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DEM Council Member_19th Council District (NYC; 2023-06-27)

🔗 2023-06-27_NYC-DEM_Council_Member_19th_Council_District     (tags: { from-bolson , actual , NYC-2023 , NY , NYC_NY , 2023 , 2023-06 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2023-06-27_NYC-DEM_Council_Member_19th_Council_District" election (DEM Council Member_19th Council District (NYC; 2023-06-27))

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Voting methods: IRV • FPTP • approval • STAR • Pairwise • All methods

Results

🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2023-06-27_NYC-DEM_Council_Member_19th_Council_District

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "ranked". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
IRV/RCV Tony Avella
FPTP Tony Avella
Approval Tony Avella
STAR Tony Avella
Condorcet/Copeland Tony Avella
Election results summary showing voting method winners
click/tap to expand
tabbed view

IRV/RCV results

2023-06-27_NYC-DEM_Council_Member_19th_Council_District IRV/RCV result permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2023-06-27_NYC-DEM_Council_Member_19th_Council_District/IRV#IRV

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Tony Avella with 2,873 votes (47.8%) in final round
  • Runner-up: Christopher S. Bae with 2,753 votes (45.8%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 382 (6.4%)
  • Number of rounds: 2
  • Ballots counted in final round: 5,626 (93.6%)
  • Majority of ballots: 3,005 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 6,008
Round 1 Round 2
Overview:
Active ballots: 6,008 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 0 (0.0%)
Counted ballots: 6,008 (100.0%)
Overview:
Active ballots: 6,008 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 382 (6.4%)
Counted ballots: 5,626 (93.6%)
Winning threshold: 2,814 (46.84%)
Tony Avella: 2,362 (39.3%)
→
 IRV/RCV winner:
Tony Avella: 2,873 (47.8%)✅
→
Christopher S. Bae: 2,193 (36.5%)
→
 Christopher S. Bae: 2,753 (45.8%) (🛑eliminated)
→
Paul D. Graziano: 1,453 (24.2%) (🛑eliminated)
→
 Paul D. Graziano

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2023-06-27_NYC-DEM_Council_Member_19th_Council_District FPTP results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2023-06-27_NYC-DEM_Council_Member_19th_Council_District/FPTP#FPTP
📝
Note — Only using first-choices on ranked ballots

  • FPTP Winner: Tony Avella with 2,362 first-place votes (39.3%)
  • Runner-up: Christopher S. Bae with 2,193 first-place votes (36.5%)
  • Margin of victory: 169 votes (2.8 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Tony Avella: 2,362 votes (39.3 %)
    • Christopher S. Bae: 2,193 votes (36.5 %)
    • Paul D. Graziano: 1,453 votes (24.2 %)
  • Total ballots: 6,008

Approval voting results

2023-06-27_NYC-DEM_Council_Member_19th_Council_District approval voting results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2023-06-27_NYC-DEM_Council_Member_19th_Council_District/approval#approval
📝
Note — Approval counts estimated from 6,008 ranked ballots using favorite_viable_half method
Details

The 'favorite_viable_half' conversion algorithm: find the candidate with the most first preferences, and then determine the minimum number of figurative seats that would need to be open in order for the candidate to exceed the Hare quota with the given first-prefs. We use this to estimate how many candidates are likely to be viable candidates.

Using first-choice vote totals as a rough guide, approximately 3 candidates appear viable: Tony Avella, Christopher S. Bae, and Paul D. Graziano. The approximation then assumes each voter approves up to 2 of their top-ranked viable candidates (half of 3, rounded up). All candidates ranked at or above the lowest-ranked of each ballot's top viable candidates receive approval (considering up to 2 viable candidates per ballot).

See transformed ballots

Note: For Approval, these choose_many ballots are inferred from ranked ballots.

