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auditor (PierceCounty_WA; 2009-11-03)

πŸ”— 2009-11-03_PierceCounty_WA-auditor     (tags: { from-bolson , actual , PierceCounty_WA-2009 , PierceCounty_WA , 2009-11 , 2009 , WA })

Below is the ABIF from the "2009-11-03_PierceCounty_WA-auditor" election (auditor (PierceCounty_WA; 2009-11-03))

ABIF submission area (show)
Method options
Ballot options

Voting methods: IRV β€’ FPTP β€’ approval β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

Results

πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2009-11-03_PierceCounty_WA-auditor

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "ranked". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
IRV/RCV Julie Anderson
FPTP Julie Anderson
Approval Julie Anderson
STAR Julie Anderson
Condorcet/Copeland Julie Anderson
Election results summary showing voting method winners
click/tap to expand
tabbed view

IRV/RCV results

2009-11-03_PierceCounty_WA-auditor IRV/RCV result permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2009-11-03_PierceCounty_WA-auditor/IRV#IRV

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Julie Anderson with 82,964 votes (54.0%) in final round
  • Runner-up: Jan Shabro with 66,409 votes (43.2%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 4,238 (2.8%)
  • Number of rounds: 3
  • Ballots counted in final round: 149,373 (97.2%)
  • Majority of ballots: 76,806 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 153,611
Round 1 Round 2 Round 3
Overview:
Active ballots: 153,611 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 0 (0.0%)
Counted ballots: 153,611 (100.0%)
Overview:
Active ballots: 153,611 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 449 (0.3%)
Counted ballots: 153,162 (99.7%)
Winning threshold: 76,582 (49.85%)
Overview:
Active ballots: 153,611 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 4,238 (2.8%)
Counted ballots: 149,373 (97.2%)
Winning threshold: 74,687 (48.62%)
Julie Anderson: 76,406 (49.7%)
β†’
Julie Anderson: 76,474 (49.8%)
β†’
IRV/RCV winner:
Julie Anderson: 82,964 (54.0%)βœ…
β†’
Jan Shabro: 63,427 (41.3%)
β†’
Jan Shabro: 63,460 (41.3%)
β†’
Jan Shabro: 66,409 (43.2%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Will Baker: 13,192 (8.6%)
β†’
Will Baker: 13,228 (8.6%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Will Baker
Write-In: 586 (0.4%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Write-In Write-In

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2009-11-03_PierceCounty_WA-auditor FPTP results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2009-11-03_PierceCounty_WA-auditor/FPTP#FPTP
πŸ“
Note β€” Only using first-choices on ranked ballots

  • FPTP Winner: Julie Anderson with 76,406 first-place votes (49.7%)
  • Runner-up: Jan Shabro with 63,427 first-place votes (41.3%)
  • Margin of victory: 12,979 votes (8.4 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Julie Anderson: 76,406 votes (49.7 %)
    • Jan Shabro: 63,427 votes (41.3 %)
    • Will Baker: 13,192 votes (8.6 %)
    • Write-In: 586 votes (0.4 %)
  • Total ballots: 153,611

Approval voting results

2009-11-03_PierceCounty_WA-auditor approval voting results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2009-11-03_PierceCounty_WA-auditor/approval#approval
πŸ“
Note β€” Approval counts estimated from 153,611 ranked ballots using favorite_viable_half method
Details

The 'favorite_viable_half' conversion algorithm: find the candidate with the most first preferences, and then determine the minimum number of figurative seats that would need to be open in order for the candidate to exceed the Hare quota with the given first-prefs. We use this to estimate how many candidates are likely to be viable candidates.

Using first-choice vote totals as a rough guide, approximately 3 candidates appear viable: Julie Anderson, Jan Shabro, and Will Baker. The approximation then assumes each voter approves up to 2 of their top-ranked viable candidates (half of 3, rounded up). All candidates ranked at or above the lowest-ranked of each ballot's top viable candidates receive approval (considering up to 2 viable candidates per ballot).

See transformed ballots

Note: For Approval, these choose_many ballots are inferred from ranked ballots.

