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Board of Supervisors District 10 (SanFrancisco; 2014-11-04)

πŸ”— 2014-11-04_SanFrancisco-Board_of_Supervisors_District_10     (tags: { SanFrancisco-2014 , from-bolson , actual , SF , 2014 , SanFrancisco_CA , 2014-11 , CA })

Below is the ABIF from the "2014-11-04_SanFrancisco-Board_of_Supervisors_District_10" election (Board of Supervisors District 10 (SanFrancisco; 2014-11-04))

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Voting methods: IRV β€’ FPTP β€’ approval β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

Results

πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2014-11-04_SanFrancisco-Board_of_Supervisors_District_10

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "ranked". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
IRV/RCV MALIA COHEN
FPTP MALIA COHEN
Approval MALIA COHEN
STAR MALIA COHEN
Condorcet/Copeland MALIA COHEN
Election results summary showing voting method winners
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tabbed view

IRV/RCV results

2014-11-04_SanFrancisco-Board_of_Supervisors_District_10 IRV/RCV result permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2014-11-04_SanFrancisco-Board_of_Supervisors_District_10/IRV#IRV

  • IRV/RCV Winner: MALIA COHEN with 7,716 votes (47.2%) in final round
  • Runner-up: TONY KELLY with 4,291 votes (26.3%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 1,380 (8.4%)
  • Number of rounds: 3
  • Ballots counted in final round: 14,962 (91.6%)
  • Majority of ballots: 8,172 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 16,342
Round 1 Round 2 Round 3
Overview:
Active ballots: 16,342 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 897 (5.5%)
Counted ballots: 15,445 (94.5%)
Winning threshold: 7,723 (47.26%)
Overview:
Active ballots: 16,342 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 1,115 (6.8%)
Counted ballots: 15,227 (93.2%)
Winning threshold: 7,614 (46.59%)
Overview:
Active ballots: 16,342 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 1,380 (8.4%)
Counted ballots: 14,962 (91.6%)
Winning threshold: 7,482 (45.78%)
MALIA COHEN: 7,142 (43.7%)
β†’
MALIA COHEN: 7,313 (44.7%)
β†’
IRV/RCV winner:
MALIA COHEN: 7,716 (47.2%)βœ…
β†’
TONY KELLY: 3,722 (22.8%)
β†’
TONY KELLY: 3,942 (24.1%)
β†’
TONY KELLY: 4,291 (26.3%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
MARLENE TRAN: 2,732 (16.7%)
β†’
MARLENE TRAN: 2,796 (17.1%)
β†’
MARLENE TRAN: 2,955 (18.1%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
SHAWN M. RICHARD: 1,016 (6.2%)
β†’
SHAWN M. RICHARD: 1,176 (7.2%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
SHAWN M. RICHARD
ED DONALDSON: 833 (5.1%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
ED DONALDSON ED DONALDSON

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2014-11-04_SanFrancisco-Board_of_Supervisors_District_10 FPTP results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2014-11-04_SanFrancisco-Board_of_Supervisors_District_10/FPTP#FPTP
πŸ“
Note β€” Only using first-choices on ranked ballots

  • FPTP Winner: MALIA COHEN with 7,142 first-place votes (43.7%)
  • Runner-up: TONY KELLY with 3,722 first-place votes (22.8%)
  • Margin of victory: 3,420 votes (20.9 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • MALIA COHEN: 7,142 votes (43.7 %)
    • TONY KELLY: 3,722 votes (22.8 %)
    • MARLENE TRAN: 2,732 votes (16.7 %)
    • SHAWN M. RICHARD: 1,016 votes (6.2 %)
    • ED DONALDSON: 833 votes (5.1 %)
  • Blanks: 897 (5.5 %)
  • Total ballots: 16,342

Approval voting results

2014-11-04_SanFrancisco-Board_of_Supervisors_District_10 approval voting results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2014-11-04_SanFrancisco-Board_of_Supervisors_District_10/approval#approval
πŸ“
Note β€” Approval counts estimated from 16,342 ranked ballots using favorite_viable_half method
Details

The 'favorite_viable_half' conversion algorithm: find the candidate with the most first preferences, and then determine the minimum number of figurative seats that would need to be open in order for the candidate to exceed the Hare quota with the given first-prefs. We use this to estimate how many candidates are likely to be viable candidates.

