havranek preferred by 45 of 112 voters
    • β˜…No preference between the finalists: 1

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2023-06-27_NYC-CON_Council_Member_13th_Council_District Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2023-06-27_NYC-CON_Council_Member_13th_Council_District/pairwise#pairwise
  • Winner: Kristy Marmorato
  • Runner-up: George Havranek (beats all other candidates except Kristy Marmorato)
  • Smallest margin: George Havranek over Hasime Samantha Zherka (58-33; margin: 25)
  • Largest margin: Kristy Marmorato over Hasime Samantha Zherka (74-29; margin: 45)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 112

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2023-06-27_NYC-CON_Council_Member_13th_Council_District w-l-t table permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2023-06-27_NYC-CON_Council_Member_13th_Council_District/pairwise#wlt
CON Council Member_13th Council District (NYC; 2023-06-27) pairwise matchups
Kristy Marmorato
(2-0-0)
Kristy Marmorato
2 victories ⇣
George Havranek
(1-1-0)
Kristy Marmorato: 66(58.9%)
George Havranek: 45(40.2%)
(No preference: 1; 0.9%)
George Havranek
⇽ 1 loss / 1 victory† ⇣
Hasime Samantha Zherka
(0-2-0)
Kristy Marmorato: 74(66.1%)
Hasime Samantha Zherka: 29(25.9%)
(No preference: 9; 8.0%)
George Havranek: 58(51.8%)
Hasime Samantha Zherka: 33(29.5%)
(No preference: 21; 18.8%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2023-06-27_NYC-CON_Council_Member_13th_Council_District pairwise diagram permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2023-06-27_NYC-CON_Council_Member_13th_Council_District/pairwise#dot

%3 Kristy Marmorato Kristy Marmorato 2-0-0 (2 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) George Havranek George Havranek 1-1-0 Kristy Marmorato->George Havranek ← Kristy Marmorato: 66 George Havranek: 45 Hasime Samantha Zherka Hasime Samantha Zherka 0-2-0 Kristy Marmorato->Hasime Samantha Zherka ← Kristy Marmorato: 74 Hasime Samantha Zherka: 29 George Havranek->Hasime Samantha Zherka ← George Havranek: 58 Hasime Samantha Zherka: 33

Voting methods: IRV β€’ FPTP β€’ approval β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

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