Conversion method: favorite_viable_half

#------- metadata -------
{ballotcount: 153611}
{version: "0.1"}
{ballotcount_abif_metadata: "153611"}
{is_ranking_to_rating: true}
#------ candlines ------
=Write-In:[Write-In]
=[Julie Anderson]:[Julie Anderson]
=[Jan Shabro]:[Jan Shabro]
=[Will Baker]:[Will Baker]
#------- votelines ------
26123:[Jan Shabro]/1=[Julie Anderson]/1
24516:[Jan Shabro]/1=[Julie Anderson]/1
17726:[Julie Anderson]/1
16310:[Jan Shabro]/1
11986:[Julie Anderson]/1=[Will Baker]/1
9723:[Jan Shabro]/1=[Julie Anderson]/1
8162:[Jan Shabro]/1=[Julie Anderson]/1
6356:[Jan Shabro]/1=[Will Baker]/1
5567:[Julie Anderson]/1=[Will Baker]/1
5259:[Julie Anderson]/1
4552:[Jan Shabro]/1
2639:[Jan Shabro]/1=[Will Baker]/1
2184:[Will Baker]/1
2088:[Julie Anderson]/1=[Will Baker]/1
1443:[Will Baker]/1
1034:[Jan Shabro]/1=[Julie Anderson]/1
1019:[Jan Shabro]/1=[Julie Anderson]/1
720:[Jan Shabro]/1=[Julie Anderson]/1
680:[Jan Shabro]/1=[Julie Anderson]/1
520:[Jan Shabro]/1=[Will Baker]/1
486:[Julie Anderson]/1=[Will Baker]/1
381:[Julie Anderson]/1=[Will Baker]/1
357:[Julie Anderson]/1=[Will Baker]/1
314:[Jan Shabro]/1
309:[Jan Shabro]/1=[Julie Anderson]/1
291:[Julie Anderson]/1
288:[Julie Anderson]/1=[Will Baker]/1
277:[Julie Anderson]/1
222:[Jan Shabro]/1=[Julie Anderson]/1
217:[Jan Shabro]/1
152:[Jan Shabro]/1=[Will Baker]/1
149:[Jan Shabro]/1=[Will Baker]/1
143:[Julie Anderson]/1=[Will Baker]/1
110:[Jan Shabro]/1=[Will Baker]/1
95:[Jan Shabro]/1=[Will Baker]/1
88:[Jan Shabro]/1=[Will Baker]/1
80:[Julie Anderson]/1=[Will Baker]/1
77:[Will Baker]/1
54:[Julie Anderson]/1=[Will Baker]/1
51:[Will Baker]/1
49:[Jan Shabro]/1=[Julie Anderson]/1=Write-In/1
43:[Julie Anderson]/1
40:[Jan Shabro]/1=[Julie Anderson]/1=Write-In/1
40:[Jan Shabro]/1=[Julie Anderson]/1=Write-In/1
32:[Jan Shabro]/1
26:[Jan Shabro]/1=[Will Baker]/1
25:[Jan Shabro]/1=[Julie Anderson]/1=Write-In/1
23:[Julie Anderson]/1=[Will Baker]/1=Write-In/1
20:[Jan Shabro]/1=[Will Baker]/1=Write-In/1
12:[Will Baker]/1=Write-In/1
12:[Jan Shabro]/1=[Will Baker]/1
10:[Julie Anderson]/1=[Will Baker]/1=Write-In/1
10:[Julie Anderson]/1
9:[Will Baker]/1=Write-In/1
8:[Julie Anderson]/1=Write-In/1
8:[Jan Shabro]/1
8:[Will Baker]/1
6:[Jan Shabro]/1=[Will Baker]/1=Write-In/1
6:[Julie Anderson]/1=[Will Baker]/1=Write-In/1
5:[Julie Anderson]/1=[Will Baker]/1=Write-In/1
4:[Jan Shabro]/1=[Will Baker]/1=Write-In/1
4:[Jan Shabro]/1=Write-In/1
4:[Will Baker]/1
3:[Julie Anderson]/1=Write-In/1
3:[Jan Shabro]/1=[Will Baker]/1=Write-In/1
2:[Julie Anderson]/1=Write-In/1
1:[Jan Shabro]/1=Write-In/1
1:[Will Baker]/1=Write-In/1
  • Approval Winner: Julie Anderson
  • Approval Results:
    • Julie Anderson — 117,755 approvals (76.66% of ballots) (βœ… winner)
    • Jan Shabro — 104,280 approvals (67.89% of ballots)
    • Will Baker — 35,443 approvals (23.07% of ballots)
    • Write-In — 271 approvals (0.18% of ballots)
  • Total: 153,611 ballots (257,749 total approvals)

STAR results

2009-11-03_PierceCounty_WA-auditor STAR results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2009-11-03_PierceCounty_WA-auditor/STAR#STAR
πŸ“
Note β€” STAR ratings estimated from ranked ballots using Borda scoring method
Details

The ranked ballots have been converted to STAR ratings using Borda scoring: each candidate receives points equal to (number_of_candidates - their_rank). In this election, we have 4 candidates, so the 1st choice gets 3 points, the 2nd choice gets 2 points, etc. These Borda scores are then used as STAR ratings for tabulation by STAR.