Using first-choice vote totals as a rough guide, approximately 3 candidates appear viable: MALIA COHEN, TONY KELLY, and MARLENE TRAN. The approximation then assumes each voter approves up to 2 of their top-ranked viable candidates (half of 3, rounded up). All candidates ranked at or above the lowest-ranked of each ballot's top viable candidates receive approval (considering up to 2 viable candidates per ballot).

See transformed ballots

Note: For Approval, these choose_many ballots are inferred from ranked ballots.

Conversion method: favorite_viable_half

#------- metadata -------
{ballotcount: 16342}
{version: "0.1"}
{ballotcount_abif_metadata: "16342"}
{is_ranking_to_rating: true}
#------ candlines ------
=[MALIA COHEN]:[MALIA COHEN]
=[TONY KELLY]:[TONY KELLY]
=[MARLENE TRAN]:[MARLENE TRAN]
=[ED DONALDSON]:[ED DONALDSON]
=[SHAWN M. RICHARD]:[SHAWN M. RICHARD]
#------- votelines ------
1755:[MALIA COHEN]/1
1013:[MALIA COHEN]/1
687:[TONY KELLY]/1
549:[MARLENE TRAN]/1
542:[MALIA COHEN]/1=[MARLENE TRAN]/1
534:[MALIA COHEN]/1=[TONY KELLY]/1
450:[MALIA COHEN]/1=[MARLENE TRAN]/1
448:[MALIA COHEN]/1=[TONY KELLY]/1
426:[TONY KELLY]/1
406:[MALIA COHEN]/1=[TONY KELLY]/1
378:[MALIA COHEN]/1=[MARLENE TRAN]/1
351:[TONY KELLY]/1
308:[MALIA COHEN]/1=[TONY KELLY]/1
308:[MARLENE TRAN]/1
280:[MALIA COHEN]/1=[MARLENE TRAN]/1
258:[MALIA COHEN]/1=[SHAWN M. RICHARD]/1=[TONY KELLY]/1
254:[MALIA COHEN]/1=[MARLENE TRAN]/1
243:[MALIA COHEN]/1=[TONY KELLY]/1
237:[MALIA COHEN]/1=[MARLENE TRAN]/1=[SHAWN M. RICHARD]/1
235:[MALIA COHEN]/1=[TONY KELLY]/1
235:[MALIA COHEN]/1
220:[MARLENE TRAN]/1=[TONY KELLY]/1
210:[MALIA COHEN]/1=[MARLENE TRAN]/1
195:[MALIA COHEN]/1
173:[MALIA COHEN]/1=[MARLENE TRAN]/1
159:[ED DONALDSON]/1=[MALIA COHEN]/1=[TONY KELLY]/1
142:[MARLENE TRAN]/1=[TONY KELLY]/1
130:[MALIA COHEN]/1=[TONY KELLY]/1
129:[ED DONALDSON]/1=[SHAWN M. RICHARD]/1=[TONY KELLY]/1
127:[MARLENE TRAN]/1=[TONY KELLY]/1
126:[TONY KELLY]/1
126:[MALIA COHEN]/1=[TONY KELLY]/1
119:[ED DONALDSON]/1=[MARLENE TRAN]/1=[TONY KELLY]/1
113:[TONY KELLY]/1
109:[MARLENE TRAN]/1=[TONY KELLY]/1
102:[ED DONALDSON]/1=[MALIA COHEN]/1=[TONY KELLY]/1
99:[MARLENE TRAN]/1=[TONY KELLY]/1
97:[MARLENE TRAN]/1=[TONY KELLY]/1
93:[ED DONALDSON]/1=[TONY KELLY]/1
89:[MARLENE TRAN]/1=[TONY KELLY]/1
89:[MALIA COHEN]/1=[SHAWN M. RICHARD]/1=[TONY KELLY]/1
89:[MALIA COHEN]/1
88:[ED DONALDSON]/1=[MALIA COHEN]/1=[MARLENE TRAN]/1
83:[MALIA COHEN]/1=[SHAWN M. RICHARD]/1
82:[MALIA COHEN]/1=[MARLENE TRAN]/1=[SHAWN M. RICHARD]/1
80:[MARLENE TRAN]/1=[SHAWN M. RICHARD]/1=[TONY KELLY]/1
76:[MALIA COHEN]/1=[SHAWN M. RICHARD]/1=[TONY KELLY]/1
72:[ED DONALDSON]/1=[SHAWN M. RICHARD]/1=[TONY KELLY]/1
71:[MALIA COHEN]/1=[TONY KELLY]/1
61:[MALIA COHEN]/1=[TONY KELLY]/1
60:[MARLENE TRAN]/1=[TONY KELLY]/1
58:[MALIA COHEN]/1
58:[MARLENE TRAN]/1=[SHAWN M. RICHARD]/1=[TONY KELLY]/1
