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REP Council Member_13th Council District (NYC; 2023-06-27)

🔗 2023-06-27_NYC-REP_Council_Member_13th_Council_District     (tags: { from-bolson , actual , NYC-2023 , NY , NYC_NY , 2023 , 2023-06 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2023-06-27_NYC-REP_Council_Member_13th_Council_District" election (REP Council Member_13th Council District (NYC; 2023-06-27))

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Voting methods: IRV • FPTP • approval • STAR • Pairwise • All methods

Results

🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2023-06-27_NYC-REP_Council_Member_13th_Council_District

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "ranked". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
IRV/RCV Kristy Marmorato
FPTP Kristy Marmorato
Approval Kristy Marmorato
STAR Kristy Marmorato
Condorcet/Copeland Kristy Marmorato
Election results summary showing voting method winners
click/tap to expand
tabbed view

IRV/RCV results

2023-06-27_NYC-REP_Council_Member_13th_Council_District IRV/RCV result permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2023-06-27_NYC-REP_Council_Member_13th_Council_District/IRV#IRV

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Kristy Marmorato with 962 votes (50.1%) in final round
  • Runner-up: George Havranek with 903 votes (47.0%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 55 (2.9%)
  • Number of rounds: 2
  • Ballots counted in final round: 1,865 (97.1%)
  • Majority of ballots: 961 (50.1%)
  • Total ballots: 1,920
Round 1 Round 2
Overview:
Active ballots: 1,920 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 0 (0.0%)
Counted ballots: 1,920 (100.0%)
Overview:
Active ballots: 1,920 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 55 (2.9%)
Counted ballots: 1,865 (97.1%)
Winning threshold: 933 (48.59%)
Kristy Marmorato: 915 (47.7%)
→
 IRV/RCV winner:
Kristy Marmorato: 962 (50.1%)✅
→
George Havranek: 842 (43.9%)
→
 George Havranek: 903 (47.0%) (🛑eliminated)
→
Hasime Samantha Zherka: 163 (8.5%) (🛑eliminated)
→
 Hasime Samantha Zherka

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2023-06-27_NYC-REP_Council_Member_13th_Council_District FPTP results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2023-06-27_NYC-REP_Council_Member_13th_Council_District/FPTP#FPTP
📝
Note — Only using first-choices on ranked ballots

  • FPTP Winner: Kristy Marmorato with 915 first-place votes (47.7%)
  • Runner-up: George Havranek with 842 first-place votes (43.9%)
  • Margin of victory: 73 votes (3.8 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Kristy Marmorato: 915 votes (47.7 %)
    • George Havranek: 842 votes (43.9 %)
    • Hasime Samantha Zherka: 163 votes (8.5 %)
  • Total ballots: 1,920

Approval voting results

2023-06-27_NYC-REP_Council_Member_13th_Council_District approval voting results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2023-06-27_NYC-REP_Council_Member_13th_Council_District/approval#approval
📝
Note — Approval counts estimated from 1,920 ranked ballots using favorite_viable_half method
Details

The 'favorite_viable_half' conversion algorithm: find the candidate with the most first preferences, and then determine the minimum number of figurative seats that would need to be open in order for the candidate to exceed the Hare quota with the given first-prefs. We use this to estimate how many candidates are likely to be viable candidates.

Using first-choice vote totals as a rough guide, approximately 3 candidates appear viable: Kristy Marmorato, George Havranek, and Hasime Samantha Zherka. The approximation then assumes each voter approves up to 2 of their top-ranked viable candidates (half of 3, rounded up). All candidates ranked at or above the lowest-ranked of each ballot's top viable candidates receive approval (considering up to 2 viable candidates per ballot).

See transformed ballots

Note: For Approval, these choose_many ballots are inferred from ranked ballots.