  • STAR winner: Julie Anderson
  • Finalists: Julie Anderson vs Jan Shabro
  • Runoff result:
    • Julie Anderson: 82,964 votes (54.0%)
    • Jan Shabro: 66,409 votes (43.2%)
    • No preference: 4238 voters (2.8%)
  • Total stars allocated: 751,158
  • Total ballots: 153,611
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
(one star above is approximately 15,023 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • β˜…#0: Julie Anderson received 320,831 stars (42.7%) from 126,750 voters (82.5%)
    • β˜…#1: Jan Shabro received 289,441 stars (38.5%) from 121,833 voters (79.3%)
    • β˜…#2: Will Baker received 134,665 stars (17.9%) from 86,082 voters (56.0%)
    • β˜…#3: Write-In received 6,221 stars (0.8%) from 4,128 voters (2.7%)
  • Finalists:
    • β˜…Julie Anderson (βœ… winner) preferred by 82,964 of 153,611 voters
    • β˜…Jan Shabro preferred by 66,409 of 153,611 voters
    • β˜…No preference between the finalists: 4238

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2009-11-03_PierceCounty_WA-auditor Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2009-11-03_PierceCounty_WA-auditor/pairwise#pairwise
  • Winner: Julie Anderson
  • Runner-up: Jan Shabro (beats all other candidates except Julie Anderson)
  • Smallest margin: Julie Anderson over Jan Shabro (82,964-66,409; margin: 16,555)
  • Largest margin: Julie Anderson over Write-In (126,602-1,207; margin: 125,395)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 153,611

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2009-11-03_PierceCounty_WA-auditor w-l-t table permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2009-11-03_PierceCounty_WA-auditor/pairwise#wlt
auditor (PierceCounty_WA; 2009-11-03) pairwise matchups
Julie Anderson
(3-0-0)
Julie Anderson
3 victories ⇣
Jan Shabro
(2-1-0)
Julie Anderson: 82,964(54.0%)
Jan Shabro: 66,409(43.2%)
(No preference: 4,238; 2.8%)
Jan Shabro
⇽ 1 loss / 2 victories† ⇣
Will Baker
(1-2-0)
Julie Anderson: 111,265(72.4%)
Will Baker: 20,459(13.3%)
(No preference: 21,887; 14.2%)
Jan Shabro: 101,331(66.0%)
Will Baker: 28,212(18.4%)
(No preference: 24,068; 15.7%)
Will Baker
⇽ 2 losses / 1 victory† ⇣
Write-In
(0-3-0)
Julie Anderson: 126,602(82.4%)
Write-In: 1,207(0.8%)
(No preference: 25,802; 16.8%)
Jan Shabro: 121,701(79.2%)
Write-In: 1,554(1.0%)
(No preference: 30,356; 19.8%)
Will Baker: 85,994(56.0%)
Write-In: 3,460(2.3%)
(No preference: 64,157; 41.8%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2009-11-03_PierceCounty_WA-auditor pairwise diagram permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2009-11-03_PierceCounty_WA-auditor/pairwise#dot

%3 Julie Anderson Julie Anderson 3-0-0 (3 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) Jan Shabro Jan Shabro 2-1-0 Julie Anderson->Jan Shabro ← Julie Anderson: 82964 Jan Shabro: 66409 Will Baker Will Baker 1-2-0 Julie Anderson->Will Baker ← Julie Anderson: 111265 Will Baker: 20459 Write-In Write-In 0-3-0 Julie Anderson->Write-In ← Julie Anderson: 126602 Write-In: 1207 Jan Shabro->Will Baker ← Jan Shabro: 101331 Will Baker: 28212 Jan Shabro->Write-In ← Jan Shabro: 121701 Write-In: 1554 Will Baker->Write-In ← Will Baker: 85994 Write-In: 3460

Voting methods: IRV β€’ FPTP β€’ approval β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

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