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2021-Park-6-Cast-Vote-Record (Minneapolis; 2021-11-02)

🔗 2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-6-Cast-Vote-Record     (tags: { Minneapolis_MN , 2021 , from-bolson , actual , 2021-11 , MN , Minneapolis-2021 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-6-Cast-Vote-Record" election (2021-Park-6-Cast-Vote-Record (Minneapolis; 2021-11-02))

ABIF submission area (show)
Method options
Ballot options

Voting methods: IRV • FPTP • approval • STAR • Pairwise • All methods

Results

🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-6-Cast-Vote-Record

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "ranked". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
IRV/RCV Cathy Abene
FPTP Risa Hustad
Approval Cathy Abene
STAR Cathy Abene
Condorcet/Copeland Cathy Abene
Election results summary showing voting method winners
click/tap to expand
tabbed view

IRV/RCV results

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-6-Cast-Vote-Record IRV/RCV result permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-6-Cast-Vote-Record/IRV#IRV

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Cathy Abene with 11,621 votes (47.4%) in final round
  • Runner-up: Bob Fine with 8,222 votes (33.5%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 4,679 (19.1%)
  • Number of rounds: 4
  • Ballots counted in final round: 19,843 (80.9%)
  • Majority of ballots: 12,262 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 24,522
Round 1 Round 2 Round 3 Round 4
Overview:
Active ballots: 24,522 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 0 (0.0%)
Counted ballots: 24,522 (100.0%)
Overview:
Active ballots: 24,522 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 56 (0.2%)
Counted ballots: 24,466 (99.8%)
Winning threshold: 12,234 (49.89%)
 		Overview:
Active ballots: 24,522 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 1,749 (7.1%)
Counted ballots: 22,773 (92.9%)
Winning threshold: 11,387 (46.44%)
 		Overview:
Active ballots: 24,522 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 4,679 (19.1%)
Counted ballots: 19,843 (80.9%)
Winning threshold: 9,922 (40.46%)
Risa Hustad: 6,560 (26.8%)
→
 Risa Hustad: 6,562 (26.8%)
→
 Risa Hustad: 7,239 (29.5%) (🛑eliminated)
→
 Risa Hustad
Cathy Abene: 6,445 (26.3%)
→
 Cathy Abene: 6,446 (26.3%)
→
 Cathy Abene: 8,126 (33.1%)
→
 IRV/RCV winner:
Cathy Abene: 11,621 (47.4%)✅
→
Bob Fine: 6,211 (25.3%)
→
 Bob Fine: 6,214 (25.3%)
→
 Bob Fine: 7,408 (30.2%)
→
 Bob Fine: 8,222 (33.5%) (🛑eliminated)
→
Barb Schlaefer: 5,244 (21.4%)
→
 Barb Schlaefer: 5,244 (21.4%) (🛑eliminated)
→
 Barb Schlaefer Barb Schlaefer
UWI: 62 (0.3%) (🛑eliminated)
→
 UWI UWI UWI

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-6-Cast-Vote-Record FPTP results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-6-Cast-Vote-Record/FPTP#FPTP
📝
Note — Only using first-choices on ranked ballots

  • FPTP Winner: Risa Hustad with 6,560 first-place votes (26.8%)
  • Runner-up: Cathy Abene with 6,445 first-place votes (26.3%)
  • Margin of victory: 115 votes (0.5 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Risa Hustad: 6,560 votes (26.8 %)
    • Cathy Abene: 6,445 votes (26.3 %)
    • Bob Fine: 6,211 votes (25.3 %)
    • Barb Schlaefer: 5,244 votes (21.4 %)
    • UWI: 62 votes (0.3 %)
  • Total ballots: 24,522

Approval voting results

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-6-Cast-Vote-Record approval voting results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-6-Cast-Vote-Record/approval#approval
📝
Note — Approval counts estimated from 24,522 ranked ballots using favorite_viable_half method
Details

The 'favorite_viable_half' conversion algorithm: find the candidate with the most first preferences, and then determine the minimum number of figurative seats that would need to be open in order for the candidate to exceed the Hare quota with the given first-prefs. We use this to estimate how many candidates are likely to be viable candidates.