58:[SHAWN M. RICHARD]/1=[TONY KELLY]/1
52:[MALIA COHEN]/1=[MARLENE TRAN]/1
51:[MALIA COHEN]/1=[MARLENE TRAN]/1=[SHAWN M. RICHARD]/1
51:[MALIA COHEN]/1=[MARLENE TRAN]/1
50:[MALIA COHEN]/1=[SHAWN M. RICHARD]/1=[TONY KELLY]/1
50:[MALIA COHEN]/1
49:[ED DONALDSON]/1=[MALIA COHEN]/1=[TONY KELLY]/1
47:[ED DONALDSON]/1=[MALIA COHEN]/1
45:[MARLENE TRAN]/1=[SHAWN M. RICHARD]/1=[TONY KELLY]/1
44:[ED DONALDSON]/1=[MARLENE TRAN]/1=[TONY KELLY]/1
44:[ED DONALDSON]/1=[MALIA COHEN]/1=[SHAWN M. RICHARD]/1
43:[MARLENE TRAN]/1
42:[ED DONALDSON]/1=[MALIA COHEN]/1=[TONY KELLY]/1
39:[ED DONALDSON]/1=[MALIA COHEN]/1=[MARLENE TRAN]/1
37:[MALIA COHEN]/1=[MARLENE TRAN]/1=[SHAWN M. RICHARD]/1
37:[ED DONALDSON]/1=[MALIA COHEN]/1=[SHAWN M. RICHARD]/1
37:[MALIA COHEN]/1=[MARLENE TRAN]/1
36:[ED DONALDSON]/1=[MARLENE TRAN]/1=[TONY KELLY]/1
35:[MALIA COHEN]/1=[MARLENE TRAN]/1
33:[MALIA COHEN]/1=[TONY KELLY]/1
33:[ED DONALDSON]/1=[MARLENE TRAN]/1=[SHAWN M. RICHARD]/1
31:[MALIA COHEN]/1=[SHAWN M. RICHARD]/1
30:[MARLENE TRAN]/1
27:[MARLENE TRAN]/1
27:[ED DONALDSON]/1=[TONY KELLY]/1
25:[ED DONALDSON]/1=[MARLENE TRAN]/1=[TONY KELLY]/1
24:[ED DONALDSON]/1=[MALIA COHEN]/1
22:[MALIA COHEN]/1=[SHAWN M. RICHARD]/1
22:[TONY KELLY]/1
20:[ED DONALDSON]/1=[MARLENE TRAN]/1=[SHAWN M. RICHARD]/1
20:[ED DONALDSON]/1=[MALIA COHEN]/1
19:[ED DONALDSON]/1=[MALIA COHEN]/1=[MARLENE TRAN]/1
18:[ED DONALDSON]/1=[MARLENE TRAN]/1
18:[ED DONALDSON]/1=[TONY KELLY]/1
18:[MARLENE TRAN]/1=[TONY KELLY]/1
17:[MALIA COHEN]/1=[TONY KELLY]/1
17:[MARLENE TRAN]/1=[SHAWN M. RICHARD]/1
16:[MALIA COHEN]/1
16:[MARLENE TRAN]/1
15:[MARLENE TRAN]/1=[TONY KELLY]/1
15:[TONY KELLY]/1
15:[SHAWN M. RICHARD]/1=[TONY KELLY]/1
15:[MARLENE TRAN]/1=[SHAWN M. RICHARD]/1=[TONY KELLY]/1
15:[MALIA COHEN]/1=[SHAWN M. RICHARD]/1
14:[MALIA COHEN]/1
14:[ED DONALDSON]/1=[MALIA COHEN]/1=[MARLENE TRAN]/1
14:[MALIA COHEN]/1
13:[TONY KELLY]/1
13:[TONY KELLY]/1
12:[ED DONALDSON]/1=[MALIA COHEN]/1
11:[MALIA COHEN]/1
9:[MALIA COHEN]/1=[MARLENE TRAN]/1
8:[TONY KELLY]/1
7:[SHAWN M. RICHARD]/1=[TONY KELLY]/1
7:[MARLENE TRAN]/1=[TONY KELLY]/1
5:[MARLENE TRAN]/1
5:[MARLENE TRAN]/1
4:[ED DONALDSON]/1=[MARLENE TRAN]/1
4:[MARLENE TRAN]/1=[TONY KELLY]/1
4:[ED DONALDSON]/1=[TONY KELLY]/1
4:[MARLENE TRAN]/1=[SHAWN M. RICHARD]/1
4:[MARLENE TRAN]/1
3:[SHAWN M. RICHARD]/1=[TONY KELLY]/1
3:[MARLENE TRAN]/1
3:[MARLENE TRAN]/1=[SHAWN M. RICHARD]/1
2:[ED DONALDSON]/1=[MARLENE TRAN]/1
1:[MARLENE TRAN]/1
1:[ED DONALDSON]/1=[MARLENE TRAN]/1
  • Approval Winner: MALIA COHEN
  • Approval Results:
    • MALIA COHEN — 10,260 approvals (62.78% of ballots) (βœ… winner)
    • TONY KELLY — 7,046 approvals (43.12% of ballots)
    • MARLENE TRAN — 5,540 approvals (33.9% of ballots)
    • SHAWN M. RICHARD — 1,671 approvals (10.23% of ballots)
    • ED DONALDSON — 1,341 approvals (8.21% of ballots)
  • Total: 16,342 ballots (25,858 total approvals)

