awt logo

DEM Council Member_13th Council District (NYC; 2023-06-27)

πŸ”— 2023-06-27_NYC-DEM_Council_Member_13th_Council_District     (tags: { from-bolson , actual , NYC-2023 , NY , NYC_NY , 2023 , 2023-06 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2023-06-27_NYC-DEM_Council_Member_13th_Council_District" election (DEM Council Member_13th Council District (NYC; 2023-06-27))

ABIF submission area (show)
Method options
Ballot options

Voting methods: IRV β€’ FPTP β€’ approval β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

Results

πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2023-06-27_NYC-DEM_Council_Member_13th_Council_District

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "ranked". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
IRV/RCV Marjorie Velazquez
FPTP Marjorie Velazquez
Approval Marjorie Velazquez
STAR Marjorie Velazquez
Condorcet/Copeland Marjorie Velazquez
Election results summary showing voting method winners
click/tap to expand
tabbed view

IRV/RCV results

2023-06-27_NYC-DEM_Council_Member_13th_Council_District IRV/RCV result permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2023-06-27_NYC-DEM_Council_Member_13th_Council_District/IRV#IRV

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Marjorie Velazquez with 2,816 votes (66.5%) in final round
  • Runner-up: Bernadette Ferrara with 835 votes (19.7%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 0 (0.0%)
  • Number of rounds: 1
  • Ballots counted in final round: 4,237 (100.0%)
  • Majority of ballots: 2,119 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 4,237
Round 1
Overview:
Active ballots: 4,237 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 0 (0.0%)
Counted ballots: 4,237 (100.0%)
IRV/RCV winner:
Marjorie Velazquez: 2,816 (66.5%)βœ…
β†’
Bernadette Ferrara: 835 (19.7%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Irene Estrada: 326 (7.7%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
John Perez: 260 (6.1%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2023-06-27_NYC-DEM_Council_Member_13th_Council_District FPTP results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2023-06-27_NYC-DEM_Council_Member_13th_Council_District/FPTP#FPTP
πŸ“
Note β€” Only using first-choices on ranked ballots

  • FPTP Winner: Marjorie Velazquez with 2,816 first-place votes (66.5%)
  • Runner-up: Bernadette Ferrara with 835 first-place votes (19.7%)
  • Margin of victory: 1,981 votes (46.8 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Marjorie Velazquez: 2,816 votes (66.5 %)
    • Bernadette Ferrara: 835 votes (19.7 %)
    • Irene Estrada: 326 votes (7.7 %)
    • John Perez: 260 votes (6.1 %)
  • Total ballots: 4,237

Approval voting results

2023-06-27_NYC-DEM_Council_Member_13th_Council_District approval voting results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2023-06-27_NYC-DEM_Council_Member_13th_Council_District/approval#approval
πŸ“
Note β€” Approval counts estimated from 4,237 ranked ballots using favorite_viable_half method
Details

The 'favorite_viable_half' conversion algorithm: find the candidate with the most first preferences, and then determine the minimum number of figurative seats that would need to be open in order for the candidate to exceed the Hare quota with the given first-prefs. We use this to estimate how many candidates are likely to be viable candidates.

Using first-choice vote totals as a rough guide, approximately 2 candidates appear viable: Marjorie Velazquez and Bernadette Ferrara. The approximation then assumes each voter approves up to 1 of their top-ranked viable candidates (half of 2). All candidates ranked at or above the lowest-ranked of each ballot's top viable candidates receive approval (considering up to 1 viable candidates per ballot).

See transformed ballots

Note: For Approval, these choose_many ballots are inferred from ranked ballots.