Conversion method: favorite_viable_half

#------- metadata -------
{ballotcount: 1920}
{version: "0.1"}
{ballotcount_abif_metadata: "1920"}
{is_ranking_to_rating: true}
#------ candlines ------
=[Kristy Marmorato]:[Kristy Marmorato]
=[George Havranek]:[George Havranek]
=[Hasime Samantha Zherka]:[Hasime Samantha Zherka]
#------- votelines ------
390:[Kristy Marmorato]/1
341:[George Havranek]/1
226:[George Havranek]/1=[Kristy Marmorato]/1
217:[George Havranek]/1=[Kristy Marmorato]/1
110:[Hasime Samantha Zherka]/1=[Kristy Marmorato]/1
98:[George Havranek]/1=[Hasime Samantha Zherka]/1
86:[George Havranek]/1=[Kristy Marmorato]/1
60:[George Havranek]/1=[Kristy Marmorato]/1
46:[George Havranek]/1=[Hasime Samantha Zherka]/1
40:[Hasime Samantha Zherka]/1
39:[George Havranek]/1
39:[George Havranek]/1=[Hasime Samantha Zherka]/1
34:[Hasime Samantha Zherka]/1=[Kristy Marmorato]/1
29:[Kristy Marmorato]/1
18:[Hasime Samantha Zherka]/1=[Kristy Marmorato]/1
17:[George Havranek]/1=[Hasime Samantha Zherka]/1
15:[George Havranek]/1=[Kristy Marmorato]/1
10:[Hasime Samantha Zherka]/1
8:[George Havranek]/1=[Kristy Marmorato]/1
8:[George Havranek]/1=[Kristy Marmorato]/1
8:[Hasime Samantha Zherka]/1=[Kristy Marmorato]/1
7:[Hasime Samantha Zherka]/1=[Kristy Marmorato]/1
6:[George Havranek]/1
6:[Hasime Samantha Zherka]/1=[Kristy Marmorato]/1
5:[George Havranek]/1=[Kristy Marmorato]/1
5:[George Havranek]/1=[Hasime Samantha Zherka]/1
4:[George Havranek]/1
4:[George Havranek]/1=[Hasime Samantha Zherka]/1
4:[George Havranek]/1=[Kristy Marmorato]/1
3:[George Havranek]/1=[Hasime Samantha Zherka]/1
3:[Hasime Samantha Zherka]/1
3:[George Havranek]/1=[Kristy Marmorato]/1
3:[Hasime Samantha Zherka]/1=[Kristy Marmorato]/1
2:[Hasime Samantha Zherka]/1
2:[Kristy Marmorato]/1
2:[George Havranek]/1=[Hasime Samantha Zherka]/1
2:[George Havranek]/1=[Kristy Marmorato]/1
2:[Kristy Marmorato]/1
2:[Hasime Samantha Zherka]/1=[Kristy Marmorato]/1
2:[Hasime Samantha Zherka]/1=[Kristy Marmorato]/1
2:[George Havranek]/1=[Kristy Marmorato]/1
2:[Hasime Samantha Zherka]/1=[Kristy Marmorato]/1
1:[George Havranek]/1=[Hasime Samantha Zherka]/1
1:[George Havranek]/1=[Hasime Samantha Zherka]/1
1:[George Havranek]/1=[Kristy Marmorato]/1
1:[Hasime Samantha Zherka]/1=[Kristy Marmorato]/1
1:[George Havranek]/1=[Kristy Marmorato]/1
1:[George Havranek]/1=[Kristy Marmorato]/1
1:[George Havranek]/1=[Kristy Marmorato]/1
1:[George Havranek]/1=[Hasime Samantha Zherka]/1
1:[George Havranek]/1=[Hasime Samantha Zherka]/1
1:[Hasime Samantha Zherka]/1=[Kristy Marmorato]/1
  • Approval Winner: Kristy Marmorato
  • Approval Results:
    • Kristy Marmorato — 1,257 approvals (65.47% of ballots) (✅ winner)
    • George Havranek — 1,248 approvals (65.0% of ballots)
    • Hasime Samantha Zherka — 467 approvals (24.32% of ballots)
  • Total: 1,920 ballots (2,972 total approvals)