Using first-choice vote totals as a rough guide, approximately 4 candidates appear viable: Risa Hustad, Cathy Abene, Bob Fine, and Barb Schlaefer. The approximation then assumes each voter approves up to 2 of their top-ranked viable candidates (half of 4). All candidates ranked at or above the lowest-ranked of each ballot's top viable candidates receive approval (considering up to 2 viable candidates per ballot).

See transformed ballots

Note: For Approval, these choose_many ballots are inferred from ranked ballots.

Conversion method: favorite_viable_half

#------- metadata -------
{ballotcount: 24522}
{version: "0.1"}
{ballotcount_abif_metadata: "24522"}
{is_ranking_to_rating: true}
#------ candlines ------
=UWI:[UWI]
=[Bob Fine]:[Bob Fine]
=[Risa Hustad]:[Risa Hustad]
=[Cathy Abene]:[Cathy Abene]
=[Barb Schlaefer]:[Barb Schlaefer]
#------- votelines ------
3141:[Bob Fine]/1
2459:[Risa Hustad]/1
1992:[Cathy Abene]/1
1682:[Barb Schlaefer]/1
1640:[Cathy Abene]/1=[Risa Hustad]/1
741:[Barb Schlaefer]/1=[Cathy Abene]/1
720:[Barb Schlaefer]/1=[Cathy Abene]/1
675:[Barb Schlaefer]/1=[Cathy Abene]/1
668:[Barb Schlaefer]/1=[Cathy Abene]/1
639:[Cathy Abene]/1=[Risa Hustad]/1
573:[Bob Fine]/1=[Cathy Abene]/1
553:[Cathy Abene]/1=[Risa Hustad]/1
552:[Barb Schlaefer]/1=[Bob Fine]/1
552:[Barb Schlaefer]/1=[Bob Fine]/1
541:[Barb Schlaefer]/1=[Risa Hustad]/1
512:[Bob Fine]/1=[Cathy Abene]/1
487:[Barb Schlaefer]/1=[Bob Fine]/1
482:[Barb Schlaefer]/1=[Cathy Abene]/1
468:[Barb Schlaefer]/1=[Cathy Abene]/1
467:[Bob Fine]/1=[Cathy Abene]/1
437:[Barb Schlaefer]/1=[Bob Fine]/1
412:[Barb Schlaefer]/1=[Risa Hustad]/1
348:[Bob Fine]/1=[Cathy Abene]/1
318:[Cathy Abene]/1=[Risa Hustad]/1
299:[Barb Schlaefer]/1=[Bob Fine]/1
293:[Barb Schlaefer]/1=[Risa Hustad]/1
252:[Cathy Abene]/1=[Risa Hustad]/1
241:[Bob Fine]/1=[Cathy Abene]/1
221:[Bob Fine]/1=[Risa Hustad]/1
207:[Bob Fine]/1=[Cathy Abene]/1
204:[Bob Fine]/1=[Risa Hustad]/1
203:[Cathy Abene]/1=[Risa Hustad]/1
198:[Bob Fine]/1=[Risa Hustad]/1
194:[Barb Schlaefer]/1=[Bob Fine]/1
186:[Barb Schlaefer]/1=[Risa Hustad]/1
167:[Bob Fine]/1=[Risa Hustad]/1
150:[Bob Fine]/1=[Risa Hustad]/1
141:[Barb Schlaefer]/1=[Risa Hustad]/1
141:[Bob Fine]/1=[Risa Hustad]/1
119:[Barb Schlaefer]/1=[Risa Hustad]/1
23:[Bob Fine]/1
21:[Risa Hustad]/1
11:[Barb Schlaefer]/1=[Cathy Abene]/1
9:[Bob Fine]/1=[Cathy Abene]/1
7:[Bob Fine]/1
7:[Barb Schlaefer]/1=[Bob Fine]/1
7:[Cathy Abene]/1
6:[Cathy Abene]/1=[Risa Hustad]/1
6:[Barb Schlaefer]/1=[Bob Fine]/1
6:[Cathy Abene]/1=[Risa Hustad]/1
6:[Barb Schlaefer]/1
5:[Barb Schlaefer]/1=[Cathy Abene]/1
5:[Barb Schlaefer]/1=[Bob Fine]/1
4:[Cathy Abene]/1=[Risa Hustad]/1
4:[Risa Hustad]/1
4:[Bob Fine]/1=[Risa Hustad]/1
4:[Bob Fine]/1=[Cathy Abene]/1
4:[Bob Fine]/1=[Cathy Abene]/1
4:[Barb Schlaefer]/1=[Cathy Abene]/1
4:[Barb Schlaefer]/1=[Bob Fine]/1
3:[Cathy Abene]/1
3:[Barb Schlaefer]/1=[Risa Hustad]/1
3:[Risa Hustad]/1
3:[Barb Schlaefer]/1
3:[Barb Schlaefer]/1=[Cathy Abene]/1
3:[Bob Fine]/1=[Risa Hustad]/1
2:[Cathy Abene]/1
2:[Bob Fine]/1=[Cathy Abene]/1
2:[Barb Schlaefer]/1
2:[Barb Schlaefer]/1=[Risa Hustad]/1
2:[Cathy Abene]/1=[Risa Hustad]/1
2:[Risa Hustad]/1=UWI/1
1:[Bob Fine]/1=[Risa Hustad]/1
1:[Barb Schlaefer]/1=[Cathy Abene]/1
1:[Barb Schlaefer]/1=[Cathy Abene]/1=UWI/1
1:[Barb Schlaefer]/1=[Bob Fine]/1
1:[Barb Schlaefer]/1=[Risa Hustad]/1
1:[Bob Fine]/1=UWI/1
1:[Bob Fine]/1=[Cathy Abene]/1
1:[Barb Schlaefer]/1=[Risa Hustad]/1
1:[Cathy Abene]/1=UWI/1
1:[Bob Fine]/1=[Risa Hustad]/1=UWI/1
1:[Bob Fine]/1=[Cathy Abene]/1=UWI/1
1:[Cathy Abene]/1=[Risa Hustad]/1=UWI/1
1:[Bob Fine]/1
1:[Bob Fine]/1=[Cathy Abene]/1=UWI/1
  • Approval Winner: Cathy Abene
  • Approval Results:
    • Cathy Abene — 11,778 approvals (48.03% of ballots) (✅ winner)
    • Barb Schlaefer — 9,715 approvals (39.62% of ballots)
    • Bob Fine — 9,177 approvals (37.42% of ballots)
    • Risa Hustad — 8,902 approvals (36.3% of ballots)
    • UWI — 9 approvals (0.04% of ballots)
  • Total: 24,522 ballots (39,581 total approvals)