STAR results

2014-11-04_SanFrancisco-Board_of_Supervisors_District_10 STAR results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2014-11-04_SanFrancisco-Board_of_Supervisors_District_10/STAR#STAR
πŸ“
Note β€” STAR ratings estimated from ranked ballots using Borda scoring method
Details

The ranked ballots have been converted to STAR ratings using Borda scoring: each candidate receives points equal to (number_of_candidates - their_rank). In this election, we have 5 candidates, so the 1st choice gets 4 points, the 2nd choice gets 3 points, etc. These Borda scores are then used as STAR ratings for tabulation by STAR.

  • STAR winner: MALIA COHEN
  • Finalists: MALIA COHEN vs TONY KELLY
  • Runoff result:
    • MALIA COHEN: 8,869 votes (54.3%)
    • TONY KELLY: 5,000 votes (30.6%)
    • No preference: 2473 voters (15.1%)
  • Total stars allocated: 107,693
  • Total ballots: 16,342
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
(one star above is approximately 2,154 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • β˜…#0: MALIA COHEN received 38,154 stars (35.4%) from 10,622 voters (65.0%)
    • β˜…#1: TONY KELLY received 25,916 stars (24.1%) from 8,038 voters (49.2%)
    • β˜…#2: MARLENE TRAN received 19,921 stars (18.5%) from 6,189 voters (37.9%)
    • β˜…#3: SHAWN M. RICHARD received 12,639 stars (11.7%) from 4,554 voters (27.9%)
    • β˜…#4: ED DONALDSON received 11,063 stars (10.3%) from 3,866 voters (23.7%)
  • Finalists:
    • β˜…MALIA COHEN (βœ… winner) preferred by 8,869 of 16,342 voters
    • β˜…TONY KELLY preferred by 5,000 of 16,342 voters
    • β˜…No preference between the finalists: 2473

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2014-11-04_SanFrancisco-Board_of_Supervisors_District_10 Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2014-11-04_SanFrancisco-Board_of_Supervisors_District_10/pairwise#pairwise
  • Winner: MALIA COHEN
  • Runner-up: TONY KELLY (beats all other candidates except MALIA COHEN)
  • Smallest margin: SHAWN M. RICHARD over ED DONALDSON (3,585-3,071; margin: 514)
  • Largest margin: MALIA COHEN over ED DONALDSON (10,173-2,430; margin: 7,743)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 16,342

