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2013-Council-Ward-2-CVR (Minneapolis; 2013-11-05)

πŸ”— 2013-11-05_Minneapolis-2013-Council-Ward-2-CVR     (tags: { Minneapolis_MN , from-bolson , actual , MN , 2013-11 , 2013 , Minneapolis-2013 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2013-11-05_Minneapolis-2013-Council-Ward-2-CVR" election (2013-Council-Ward-2-CVR (Minneapolis; 2013-11-05))

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Voting methods: IRV β€’ FPTP β€’ approval β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

Results

πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2013-11-05_Minneapolis-2013-Council-Ward-2-CVR

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "ranked". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
IRV/RCV CAM GORDON
FPTP CAM GORDON
Approval CAM GORDON
STAR CAM GORDON
Condorcet/Copeland CAM GORDON
Election results summary showing voting method winners
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IRV/RCV results

2013-11-05_Minneapolis-2013-Council-Ward-2-CVR IRV/RCV result permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2013-11-05_Minneapolis-2013-Council-Ward-2-CVR/IRV#IRV

  • IRV/RCV Winner: CAM GORDON with 4,063 votes (87.1%) in final round
  • Runner-up: DIANA NEWBERRY with 525 votes (11.3%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 0 (0.0%)
  • Number of rounds: 1
  • Ballots counted in final round: 4,663 (100.0%)
  • Majority of ballots: 2,332 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 4,663
Round 1
Overview:
Active ballots: 4,663 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 0 (0.0%)
Counted ballots: 4,663 (100.0%)
IRV/RCV winner:
CAM GORDON: 4,063 (87.1%)βœ…
β†’
DIANA NEWBERRY: 525 (11.3%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
UWI: 75 (1.6%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2013-11-05_Minneapolis-2013-Council-Ward-2-CVR FPTP results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2013-11-05_Minneapolis-2013-Council-Ward-2-CVR/FPTP#FPTP
πŸ“
Note β€” Only using first-choices on ranked ballots

  • FPTP Winner: CAM GORDON with 4,063 first-place votes (87.1%)
  • Runner-up: DIANA NEWBERRY with 525 first-place votes (11.3%)
  • Margin of victory: 3,538 votes (75.9 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • CAM GORDON: 4,063 votes (87.1 %)
    • DIANA NEWBERRY: 525 votes (11.3 %)
    • UWI: 75 votes (1.6 %)
  • Total ballots: 4,663

Approval voting results

2013-11-05_Minneapolis-2013-Council-Ward-2-CVR approval voting results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2013-11-05_Minneapolis-2013-Council-Ward-2-CVR/approval#approval
πŸ“
Note β€” Approval counts estimated from 4,663 ranked ballots using favorite_viable_half method
Details

The 'favorite_viable_half' conversion algorithm: find the candidate with the most first preferences, and then determine the minimum number of figurative seats that would need to be open in order for the candidate to exceed the Hare quota with the given first-prefs. We use this to estimate how many candidates are likely to be viable candidates.

Using first-choice vote totals as a rough guide, approximately 2 candidates appear viable: CAM GORDON and DIANA NEWBERRY. The approximation then assumes each voter approves up to 1 of their top-ranked viable candidates (half of 2). All candidates ranked at or above the lowest-ranked of each ballot's top viable candidates receive approval (considering up to 1 viable candidates per ballot).

See transformed ballots

Note: For Approval, these choose_many ballots are inferred from ranked ballots.

Conversion method: favorite_viable_half

#------- metadata -------
{ballotcount: 4663}
{version: "0.1"}
{ballotcount_abif_metadata: "4663"}
{is_ranking_to_rating: true}
#------ candlines ------
=UWI:[UWI]
=[CAM GORDON]:[CAM GORDON]
=[DIANA NEWBERRY]:[DIANA NEWBERRY]
#------- votelines ------
2970:[CAM GORDON]/1
936:[CAM GORDON]/1
245:[DIANA NEWBERRY]/1
233:[DIANA NEWBERRY]/1
79:[CAM GORDON]/1
55:[CAM GORDON]/1
29:[DIANA NEWBERRY]/1
13:[DIANA NEWBERRY]/1
11:[CAM GORDON]/1
7:[CAM GORDON]/1
6:[CAM GORDON]/1=UWI/1
4:[CAM GORDON]/1=UWI/1
3:[CAM GORDON]/1
3:[DIANA NEWBERRY]/1=UWI/1
3:[DIANA NEWBERRY]/1=UWI/1
2:[CAM GORDON]/1
2:[DIANA NEWBERRY]/1
2:[DIANA NEWBERRY]/1
2:[CAM GORDON]/1=UWI/1
1:[DIANA NEWBERRY]/1=UWI/1
1:[DIANA NEWBERRY]/1
  • Approval Winner: CAM GORDON
  • Approval Results:
    • CAM GORDON — 4,075 approvals (87.39% of ballots) (βœ… winner)
    • DIANA NEWBERRY — 532 approvals (11.41% of ballots)
    • UWI — 19 approvals (0.41% of ballots)
  • Total: 4,663 ballots (4,626 total approvals)