STAR results

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-6-Cast-Vote-Record STAR results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-6-Cast-Vote-Record/STAR#STAR
📝
Note — STAR ratings estimated from ranked ballots using Borda scoring method
Details

The ranked ballots have been converted to STAR ratings using Borda scoring: each candidate receives points equal to (number_of_candidates - their_rank). In this election, we have 5 candidates, so the 1st choice gets 4 points, the 2nd choice gets 3 points, etc. These Borda scores are then used as STAR ratings for tabulation by STAR.

  • STAR winner: Cathy Abene
  • Finalists: Cathy Abene vs Barb Schlaefer
  • Runoff result:
    • Cathy Abene: 10,486 votes (42.8%)
    • Barb Schlaefer: 7,961 votes (32.5%)
    • No preference: 6075 voters (24.8%)
  • Total stars allocated: 163,387
  • Total ballots: 24,522
★★★★★★

★★★★★

★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
(one star above is approximately 3,268 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • ★#0: Cathy Abene received 46,436 stars (28.4%) from 14,108 voters (57.5%)
    • ★#1: Barb Schlaefer received 41,422 stars (25.4%) from 13,232 voters (54.0%)
    • ★#2: Bob Fine received 37,548 stars (23.0%) from 11,080 voters (45.2%)
    • ★#3: Risa Hustad received 37,447 stars (22.9%) from 10,993 voters (44.8%)
    • ★#4: UWI received 534 stars (0.3%) from 175 voters (0.7%)
  • Finalists:
    • ★Cathy Abene (✅ winner) preferred by 10,486 of 24,522 voters
    • ★Barb Schlaefer preferred by 7,961 of 24,522 voters
    • ★No preference between the finalists: 6075