STAR results

2023-06-27_NYC-REP_Council_Member_13th_Council_District STAR results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2023-06-27_NYC-REP_Council_Member_13th_Council_District/STAR#STAR
📝
Note — STAR ratings estimated from ranked ballots using Borda scoring method
Details

The ranked ballots have been converted to STAR ratings using Borda scoring: each candidate receives points equal to (number_of_candidates - their_rank). In this election, we have 3 candidates, so the 1st choice gets 2 points, the 2nd choice gets 1 points, etc. These Borda scores are then used as STAR ratings for tabulation by STAR.

  • STAR winner: Kristy Marmorato
  • Finalists: Kristy Marmorato vs George Havranek
  • Runoff result:
    • Kristy Marmorato: 962 votes (50.1%)
    • George Havranek: 903 votes (47.0%)
    • No preference: 55 voters (2.9%)
  • Total stars allocated: 4,892
  • Total ballots: 1,920
★★★★★★

★★★★★

★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
(one star above is approximately 98 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • ★#0: Kristy Marmorato received 2,172 stars (44.4%) from 1,257 voters (65.5%)
    • ★#1: George Havranek received 2,090 stars (42.7%) from 1,248 voters (65.0%)
    • ★#2: Hasime Samantha Zherka received 630 stars (12.9%) from 467 voters (24.3%)
  • Finalists:
    • ★Kristy Marmorato (✅ winner) preferred by 962 of 1,920 voters
    • ★George Havranek preferred by 903 of 1,920 voters
    • ★No preference between the finalists: 55

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2023-06-27_NYC-REP_Council_Member_13th_Council_District Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2023-06-27_NYC-REP_Council_Member_13th_Council_District/pairwise#pairwise
  • Winner: Kristy Marmorato
  • Runner-up: George Havranek (beats all other candidates except Kristy Marmorato)
  • Smallest margin: Kristy Marmorato over George Havranek (962-903; margin: 59)
  • Largest margin: Kristy Marmorato over Hasime Samantha Zherka (1,210-320; margin: 890)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 1,920

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2023-06-27_NYC-REP_Council_Member_13th_Council_District w-l-t table permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2023-06-27_NYC-REP_Council_Member_13th_Council_District/pairwise#wlt
REP Council Member_13th Council District (NYC; 2023-06-27) pairwise matchups
Kristy Marmorato
(2-0-0)
Kristy Marmorato
2 victories ⇣
George Havranek
(1-1-0)
Kristy Marmorato: 962(50.1%)
George Havranek: 903(47.0%)
(No preference: 55; 2.9%)
George Havranek
⇽ 1 loss / 1 victory† ⇣
Hasime Samantha Zherka
(0-2-0)
Kristy Marmorato: 1,210(63.0%)
Hasime Samantha Zherka: 320(16.7%)
(No preference: 390; 20.3%)
George Havranek: 1,187(61.8%)
Hasime Samantha Zherka: 310(16.1%)
(No preference: 423; 22.0%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2023-06-27_NYC-REP_Council_Member_13th_Council_District pairwise diagram permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2023-06-27_NYC-REP_Council_Member_13th_Council_District/pairwise#dot

%3 Kristy Marmorato Kristy Marmorato 2-0-0 (2 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) George Havranek George Havranek 1-1-0 Kristy Marmorato->George Havranek ← Kristy Marmorato: 962 George Havranek: 903 Hasime Samantha Zherka Hasime Samantha Zherka 0-2-0 Kristy Marmorato->Hasime Samantha Zherka ← Kristy Marmorato: 1210 Hasime Samantha Zherka: 320 George Havranek->Hasime Samantha Zherka ← George Havranek: 1187 Hasime Samantha Zherka: 310

Voting methods: IRV • FPTP • approval • STAR • Pairwise • All methods

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