STAR results

2013-11-05_Minneapolis-2013-Council-Ward-2-CVR STAR results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2013-11-05_Minneapolis-2013-Council-Ward-2-CVR/STAR#STAR
πŸ“
Note β€” STAR ratings estimated from ranked ballots using Borda scoring method
Details

The ranked ballots have been converted to STAR ratings using Borda scoring: each candidate receives points equal to (number_of_candidates - their_rank). In this election, we have 3 candidates, so the 1st choice gets 2 points, the 2nd choice gets 1 points, etc. These Borda scores are then used as STAR ratings for tabulation by STAR.

  • STAR winner: CAM GORDON
  • Finalists: CAM GORDON vs DIANA NEWBERRY
  • Runoff result:
    • CAM GORDON: 4,075 votes (87.4%)
    • DIANA NEWBERRY: 532 votes (11.4%)
    • No preference: 56 voters (1.2%)
  • Total stars allocated: 10,726
  • Total ballots: 4,663
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
(one star above is approximately 215 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • β˜…#0: CAM GORDON received 8,414 stars (78.4%) from 4,351 voters (93.3%)
    • β˜…#1: DIANA NEWBERRY received 2,083 stars (19.4%) from 1,558 voters (33.4%)
    • β˜…#2: UWI received 229 stars (2.1%) from 154 voters (3.3%)
  • Finalists:
    • β˜…CAM GORDON (βœ… winner) preferred by 4,075 of 4,663 voters
    • β˜…DIANA NEWBERRY preferred by 532 of 4,663 voters
    • β˜…No preference between the finalists: 56

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2013-11-05_Minneapolis-2013-Council-Ward-2-CVR Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2013-11-05_Minneapolis-2013-Council-Ward-2-CVR/pairwise#pairwise
  • Winner: CAM GORDON
  • Runner-up: DIANA NEWBERRY (beats all other candidates except CAM GORDON)
  • Smallest margin: DIANA NEWBERRY over UWI (1,551-139; margin: 1,412)
  • Largest margin: CAM GORDON over UWI (4,339-90; margin: 4,249)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 4,663

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2013-11-05_Minneapolis-2013-Council-Ward-2-CVR w-l-t table permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2013-11-05_Minneapolis-2013-Council-Ward-2-CVR/pairwise#wlt
2013-Council-Ward-2-CVR (Minneapolis; 2013-11-05) pairwise matchups
CAM GORDON
(2-0-0)
CAM GORDON
2 victories ⇣
DIANA NEWBERRY
(1-1-0)
CAM GORDON: 4,075(87.4%)
DIANA NEWBERRY: 532(11.4%)
(No preference: 56; 1.2%)
DIANA NEWBERRY
⇽ 1 loss / 1 victory† ⇣
UWI
(0-2-0)
CAM GORDON: 4,339(93.1%)
UWI: 90(1.9%)
(No preference: 234; 5.0%)
DIANA NEWBERRY: 1,551(33.3%)
UWI: 139(3.0%)
(No preference: 2,973; 63.8%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2013-11-05_Minneapolis-2013-Council-Ward-2-CVR pairwise diagram permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2013-11-05_Minneapolis-2013-Council-Ward-2-CVR/pairwise#dot

%3 CAM GORDON CAM GORDON 2-0-0 (2 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) DIANA NEWBERRY DIANA NEWBERRY 1-1-0 CAM GORDON->DIANA NEWBERRY ← CAM GORDON: 4075 DIANA NEWBERRY: 532 UWI UWI 0-2-0 CAM GORDON->UWI ← CAM GORDON: 4339 UWI: 90 DIANA NEWBERRY->UWI ← DIANA NEWBERRY: 1551 UWI: 139

Voting methods: IRV β€’ FPTP β€’ approval β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

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