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-6-Cast-Vote-Record Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-6-Cast-Vote-Record/pairwise#pairwise
  • Winner: Cathy Abene
  • Runner-up: Barb Schlaefer (beats all other candidates except Cathy Abene)
  • Smallest margin: Barb Schlaefer over Risa Hustad (9,672-8,673; margin: 999)
  • Largest margin: Cathy Abene over UWI (14,104-131; margin: 13,973)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 24,522

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-6-Cast-Vote-Record w-l-t table permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-6-Cast-Vote-Record/pairwise#wlt
2021-Park-6-Cast-Vote-Record (Minneapolis; 2021-11-02) pairwise matchups
Cathy Abene
(4-0-0)
Cathy Abene
4 victories ⇣
Barb Schlaefer
(3-1-0)
Cathy Abene: 10,486(42.8%)
Barb Schlaefer: 7,961(32.5%)
(No preference: 6,075; 24.8%)
Barb Schlaefer
⇽ 1 loss / 3 victories† ⇣
Bob Fine
(2-2-0)
Cathy Abene: 11,621(47.4%)
Bob Fine: 8,222(33.5%)
(No preference: 4,679; 19.1%)
Barb Schlaefer: 10,558(43.1%)
Bob Fine: 8,438(34.4%)
(No preference: 5,526; 22.5%)
Bob Fine
⇽ 2 losses / 2 victories† ⇣
Risa Hustad
(1-3-0)
Cathy Abene: 10,225(41.7%)
Risa Hustad: 8,313(33.9%)
(No preference: 5,984; 24.4%)
Barb Schlaefer: 9,672(39.4%)
Risa Hustad: 8,673(35.4%)
(No preference: 6,177; 25.2%)
Bob Fine: 9,811(40.0%)
Risa Hustad: 9,471(38.6%)
(No preference: 5,240; 21.4%)
Risa Hustad
⇽ 3 losses / 1 victory† ⇣
UWI
(0-4-0)
Cathy Abene: 14,104(57.5%)
UWI: 131(0.5%)
(No preference: 10,287; 42.0%)
Barb Schlaefer: 13,231(54.0%)
UWI: 141(0.6%)
(No preference: 11,150; 45.5%)
Bob Fine: 11,077(45.2%)
UWI: 123(0.5%)
(No preference: 13,322; 54.3%)
Risa Hustad: 10,990(44.8%)
UWI: 139(0.6%)
(No preference: 13,393; 54.6%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-6-Cast-Vote-Record pairwise diagram permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-6-Cast-Vote-Record/pairwise#dot

%3 Cathy Abene Cathy Abene 4-0-0 (4 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) Barb Schlaefer Barb Schlaefer 3-1-0 Cathy Abene->Barb Schlaefer ← Cathy Abene: 10486 Barb Schlaefer: 7961 Bob Fine Bob Fine 2-2-0 Cathy Abene->Bob Fine ← Cathy Abene: 11621 Bob Fine: 8222 Risa Hustad Risa Hustad 1-3-0 Cathy Abene->Risa Hustad ← Cathy Abene: 10225 Risa Hustad: 8313 UWI UWI 0-4-0 Cathy Abene->UWI ← Cathy Abene: 14104 UWI: 131 Barb Schlaefer->Bob Fine ← Barb Schlaefer: 10558 Bob Fine: 8438 Barb Schlaefer->Risa Hustad ← Barb Schlaefer: 9672 Risa Hustad: 8673 Barb Schlaefer->UWI ← Barb Schlaefer: 13231 UWI: 141 Bob Fine->Risa Hustad ← Bob Fine: 9811 Risa Hustad: 9471 Bob Fine->UWI ← Bob Fine: 11077 UWI: 123 Risa Hustad->UWI ← Risa Hustad: 10990 UWI: 139

Voting methods: IRV • FPTP • approval • STAR • Pairwise • All methods

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