Conversion method: favorite_viable_half

#------- metadata -------
{ballotcount: 4237}
{version: "0.1"}
{ballotcount_abif_metadata: "4237"}
{is_ranking_to_rating: true}
#------ candlines ------
=[Marjorie Velazquez]:[Marjorie Velazquez]
=[Irene Estrada]:[Irene Estrada]
=[Bernadette Ferrara]:[Bernadette Ferrara]
=[John Perez]:[John Perez]
#------- votelines ------
1135:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
380:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
244:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
203:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
132:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
114:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
113:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
98:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
75:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
74:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
67:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
61:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
59:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
55:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
55:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
51:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
51:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
40:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1=[John Perez]/1
40:[Irene Estrada]/1=[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
38:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
32:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
31:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
30:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
30:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
30:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1=[Irene Estrada]/1
26:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
25:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
25:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1=[Irene Estrada]/1
24:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1=[Irene Estrada]/1
22:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
21:[John Perez]/1=[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
19:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
19:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
18:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
17:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
17:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1=[Irene Estrada]/1
16:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
16:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
16:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
15:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
12:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
12:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
12:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1=[John Perez]/1
12:[Irene Estrada]/1=[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
12:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
11:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
11:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1=[John Perez]/1
11:[Irene Estrada]/1=[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
11:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
11:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
10:[Irene Estrada]/1=[John Perez]/1=[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
10:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1=[Irene Estrada]/1=[John Perez]/1
9:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1=[Irene Estrada]/1=[John Perez]/1
9:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
9:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
8:[Irene Estrada]/1=[John Perez]/1=[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
8:[John Perez]/1=[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
8:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
7:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
7:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1=[John Perez]/1
7:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1=[Irene Estrada]/1=[John Perez]/1
7:[John Perez]/1=[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
6:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1=[John Perez]/1
6:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
6:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
6:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1=[John Perez]/1
6:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
6:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
6:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
6:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
6:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
6:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1=[Irene Estrada]/1
6:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
6:[John Perez]/1=[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
5:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1=[Irene Estrada]/1=[John Perez]/1
5:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
5:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
5:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1=[Irene Estrada]/1
5:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
5:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
5:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
4:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
4:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1=[Irene Estrada]/1
4:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1=[Irene Estrada]/1=[John Perez]/1
4:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1=[John Perez]/1
4:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
4:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
4:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
3:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1=[John Perez]/1
3:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
3:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1=[Irene Estrada]/1
3:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
3:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1=[Irene Estrada]/1
3:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1=[John Perez]/1
3:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1=[Irene Estrada]/1=[John Perez]/1
3:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
3:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
3:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
3:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
3:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
3:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
3:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
3:[Irene Estrada]/1=[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
3:[Irene Estrada]/1=[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
3:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
3:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
3:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
2:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
2:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
2:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
2:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
2:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
2:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1=[John Perez]/1
2:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
2:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
2:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
2:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1=[Irene Estrada]/1
2:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
2:[Irene Estrada]/1=[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
2:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
2:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
2:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
2:[Irene Estrada]/1=[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
2:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
2:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
2:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
2:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
2:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
2:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1=[Irene Estrada]/1=[John Perez]/1
2:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
2:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
2:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1=[Irene Estrada]/1=[John Perez]/1
2:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
1:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
1:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
1:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
1:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
1:[John Perez]/1=[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
1:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
1:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1=[John Perez]/1
1:[Irene Estrada]/1=[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
1:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1=[Irene Estrada]/1
1:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1=[Irene Estrada]/1
1:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
1:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
1:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1=[Irene Estrada]/1=[John Perez]/1
1:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
1:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
1:[Irene Estrada]/1=[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
1:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
1:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
1:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
1:[Irene Estrada]/1=[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
1:[Irene Estrada]/1=[John Perez]/1=[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
1:[Irene Estrada]/1=[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
1:[John Perez]/1=[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
1:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1=[Irene Estrada]/1
1:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
1:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
1:[Irene Estrada]/1=[John Perez]/1=[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
1:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1=[Irene Estrada]/1=[John Perez]/1
1:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
1:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
1:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1=[John Perez]/1
1:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
1:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
1:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
1:[Irene Estrada]/1=[John Perez]/1=[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
1:[Irene Estrada]/1=[John Perez]/1=[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
1:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
1:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
1:[Irene Estrada]/1=[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
1:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
1:[Irene Estrada]/1=[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
1:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1=[Irene Estrada]/1=[John Perez]/1
1:[John Perez]/1=[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
1:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
1:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
1:[John Perez]/1=[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
1:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
1:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
1:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1=[Irene Estrada]/1
1:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1=[Irene Estrada]/1=[John Perez]/1
1:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
1:[Irene Estrada]/1=[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
1:[Irene Estrada]/1=[John Perez]/1=[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
1:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
1:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1=[John Perez]/1
1:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
1:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1=[Irene Estrada]/1
1:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
1:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
1:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
1:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
1:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
1:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
1:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1=[Irene Estrada]/1=[John Perez]/1
1:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1=[Irene Estrada]/1
1:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
1:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
1:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
1:[John Perez]/1=[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
1:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1=[John Perez]/1
1:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
1:[John Perez]/1=[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
1:[Irene Estrada]/1=[John Perez]/1=[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
1:[Irene Estrada]/1=[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
1:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
1:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
1:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
1:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
1:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1=[Irene Estrada]/1
1:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
1:[John Perez]/1=[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
1:[John Perez]/1=[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
1:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
1:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1=[John Perez]/1
1:[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
1:[Irene Estrada]/1=[Marjorie Velazquez]/1
1:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1
1:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1=[Irene Estrada]/1=[John Perez]/1
1:[Bernadette Ferrara]/1=[John Perez]/1
  • Approval Winner: Marjorie Velazquez
  • Approval Results:
    • Marjorie Velazquez — 2,972 approvals (70.14% of ballots) (βœ… winner)
    • Bernadette Ferrara — 1,109 approvals (26.17% of ballots)
    • Irene Estrada — 280 approvals (6.61% of ballots)
    • John Perez — 222 approvals (5.24% of ballots)
  • Total: 4,237 ballots (4,583 total approvals)

STAR results

2023-06-27_NYC-DEM_Council_Member_13th_Council_District STAR results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2023-06-27_NYC-DEM_Council_Member_13th_Council_District/STAR#STAR
πŸ“
Note β€” STAR ratings estimated from ranked ballots using Borda scoring method
Details

The ranked ballots have been converted to STAR ratings using Borda scoring: each candidate receives points equal to (number_of_candidates - their_rank). In this election, we have 4 candidates, so the 1st choice gets 3 points, the 2nd choice gets 2 points, etc. These Borda scores are then used as STAR ratings for tabulation by STAR.