Conversion method: favorite_viable_half

#------- metadata -------
{ballotcount: 6008}
{version: "0.1"}
{ballotcount_abif_metadata: "6008"}
{is_ranking_to_rating: true}
#------ candlines ------
=[Tony Avella]:[Tony Avella]
=[Christopher S. Bae]:[Christopher S. Bae]
=[Paul D. Graziano]:[Paul D. Graziano]
#------- votelines ------
750:[Tony Avella]/1
607:[Christopher S. Bae]/1
596:[Christopher S. Bae]/1=[Tony Avella]/1
578:[Paul D. Graziano]/1=[Tony Avella]/1
505:[Christopher S. Bae]/1=[Tony Avella]/1
478:[Christopher S. Bae]/1=[Paul D. Graziano]/1
354:[Paul D. Graziano]/1
339:[Christopher S. Bae]/1=[Paul D. Graziano]/1
317:[Paul D. Graziano]/1=[Tony Avella]/1
215:[Christopher S. Bae]/1=[Tony Avella]/1
206:[Christopher S. Bae]/1=[Paul D. Graziano]/1
205:[Paul D. Graziano]/1=[Tony Avella]/1
168:[Christopher S. Bae]/1=[Tony Avella]/1
166:[Christopher S. Bae]/1=[Paul D. Graziano]/1
154:[Paul D. Graziano]/1=[Tony Avella]/1
62:[Tony Avella]/1
30:[Christopher S. Bae]/1=[Paul D. Graziano]/1
28:[Christopher S. Bae]/1
23:[Paul D. Graziano]/1
18:[Paul D. Graziano]/1=[Tony Avella]/1
16:[Christopher S. Bae]/1=[Paul D. Graziano]/1
16:[Tony Avella]/1
13:[Paul D. Graziano]/1=[Tony Avella]/1
10:[Paul D. Graziano]/1=[Tony Avella]/1
10:[Christopher S. Bae]/1=[Paul D. Graziano]/1
10:[Christopher S. Bae]/1=[Paul D. Graziano]/1
9:[Christopher S. Bae]/1=[Tony Avella]/1
8:[Christopher S. Bae]/1=[Paul D. Graziano]/1
7:[Christopher S. Bae]/1=[Tony Avella]/1
7:[Christopher S. Bae]/1=[Tony Avella]/1
6:[Paul D. Graziano]/1=[Tony Avella]/1
6:[Paul D. Graziano]/1=[Tony Avella]/1
5:[Christopher S. Bae]/1=[Tony Avella]/1
5:[Paul D. Graziano]/1=[Tony Avella]/1
5:[Tony Avella]/1
5:[Paul D. Graziano]/1
5:[Christopher S. Bae]/1
5:[Christopher S. Bae]/1=[Paul D. Graziano]/1
4:[Paul D. Graziano]/1=[Tony Avella]/1
4:[Christopher S. Bae]/1=[Paul D. Graziano]/1
4:[Paul D. Graziano]/1=[Tony Avella]/1
3:[Christopher S. Bae]/1=[Tony Avella]/1
3:[Paul D. Graziano]/1=[Tony Avella]/1
3:[Christopher S. Bae]/1
3:[Paul D. Graziano]/1=[Tony Avella]/1
3:[Paul D. Graziano]/1=[Tony Avella]/1
3:[Christopher S. Bae]/1=[Paul D. Graziano]/1
3:[Christopher S. Bae]/1=[Paul D. Graziano]/1
3:[Christopher S. Bae]/1=[Paul D. Graziano]/1
3:[Christopher S. Bae]/1=[Tony Avella]/1
3:[Paul D. Graziano]/1=[Tony Avella]/1
2:[Paul D. Graziano]/1=[Tony Avella]/1
2:[Christopher S. Bae]/1=[Paul D. Graziano]/1
2:[Christopher S. Bae]/1=[Tony Avella]/1
2:[Christopher S. Bae]/1=[Tony Avella]/1
2:[Christopher S. Bae]/1=[Tony Avella]/1
2:[Christopher S. Bae]/1=[Tony Avella]/1
2:[Paul D. Graziano]/1=[Tony Avella]/1
1:[Paul D. Graziano]/1=[Tony Avella]/1
1:[Christopher S. Bae]/1=[Tony Avella]/1
1:[Christopher S. Bae]/1=[Paul D. Graziano]/1
1:[Christopher S. Bae]/1=[Tony Avella]/1
1:[Christopher S. Bae]/1=[Paul D. Graziano]/1
  • Approval Winner: Tony Avella
  • Approval Results:
    • Tony Avella — 3,698 approvals (61.55% of ballots) (✅ winner)
    • Christopher S. Bae — 3,456 approvals (57.52% of ballots)
    • Paul D. Graziano — 3,004 approvals (50.0% of ballots)
  • Total: 6,008 ballots (10,158 total approvals)