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2014-11-04_SanFrancisco-Board_of_Supervisors_District_10 w-l-t table permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2014-11-04_SanFrancisco-Board_of_Supervisors_District_10/pairwise#wlt
Board of Supervisors District 10 (SanFrancisco; 2014-11-04) pairwise matchups
MALIA COHEN
(4-0-0)
MALIA COHEN
4 victories ⇣
TONY KELLY
(3-1-0)
MALIA COHEN: 8,869(54.3%)
TONY KELLY: 5,000(30.6%)
(No preference: 2,473; 15.1%)
TONY KELLY
⇽ 1 loss / 3 victories† ⇣
MARLENE TRAN
(2-2-0)
MALIA COHEN: 9,107(55.7%)
MARLENE TRAN: 3,655(22.4%)
(No preference: 3,580; 21.9%)
TONY KELLY: 6,337(38.8%)
MARLENE TRAN: 4,840(29.6%)
(No preference: 5,165; 31.6%)
MARLENE TRAN
⇽ 2 losses / 2 victories† ⇣
SHAWN M. RICHARD
(1-3-0)
MALIA COHEN: 10,005(61.2%)
SHAWN M. RICHARD: 2,444(15.0%)
(No preference: 3,893; 23.8%)
TONY KELLY: 7,239(44.3%)
SHAWN M. RICHARD: 3,076(18.8%)
(No preference: 6,027; 36.9%)
MARLENE TRAN: 5,616(34.4%)
SHAWN M. RICHARD: 3,534(21.6%)
(No preference: 7,192; 44.0%)
SHAWN M. RICHARD
⇽ 3 losses / 1 victory† ⇣
ED DONALDSON
(0-4-0)
MALIA COHEN: 10,173(62.3%)
ED DONALDSON: 2,430(14.9%)
(No preference: 3,739; 22.9%)
TONY KELLY: 7,340(44.9%)
ED DONALDSON: 2,320(14.2%)
(No preference: 6,682; 40.9%)
MARLENE TRAN: 5,810(35.6%)
ED DONALDSON: 3,242(19.8%)
(No preference: 7,290; 44.6%)
SHAWN M. RICHARD: 3,585(21.9%)
ED DONALDSON: 3,071(18.8%)
(No preference: 9,686; 59.3%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2014-11-04_SanFrancisco-Board_of_Supervisors_District_10 pairwise diagram permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2014-11-04_SanFrancisco-Board_of_Supervisors_District_10/pairwise#dot

%3 MALIA COHEN MALIA COHEN 4-0-0 (4 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) TONY KELLY TONY KELLY 3-1-0 MALIA COHEN->TONY KELLY ← MALIA COHEN: 8869 TONY KELLY: 5000 MARLENE TRAN MARLENE TRAN 2-2-0 MALIA COHEN->MARLENE TRAN ← MALIA COHEN: 9107 MARLENE TRAN: 3655 SHAWN M. RICHARD SHAWN M. RICHARD 1-3-0 MALIA COHEN->SHAWN M. RICHARD ← MALIA COHEN: 10005 SHAWN M. RICHARD: 2444 ED DONALDSON ED DONALDSON 0-4-0 MALIA COHEN->ED DONALDSON ← MALIA COHEN: 10173 ED DONALDSON: 2430 TONY KELLY->MARLENE TRAN ← TONY KELLY: 6337 MARLENE TRAN: 4840 TONY KELLY->SHAWN M. RICHARD ← TONY KELLY: 7239 SHAWN M. RICHARD: 3076 TONY KELLY->ED DONALDSON ← TONY KELLY: 7340 ED DONALDSON: 2320 MARLENE TRAN->SHAWN M. RICHARD ← MARLENE TRAN: 5616 SHAWN M. RICHARD: 3534 MARLENE TRAN->ED DONALDSON ← MARLENE TRAN: 5810 ED DONALDSON: 3242 SHAWN M. RICHARD->ED DONALDSON ← SHAWN M. RICHARD: 3585 ED DONALDSON: 3071

Voting methods: IRV β€’ FPTP β€’ approval β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

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