  • STAR winner: Marjorie Velazquez
  • Finalists: Marjorie Velazquez vs Bernadette Ferrara
  • Runoff result:
    • Marjorie Velazquez: 2,972 votes (70.1%)
    • Bernadette Ferrara: 1,109 votes (26.2%)
    • No preference: 156 voters (3.7%)
  • Total stars allocated: 20,038
  • Total ballots: 4,237
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
(one star above is approximately 401 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • β˜…#0: Marjorie Velazquez received 9,102 stars (45.4%) from 3,205 voters (75.6%)
    • β˜…#1: Bernadette Ferrara received 4,488 stars (22.4%) from 2,169 voters (51.2%)
    • β˜…#2: Irene Estrada received 3,949 stars (19.7%) from 2,171 voters (51.2%)
    • β˜…#3: John Perez received 2,499 stars (12.5%) from 1,413 voters (33.3%)
  • Finalists:
    • β˜…Marjorie Velazquez (βœ… winner) preferred by 2,972 of 4,237 voters
    • β˜…Bernadette Ferrara preferred by 1,109 of 4,237 voters
    • β˜…No preference between the finalists: 156

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2023-06-27_NYC-DEM_Council_Member_13th_Council_District Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2023-06-27_NYC-DEM_Council_Member_13th_Council_District/pairwise#pairwise
  • Winner: Marjorie Velazquez
  • Runner-up: Bernadette Ferrara (beats all other candidates except Marjorie Velazquez)
  • Smallest margin: Bernadette Ferrara over Irene Estrada (1,463-1,365; margin: 98)
  • Largest margin: Marjorie Velazquez over John Perez (3,104-715; margin: 2,389)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 4,237

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2023-06-27_NYC-DEM_Council_Member_13th_Council_District w-l-t table permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2023-06-27_NYC-DEM_Council_Member_13th_Council_District/pairwise#wlt
DEM Council Member_13th Council District (NYC; 2023-06-27) pairwise matchups
Marjorie Velazquez
(3-0-0)
Marjorie Velazquez
3 victories ⇣
Bernadette Ferrara
(2-1-0)
Marjorie Velazquez: 2,972(70.1%)
Bernadette Ferrara: 1,109(26.2%)
(No preference: 156; 3.7%)
Bernadette Ferrara
⇽ 1 loss / 2 victories† ⇣
Irene Estrada
(1-2-0)
Marjorie Velazquez: 3,026(71.4%)
Irene Estrada: 832(19.6%)
(No preference: 379; 8.9%)
Bernadette Ferrara: 1,463(34.5%)
Irene Estrada: 1,365(32.2%)
(No preference: 1,409; 33.3%)
Irene Estrada
⇽ 2 losses / 1 victory† ⇣
John Perez
(0-3-0)
Marjorie Velazquez: 3,104(73.3%)
John Perez: 715(16.9%)
(No preference: 418; 9.9%)
Bernadette Ferrara: 1,916(45.2%)
John Perez: 894(21.1%)
(No preference: 1,427; 33.7%)
Irene Estrada: 1,752(41.4%)
John Perez: 890(21.0%)
(No preference: 1,595; 37.6%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2023-06-27_NYC-DEM_Council_Member_13th_Council_District pairwise diagram permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2023-06-27_NYC-DEM_Council_Member_13th_Council_District/pairwise#dot

%3 Marjorie Velazquez Marjorie Velazquez 3-0-0 (3 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) Bernadette Ferrara Bernadette Ferrara 2-1-0 Marjorie Velazquez->Bernadette Ferrara ← Marjorie Velazquez: 2972 Bernadette Ferrara: 1109 Irene Estrada Irene Estrada 1-2-0 Marjorie Velazquez->Irene Estrada ← Marjorie Velazquez: 3026 Irene Estrada: 832 John Perez John Perez 0-3-0 Marjorie Velazquez->John Perez ← Marjorie Velazquez: 3104 John Perez: 715 Bernadette Ferrara->Irene Estrada ← Bernadette Ferrara: 1463 Irene Estrada: 1365 Bernadette Ferrara->John Perez ← Bernadette Ferrara: 1916 John Perez: 894 Irene Estrada->John Perez ← Irene Estrada: 1752 John Perez: 890

Voting methods: IRV β€’ FPTP β€’ approval β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

(homepage)