STAR results

2023-06-27_NYC-DEM_Council_Member_19th_Council_District STAR results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2023-06-27_NYC-DEM_Council_Member_19th_Council_District/STAR#STAR
📝
Note — STAR ratings estimated from ranked ballots using Borda scoring method
Details

The ranked ballots have been converted to STAR ratings using Borda scoring: each candidate receives points equal to (number_of_candidates - their_rank). In this election, we have 3 candidates, so the 1st choice gets 2 points, the 2nd choice gets 1 points, etc. These Borda scores are then used as STAR ratings for tabulation by STAR.

  • STAR winner: Tony Avella
  • Finalists: Tony Avella vs Christopher S. Bae
  • Runoff result:
    • Tony Avella: 2,873 votes (47.8%)
    • Christopher S. Bae: 2,753 votes (45.8%)
    • No preference: 382 voters (6.4%)
  • Total stars allocated: 16,166
  • Total ballots: 6,008
★★★★★★

★★★★★

★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
(one star above is approximately 323 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • ★#0: Tony Avella received 6,060 stars (37.5%) from 3,698 voters (61.6%)
    • ★#1: Christopher S. Bae received 5,649 stars (34.9%) from 3,456 voters (57.5%)
    • ★#2: Paul D. Graziano received 4,457 stars (27.6%) from 3,004 voters (50.0%)
  • Finalists:
    • ★Tony Avella (✅ winner) preferred by 2,873 of 6,008 voters
    • ★Christopher S. Bae preferred by 2,753 of 6,008 voters
    • ★No preference between the finalists: 382

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2023-06-27_NYC-DEM_Council_Member_19th_Council_District Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2023-06-27_NYC-DEM_Council_Member_19th_Council_District/pairwise#pairwise
  • Winner: Tony Avella
  • Runner-up: Christopher S. Bae (beats all other candidates except Tony Avella)
  • Smallest margin: Tony Avella over Christopher S. Bae (2,873-2,753; margin: 120)
  • Largest margin: Tony Avella over Paul D. Graziano (3,187-2,178; margin: 1,009)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 6,008

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2023-06-27_NYC-DEM_Council_Member_19th_Council_District w-l-t table permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2023-06-27_NYC-DEM_Council_Member_19th_Council_District/pairwise#wlt
DEM Council Member_19th Council District (NYC; 2023-06-27) pairwise matchups
Tony Avella
(2-0-0)
Tony Avella
2 victories ⇣
Christopher S. Bae
(1-1-0)
Tony Avella: 2,873(47.8%)
Christopher S. Bae: 2,753(45.8%)
(No preference: 382; 6.4%)
Christopher S. Bae
⇽ 1 loss / 1 victory† ⇣
Paul D. Graziano
(0-2-0)
Tony Avella: 3,187(53.0%)
Paul D. Graziano: 2,178(36.3%)
(No preference: 643; 10.7%)
Christopher S. Bae: 2,896(48.2%)
Paul D. Graziano: 2,279(37.9%)
(No preference: 833; 13.9%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2023-06-27_NYC-DEM_Council_Member_19th_Council_District pairwise diagram permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2023-06-27_NYC-DEM_Council_Member_19th_Council_District/pairwise#dot

%3 Tony Avella Tony Avella 2-0-0 (2 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) Christopher S. Bae Christopher S. Bae 1-1-0 Tony Avella->Christopher S. Bae ← Tony Avella: 2873 Christopher S. Bae: 2753 Paul D. Graziano Paul D. Graziano 0-2-0 Tony Avella->Paul D. Graziano ← Tony Avella: 3187 Paul D. Graziano: 2178 Christopher S. Bae->Paul D. Graziano ← Christopher S. Bae: 2896 Paul D. Graziano: 2279

Voting methods: IRV • FPTP • approval • STAR • Pairwise • All methods

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